Vasco da Gama xG 2026

Vasco xG Questions

Are Vasco overperforming their xG this season?

No, Vasco have taken 35 points over 30 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 15.43 fewer than the 50.43 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Vasco's xG per game this season?

Vasco create 1.73 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 51.96 in all, and have scored 36 goals from those chances, 15.96 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Vasco's xGA per game this season?

Vasco allow 1.10 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 32.88 in all, and have conceded 43 goals from those chances, 10.12 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Vasco this season?

Claudio Spinelli has the most expected goals (xG) for Vasco over 30 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 6.35 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Andrés Gómez is next with 5.31 xG.

Vasco expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 30
Expected goals (xG): 51.96
Goals scored: 36
Goals minus xG: -15.96
Expected goals against (xGA): 32.88
Goals conceded: 43
xGA minus goals conceded: -10.12
Expected points (xPts): 50.43
Points: 35
Points minus xPts: -15.43
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Vasco overperforming their expected goals?

Vasco have taken 15.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 30 games: -16.0 goals against their xG, and -10.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Vasco results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	30	51.96	36	-15.96	32.88	43	-10.12	50.43	35	-15.43
Last 10	10	19.44	13	-6.44	9.76	12	-2.24	18.12	14	-4.12
Last 5	5	10.53	9	-1.53	3.59	3	+0.59	10.34	10	-0.34
Home	15	33.91	21	-12.91	16.49	18	-1.51	28.95	24	-4.95
Away	15	18.05	15	-3.05	16.39	25	-8.61	21.48	11	-10.48

Vasco expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (A)	1-0	1.13	1.16	1.33	0	L
10 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (H)	0-0	0.99	0.32	1.92	1	W
7 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (A)	1-2	1.99	0.61	2.30	3	W
19 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (H)	5-0	4.21	0.18	2.86	3	W
12 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	1-2	2.21	1.32	1.93	3	W
6 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	1-0	0.94	1.57	0.93	0	L
30 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (H)	3-1	4.01	0.60	2.77	3	W
23 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	4-1	1.62	1.74	1.31	0	L
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	0-3	1.49	1.46	1.40	0	W
9 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	0-0	0.85	0.80	1.37	1	D
25 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	1-1	2.51	1.61	1.90	1	W
16 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	1-0	0.78	0.79	1.31	0	D
31 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (H)	0-1	1.48	0.58	2.04	0	W
24 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	0-3	1.83	3.15	0.77	0	L
16 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	4-1	0.72	1.42	0.84	0	L
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (H)	1-0	2.13	0.97	2.12	3	W
3 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (A)	2-2	1.53	1.78	1.23	1	L
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	1-0	0.85	0.55	1.58	0	W
18 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	2-1	2.28	2.78	1.15	3	L
11 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (A)	1-1	1.40	0.76	1.84	1	W
5 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	1-2	2.34	1.36	1.97	0	W
1 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (A)	1-1	0.56	1.36	0.74	1	L
22 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	2-1	1.47	0.75	1.90	3	W
19 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	3-2	0.90	1.09	1.20	3	L
15 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	3-3	1.36	1.04	1.59	1	W
12 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (H)	2-1	1.33	0.88	1.70	3	W
26 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	2-1	1.25	0.86	1.66	0	W
12 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	0-1	2.14	0.46	2.47	0	W
5 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (H)	1-1	4.80	0.30	2.78	1	W
29 Jan	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	2-1	0.86	0.63	1.52	0	W

Vasco players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Thiago Mendes	midfielder	27	2204	2.18	5	+2.82	0.09
Tchê Tchê	midfielder	22	1442	0.37	2	+1.63	0.02
Cauan Barros	midfielder	19	1304	1.44	3	+1.56	0.10
David	attacker	24	1106	2.99	4	+1.01	0.24
Hugo Moura	midfielder	11	582	0.22	1	+0.78	0.03
Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros	midfielder	9	190	0.62	1	+0.38	0.30
Alan Lescano	midfielder	5	307	1.83	2	+0.17	0.54
Lucas Freitas	defender	3	93	0.96	1	+0.04	0.93
Robert Renan	defender	29	2610	1.02	1	-0.02	0.04
Bruno Duarte	attacker	5	289	1.07	1	-0.07	0.33
Cuiabano	defender	20	1452	2.09	2	-0.09	0.13
Andrés Gómez	attacker	26	2122	5.31	5	-0.31	0.23
Carlos Cuesta	defender	16	1373	0.54	0	-0.54	0.04
Philippe Coutinho	midfielder	3	259	1.59	1	-0.59	0.55
Santiago Sosa	midfielder	9	675	0.71	0	-0.71	0.09
Nuno Moreira	attacker	21	979	1.76	1	-0.76	0.16
Lucas Piton	defender	19	1162	0.80	0	-0.80	0.06
Alan Saldivia	defender	14	1214	0.93	0	-0.93	0.07
José Luis Rodríguez	defender	21	1269	3.38	2	-1.38	0.24
Adson	attacker	17	843	1.59	0	-1.59	0.17
Facundo Colidio	attacker	9	655	4.89	3	-1.89	0.67
Johan Rojas	midfielder	18	856	1.98	0	-1.98	0.21
Brenner	attacker	16	659	3.44	1	-2.44	0.47
Claudio Spinelli	attacker	18	762	6.35	1	-5.35	0.75

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	31	43.1	54	31.4	22	49.6	66	+16.4
2	Flamengo	31	53.7	61	31.6	25	55.9	67	+11.1
3	Athletico PR	31	42.3	49	36.9	37	45.8	53	+7.2
4	Fluminense	31	42.3	49	40	39	44	51	+7
5	Atlético Mineiro	31	42.1	42	38.9	35	44.7	50	+5.3
6	Coritiba	31	32.9	38	48.5	49	33.7	39	+5.3
7	Cruzeiro	31	45.2	50	41.3	46	46.1	51	+4.9
8	Bahia	31	48.7	44	42.7	39	46.9	49	+2.1
9	Vitória	30	30.5	33	43.6	44	34.3	36	+1.7
10	Santos	31	41.1	48	38.2	46	44.2	45	+0.8
11	Grêmio	31	32.4	34	51.2	44	32.1	31	-1.1
12	Botafogo	31	39.2	44	42.8	48	40.8	39	-1.8
13	Mirassol	31	41.2	36	47.8	44	38.9	36	-2.9
14	São Paulo	31	45.8	36	37.5	35	46.4	42	-4.4
15	Bragantino	31	46.3	39	41.1	36	46	41	-5
16	Corinthians	30	28	31	33.3	38	37.6	32	-5.6
17	Remo	31	35.1	34	45.9	49	35	26	-9
18	Internacional	31	41.5	33	38.8	40	44.1	32	-12.1
19	Chapecoense	30	33.7	30	52.8	62	31.4	18	-13.4
20	Vasco da Gama	30	52	36	32.9	43	50.4	35	-15.4

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