No, Cesena have taken 7 points over their last 6 Serie B games, 1.20 fewer than the 8.20 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Cesena create 1.07 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Serie B games, 6.42 in all, and have scored 7 goals from those chances, 0.58 more than that xG would expect.
Cesena allow 1.03 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Serie B games, 6.18 in all, and have conceded 8 goals from those chances, 1.82 more than that xGA would expect.
Antonio Fiori has the most expected goals (xG) for Cesena over their last 6 Serie B games, 0.29 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Cristian Shpendi is next with 0.11 xG.
Cesena have taken 1.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: +0.6 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 6.42 | 7 | +0.58 | 6.18 | 8 | -1.82 | 8.20 | 7 | -1.20 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.41 | 6 | +0.59 | 5.14 | 7 | -1.86 | 6.88 | 6 | -0.88 |
| Home | 3 | 4.00 | 4 | 0.00 | 2.68 | 4 | -1.32 | 4.97 | 3 | -1.97 |
| Away | 3 | 2.42 | 3 | +0.58 | 3.50 | 4 | -0.50 | 3.23 | 4 | +0.77 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Serie B | Benevento (A) | 2-0 | 0.50 | 1.36 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 18 Sep | Serie B | Juve Stabia (A) | 1-1 | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.19 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Serie B | Cremonese (H) | 2-2 | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Serie B | Mantova (H) | 1-1 | 1.87 | 0.62 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Serie B | Virtus Entella (A) | 1-2 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 1.35 | 3 | D |
| 23 Aug | Serie B | Sampdoria (H) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1.32 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Shpendi | attacker | 6 | 514 | 0.11 | 6 | +5.89 | 0.02 |
| Antonio Fiori | attacker | 6 | 364 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.07 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8.1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | +6 |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 7.9 | 13 | 8.3 | 6 | 8.2 | 14 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Südtirol | 6 | 6.6 | 9 | 7.8 | 3 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Avellino | 6 | 6.5 | 11 | 7.8 | 7 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Modena | 6 | 10.7 | 11 | 6.3 | 6 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 6 | 10.4 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Benevento | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 7.7 | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Calcio Padova | 6 | 6.4 | 5 | 11.1 | 8 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Empoli | 6 | 5.6 | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 6 | 7.2 | 6 | 9.2 | 13 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 | Pisa | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 6.8 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Cesena | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 6.2 | 8 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 7.3 | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | 6.4 | 7 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 6.7 | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 6 | 7.8 | 7 | 9.1 | 13 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 6.8 | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 6 | 7.5 | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 6 | 8.4 | 6 | 8.1 | 13 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | 6.9 | 10 | 11.6 | 7 | -4.6 |