No, Bragantino have taken 41 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 5.03 fewer than the 46.03 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Bragantino create 1.49 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 46.34 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 7.34 fewer than that xG would expect.
Bragantino allow 1.32 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 41.05 in all, and have conceded 36 goals from those chances, 5.05 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Eduardo Sasha has the most expected goals (xG) for Bragantino over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 6.81 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Lucas Barbosa is next with 6.25 xG.
Bragantino have taken 5.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 31 games: -7.3 goals against their xG, and +5.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 31 | 46.34 | 39 | -7.34 | 41.05 | 36 | +5.05 | 46.03 | 41 | -5.03 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.34 | 13 | -4.34 | 18.90 | 14 | +4.90 | 13.29 | 10 | -3.29 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.18 | 7 | -3.18 | 8.69 | 7 | +1.69 | 7.93 | 5 | -2.93 |
| Home | 15 | 24.70 | 24 | -0.70 | 15.26 | 17 | -1.74 | 26.44 | 24 | -2.44 |
| Away | 16 | 21.64 | 15 | -6.64 | 25.79 | 19 | +6.79 | 19.59 | 17 | -2.59 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (A) | 1-1 | 2.10 | 1.49 | 1.76 | 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 4-2 | 3.30 | 3.04 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 7 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (H) | 1-1 | 2.67 | 1.31 | 2.16 | 1 | W |
| 3 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-0 | 1.30 | 0.52 | 1.97 | 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 2-1 | 0.81 | 2.33 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 1-1 | 1.02 | 1.89 | 0.82 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (H) | 2-3 | 1.77 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 2-1 | 0.75 | 2.62 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 1-0 | 2.29 | 0.67 | 2.39 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (A) | 1-1 | 1.33 | 2.73 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 9 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 0-2 | 0.65 | 0.79 | 1.18 | 0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (H) | 0-0 | 1.29 | 0.35 | 2.12 | 1 | W |
| 17 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 1-1 | 1.39 | 1.93 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 31 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 3-1 | 1.86 | 0.72 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 0-3 | 3.15 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (H) | 2-0 | 3.11 | 0.73 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (A) | 2-0 | 0.40 | 1.23 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 1-2 | 0.39 | 1.87 | 0.40 | 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 0-1 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 1.73 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (H) | 4-2 | 1.40 | 0.51 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (A) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 1.79 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (A) | 0-1 | 1.66 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 3-0 | 1.79 | 0.28 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 1-2 | 1.28 | 1.42 | 1.27 | 0 | L |
| 18 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 2-0 | 1.25 | 2.19 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (H) | 1-2 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 1.26 | 0 | D |
| 13 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (A) | 1-1 | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 1-1 | 0.32 | 1.25 | 0.58 | 1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 2-0 | 1.24 | 0.91 | 1.61 | 0 | W |
| 4 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (H) | 1-0 | 1.29 | 0.62 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juninho Capixaba | defender | 27 | 2375 | 1.67 | 3 | +1.33 | 0.06 |
| Gabriel | midfielder | 20 | 1305 | 0.70 | 2 | +1.30 | 0.05 |
| Lucas Barbosa | attacker | 29 | 2448 | 6.25 | 7 | +0.75 | 0.23 |
| José Andrés Hurtado | defender | 17 | 1241 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.43 | 0.04 |
| Tiago Volpi | goalkeeper | 24 | 2148 | 1.58 | 2 | +0.42 | 0.07 |
| Gustavo Neves | midfielder | 18 | 690 | 0.62 | 1 | +0.38 | 0.08 |
| José Herrera | attacker | 26 | 1307 | 1.81 | 2 | +0.19 | 0.12 |
| Pedro Henrique | defender | 17 | 1228 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.07 |
| Eric Ramires | midfielder | 23 | 1178 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.07 |
| Rodriguinho | midfielder | 16 | 879 | 2.17 | 2 | -0.17 | 0.22 |
| Isidro Pitta | attacker | 27 | 1705 | 6.21 | 6 | -0.21 | 0.33 |
| AgustÃn Sant'Anna | defender | 14 | 920 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.05 |
| Alix | defender | 22 | 1610 | 0.60 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.03 |
| Gustavo Marques | defender | 28 | 2297 | 1.67 | 1 | -0.67 | 0.07 |
| Vinicinho | attacker | 15 | 572 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.15 |
| Matheus Fernandes | midfielder | 17 | 814 | 1.21 | 0 | -1.21 | 0.13 |
| Wallace Yan | attacker | 6 | 403 | 1.36 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.30 |
| Fernando | attacker | 18 | 1025 | 4.97 | 3 | -1.97 | 0.44 |
| Henry Mosquera | attacker | 22 | 1322 | 2.47 | 0 | -2.47 | 0.17 |
| Eduardo Sasha | attacker | 23 | 1284 | 6.81 | 2 | -4.81 | 0.48 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 43.1 | 54 | 31.4 | 22 | 49.6 | 66 | +16.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 53.7 | 61 | 31.6 | 25 | 55.9 | 67 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 36.9 | 37 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 44 | 51 | +7 |
| 5 | Atlético Mineiro | 31 | 42.1 | 42 | 38.9 | 35 | 44.7 | 50 | +5.3 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 31 | 32.9 | 38 | 48.5 | 49 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 45.2 | 50 | 41.3 | 46 | 46.1 | 51 | +4.9 |
| 8 | Bahia | 31 | 48.7 | 44 | 42.7 | 39 | 46.9 | 49 | +2.1 |
| 9 | Vitória | 30 | 30.5 | 33 | 43.6 | 44 | 34.3 | 36 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 41.1 | 48 | 38.2 | 46 | 44.2 | 45 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 31 | 32.4 | 34 | 51.2 | 44 | 32.1 | 31 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 31 | 39.2 | 44 | 42.8 | 48 | 40.8 | 39 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 31 | 41.2 | 36 | 47.8 | 44 | 38.9 | 36 | -2.9 |
| 14 | São Paulo | 31 | 45.8 | 36 | 37.5 | 35 | 46.4 | 42 | -4.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 31 | 46.3 | 39 | 41.1 | 36 | 46 | 41 | -5 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 28 | 31 | 33.3 | 38 | 37.6 | 32 | -5.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 31 | 35.1 | 34 | 45.9 | 49 | 35 | 26 | -9 |
| 18 | Internacional | 31 | 41.5 | 33 | 38.8 | 40 | 44.1 | 32 | -12.1 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 30 | 33.7 | 30 | 52.8 | 62 | 31.4 | 18 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 52 | 36 | 32.9 | 43 | 50.4 | 35 | -15.4 |