Nine Champions League ties on Wednesday, two at 5:45pm and seven at 8pm. Five player bets stand out on our model, two on shots and three on fouls, and the strongest is an Aston Villa defender who has had a shot in five of his last six games. Prices were taken this morning and can move before kick-off.
Everything below comes from our Player Props board and the model's projections, and the rule holds: we only name a selection the model rates above its price. The hit rates quoted are match statistics for each player's last six games.
Matty Cash 1+ shots at 1/2 with bet365 is 77 percent against an implied 67. He has done it in five of his last six games, with a high of four.
John McGinn 2+ shots at 4/6 with bet365 is 68 percent against an implied 60, and he has done it in four of his last six, with a high of four.
Gianni Stensness 1+ fouls at 1/2 with bet365 is 71 percent against an implied 67 for the Viking defender, who has done it in four of his last six games, with a high of three.
Villa are 3rd with two wins from two and Viking are 27th with a point. Villa v Viking is previewed here.
Sasa Kalajdzic 1+ fouls at 4/9 with bet365 is 75 percent against an implied 69. He has done it in four of his last six games, with a high of three.
Sporting are 6th with two wins from two, while LASK Linz are 33rd with no points after a 6-3 defeat at Liverpool. Sporting v LASK Linz has its own preview.
Jorne Spileers 1+ fouls at 4/7 with bet365 is 68 percent against an implied 64. He has done it in four of his last six games, with a high of three.
Club Brugge won 4-3 at Inter on 13 October, while Lens lost 2-0 at Sporting the same night. Club Brugge v Lens is previewed here.
Today's Daily Acca has two Champions League slips: a four-fold of Sporting, Aston Villa, Real Madrid and Betis at around 9/5, and a treble of Lille, Betis and Club Brugge at around 11/2. Tuesday's two slips both fell to Porto's 1-0 home defeat by PSV, so the season stands at 21 winners from 95 and +9.59pts.
Every price on the card is rated against our projection model. A bet makes this page only when the model puts it clearly above the chance the price implies and the player's recent games back it up. One Champions League tie tonight, Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk, has no model projection, so it is left out of the picks. The hit rates quoted are match statistics, not settled bets. The full boards are on the Player Props page, and the Bet Builder Tips page builds the same reads into same-game slips.
Matty Cash 1+ shots at 1/2, John McGinn 2+ shots at 4/6, Gianni Stensness 1+ fouls at 1/2, Sasa Kalajdzic 1+ fouls at 4/9 and Jorne Spileers 1+ fouls at 4/7. Our model rates each one above the chance its price implies, and each player has cleared the line in at least four of his last six games.
Como v Manchester United and Lille v Galatasaray kick off at 5:45pm UK, and the other seven games, including Bayern München v Arsenal and Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, kick off at 8pm.
Matty Cash of Aston Villa, who has had a shot in five of his last six games, with a high of four.
18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.