Yes, Coritiba have taken 39 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 5.33 more than the 33.67 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Coritiba create 1.06 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 32.91 in all, and have scored 38 goals from those chances, 5.09 more than that xG would expect.
Coritiba allow 1.57 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 48.52 in all, and have conceded 49 goals from those chances, 0.48 more than that xGA would expect.
Pedro Rocha has the most expected goals (xG) for Coritiba over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 7.42 xG in 30 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Breno Lopes is next with 4.47 xG.
Coritiba have taken 5.3 points more than their chances warranted over 31 games: +5.1 goals against their xG, and -0.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 31 | 32.91 | 38 | +5.09 | 48.52 | 49 | -0.48 | 33.67 | 39 | +5.33 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.82 | 13 | +1.18 | 17.92 | 21 | -3.08 | 11.09 | 12 | +0.91 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.78 | 4 | -1.78 | 10.42 | 14 | -3.58 | 5.10 | 2 | -3.10 |
| Home | 15 | 17.25 | 20 | +2.75 | 20.05 | 20 | +0.05 | 19.33 | 20 | +0.67 |
| Away | 16 | 15.66 | 18 | +2.34 | 28.47 | 29 | -0.53 | 14.34 | 19 | +4.66 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-0 | 0.69 | 1.49 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 12 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 1-1 | 1.33 | 1.12 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 9 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 4-0 | 1.72 | 1.87 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 5-0 | 0.18 | 4.21 | 0.03 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (H) | 3-3 | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.47 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (H) | 1-2 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (A) | 2-3 | 1.63 | 3.33 | 0.61 | 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 2-1 | 0.39 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 3 | D |
| 16 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 1-1 | 0.39 | 1.39 | 0.58 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (H) | 2-1 | 1.43 | 0.52 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 0-1 | 1.18 | 2.21 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 0-0 | 0.35 | 1.29 | 0.59 | 1 | L |
| 22 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 1-3 | 1.74 | 0.85 | 1.99 | 0 | W |
| 30 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 3-0 | 1.07 | 1.63 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| 25 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (H) | 3-2 | 1.22 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 3 | L |
| 17 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (A) | 0-3 | 1.69 | 1.52 | 1.49 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 2-2 | 0.57 | 2.81 | 0.27 | 1 | L |
| 2 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 4-1 | 0.53 | 1.85 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (A) | 1-0 | 0.76 | 1.46 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (H) | 2-0 | 0.84 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 2-2 | 0.77 | 1.81 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 1-1 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.41 | 1 | D |
| 1 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (H) | 1-1 | 1.36 | 0.56 | 1.97 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (A) | 2-0 | 0.15 | 1.20 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 18 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (A) | 0-1 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 0.99 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (H) | 1-0 | 0.90 | 0.84 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 12 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 0-2 | 0.35 | 0.79 | 0.87 | 3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (H) | 0-1 | 1.11 | 1.52 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 11 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 3-3 | 2.14 | 1.87 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 6 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (A) | 1-2 | 2.08 | 1.01 | 2.07 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | attacker | 27 | 1781 | 4.47 | 8 | +3.53 | 0.23 |
| JoaquÃn Lavega | attacker | 28 | 1577 | 2.26 | 5 | +2.74 | 0.13 |
| Rodrigo Moledo | defender | 8 | 485 | 0.50 | 3 | +2.50 | 0.09 |
| Tiago Cóser | defender | 26 | 1899 | 2.29 | 4 | +1.71 | 0.11 |
| Paulo Roberto | midfielder | 10 | 386 | 0.57 | 2 | +1.43 | 0.13 |
| Pedro Rocha | attacker | 30 | 2317 | 7.42 | 8 | +0.58 | 0.29 |
| Jacy | defender | 27 | 2008 | 0.62 | 1 | +0.38 | 0.03 |
| Fabinho | attacker | 12 | 279 | 0.72 | 1 | +0.28 | 0.23 |
| Bruno Melo | defender | 28 | 2222 | 1.25 | 1 | -0.25 | 0.05 |
| Keno | attacker | 7 | 124 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.36 |
| Vini Paulista | midfielder | 25 | 924 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.06 |
| Felipe Jonatan | defender | 19 | 845 | 0.84 | 0 | -0.84 | 0.09 |
| Lucas Ronier | attacker | 18 | 1413 | 1.90 | 1 | -0.90 | 0.12 |
| Sebastián Gómez | midfielder | 27 | 2201 | 1.01 | 0 | -1.01 | 0.04 |
| Tinga | defender | 19 | 1308 | 1.15 | 0 | -1.15 | 0.08 |
| Josué | midfielder | 28 | 2121 | 2.94 | 1 | -1.94 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 43.1 | 54 | 31.4 | 22 | 49.6 | 66 | +16.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 53.7 | 61 | 31.6 | 25 | 55.9 | 67 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 36.9 | 37 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 44 | 51 | +7 |
| 5 | Atlético Mineiro | 31 | 42.1 | 42 | 38.9 | 35 | 44.7 | 50 | +5.3 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 31 | 32.9 | 38 | 48.5 | 49 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 45.2 | 50 | 41.3 | 46 | 46.1 | 51 | +4.9 |
| 8 | Bahia | 31 | 48.7 | 44 | 42.7 | 39 | 46.9 | 49 | +2.1 |
| 9 | Vitória | 30 | 30.5 | 33 | 43.6 | 44 | 34.3 | 36 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 41.1 | 48 | 38.2 | 46 | 44.2 | 45 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 31 | 32.4 | 34 | 51.2 | 44 | 32.1 | 31 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 31 | 39.2 | 44 | 42.8 | 48 | 40.8 | 39 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 31 | 41.2 | 36 | 47.8 | 44 | 38.9 | 36 | -2.9 |
| 14 | São Paulo | 31 | 45.8 | 36 | 37.5 | 35 | 46.4 | 42 | -4.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 31 | 46.3 | 39 | 41.1 | 36 | 46 | 41 | -5 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 28 | 31 | 33.3 | 38 | 37.6 | 32 | -5.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 31 | 35.1 | 34 | 45.9 | 49 | 35 | 26 | -9 |
| 18 | Internacional | 31 | 41.5 | 33 | 38.8 | 40 | 44.1 | 32 | -12.1 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 30 | 33.7 | 30 | 52.8 | 62 | 31.4 | 18 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 52 | 36 | 32.9 | 43 | 50.4 | 35 | -15.4 |