Yes, Crewe have taken 18 points over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 4.18 more than the 13.82 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Crewe create 1.32 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 13.21 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 1.21 fewer than that xG would expect.
Crewe allow 1.28 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 12.82 in all, and have conceded 7 goals from those chances, 5.82 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Josh March has the most expected goals (xG) for Crewe over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 3.51 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Jack Lankester is next with 3.07 xG.
Crewe have taken 4.2 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: -1.2 goals against their xG, and +5.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 13.21 | 12 | -1.21 | 12.82 | 7 | +5.82 | 13.82 | 18 | +4.18 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.59 | 7 | +1.41 | 5.51 | 4 | +1.51 | 6.76 | 9 | +2.24 |
| Home | 5 | 6.75 | 8 | +1.25 | 7.89 | 5 | +2.89 | 6.20 | 9 | +2.80 |
| Away | 5 | 6.46 | 4 | -2.46 | 4.93 | 2 | +2.93 | 7.62 | 9 | +1.38 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | League Two | Swindon (A) | 0-1 | 1.77 | 0.81 | 2.03 | 3 | W |
| 3 Oct | League Two | Bristol Rovers (H) | 3-1 | 1.51 | 0.99 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 26 Sep | League Two | Rotherham (A) | 1-1 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 1.16 | 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | League Two | Shrewsbury (H) | 1-1 | 1.28 | 1.72 | 1.09 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | League Two | Colchester (A) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 1.55 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | League Two | York (H) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 2.40 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 1 Sep | League Two | Walsall (H) | 2-2 | 2.04 | 1.86 | 1.50 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | League Two | Port Vale (A) | 0-0 | 1.25 | 0.99 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | League Two | Northampton (H) | 1-0 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.18 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | League Two | Crawley (A) | 0-1 | 2.41 | 1.14 | 2.14 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Gibson | midfielder | 10 | 605 | 1.96 | 3 | +1.04 | 0.29 |
| Josh Stephenson | midfielder | 9 | 810 | 0.17 | 1 | +0.83 | 0.02 |
| Luke Offord | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.45 | 1 | +0.55 | 0.05 |
| Reece Hutchinson | defender | 5 | 422 | 0.60 | 1 | +0.40 | 0.13 |
| Josh March | attacker | 10 | 887 | 3.51 | 3 | -0.51 | 0.36 |
| Calum Agius | attacker | 8 | 476 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.13 |
| Charlie McNeill | attacker | 10 | 239 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.27 |
| Lewis Billington | defender | 10 | 882 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.08 |
| Jack Lankester | midfielder | 9 | 578 | 3.07 | 2 | -1.07 | 0.48 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 8 | 15.1 | 20 | 11.9 | 11 | 12.9 | 18 | +5.1 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 10 | 9.1 | 11 | 15.7 | 12 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham Town | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 10.5 | 15 | +4.5 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 10 | 13.2 | 12 | 12.8 | 7 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Salford City | 10 | 12.9 | 15 | 11.1 | 10 | 14.9 | 19 | +4.1 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 10 | 12.3 | 15 | 14.4 | 10 | 12.8 | 16 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 10 | 9.9 | 9 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +2 |
| 8 | Walsall | 9 | 15.2 | 12 | 13.6 | 6 | 13.5 | 15 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16.8 | 11 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Tranmere Rovers | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| 11 | Newport County | 10 | 12.3 | 13 | 12.9 | 12 | 14.1 | 13 | -1.1 |
| 12 | York City | 9 | 17.3 | 17 | 11.7 | 11 | 16.2 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 13 | Colchester United | 9 | 12.8 | 10 | 15.2 | 13 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 18.4 | 15 | 12.9 | 17 | 16.4 | 15 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Exeter City | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 12.2 | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 8 | 6.1 | 4 | 8.7 | 7 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury Town | 10 | 11.7 | 9 | 11.2 | 15 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 18 | Accrington Stanley | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 14.9 | 14 | 14.4 | 11 | -3.4 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 18.2 | 13 | 13.1 | 11 | 17.2 | 13 | -4.2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 8 | 10.7 | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | -4.4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 8 | 12.6 | 8 | 16.6 | 15 | 9.5 | 5 | -4.5 |
| 22 | Chesterfield | 10 | 22 | 17 | 12.2 | 14 | 19.6 | 15 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Rotherham United | 10 | 14.6 | 12 | 12.8 | 16 | 14.6 | 10 | -4.6 |
| 24 | Oldham Athletic | 9 | 12.5 | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |