Oklahoma City ThunderThunder
Fri, Nov 1310:30 PMETLA
LA ClippersClippers
OKC1.27LAC4.65via Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 13

Updated Nov 12, with the latest lineups and odds

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OKC

Statz pick

Oklahoma City Thunder to win

We give the Oklahoma City Thunder a 68% chance, against 32% for the LA Clippers. See the full projection →

68%
OKC to win
Polymarket1.27

The Statz model favours the Oklahoma City Thunder at 68% to beat the LA Clippers on Friday 13 November, with a model line of -6.3 and a projected total of 221.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market spread to compare. The injury that matters most is Jalen Williams, out for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the LA Clippers on Friday 13 November, with tip at 10:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Thunder the favourite at 68%, with a model line of -6.3. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against that price.

How the teams arrive

The Thunder are 6-4 over their last 10 and arrive on a poor note. They lost both games at Portland, 108-118 and then 103-123. Before that came four straight wins, including a 114-75 home win over Washington and a 128-97 win at Memphis. They have scored 112.1 and allowed 109.5 per game across the 10. They also beat the Clippers 108-101 on 25 October in the first meeting of the season. This is a road game for them.

The Clippers are 2-8 over the same stretch and have allowed 118.1 points per game against 112.2 scored. The defence is the problem. They lost 110-133 at Phoenix last time out and 87-103 at home to the Lakers. They were beaten by one point at home by Miami, 116-117. The two wins came against New Orleans, 139-123, and Sacramento, 121-96. They are at home here, but that has not been a safe place for them lately.

Team news and lineups

The Thunder list six players as out. Jalen Williams is the biggest loss. He was hurt in the October meeting with the Clippers and has had surgery on a fractured left fibula and ankle ligaments. Cason Wallace is also out after shoulder surgery, and Chet Holmgren is out with a patellar tendon tear. Thomas Sorber, Jaylin Williams and Ajay Mitchell are listed out as well. Mitchell has an ankle sprain.

That strips the Thunder of size and secondary creation. With Holmgren and Jaylin Williams out, the frontcourt minutes lean on Isaiah Hartenstein and Aday Mara. In the backcourt, Alex Caruso and Bennett Stirtz are candidates for bigger roles. The model still has them clear favourites, which says something about the gap between the teams.

The Clippers have their own gaps. Bradley Beal, Yanic Konan Niederhauser and Jordan Miller are out. Brandon Ingram is also listed out, though earlier reports named this game as his next chance to make his season debut, so check his status before tip. Cam Christie is day-to-day with an ankle problem, but he has played only 6.0 minutes per game, so his absence barely moves the rotation. Beal's absence leaves the backcourt minutes to Darius Garland, Keaton Wagler and Kris Dunn.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 28.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists. With so many Thunder teammates out, he carries the scoring and the playmaking. He is the main reason the model sees a seven-point edge on the road.

Jared McCain

Jared McCain is projected for 13.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 2.3 threes. The injury list should lift his minutes, and he is the secondary scorer most likely to benefit.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein is projected for 8.7 points, 9.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists. He is the Thunder's best answer on the glass with the other bigs sidelined, and his passing keeps the offence moving.

Darius Garland

Darius Garland is projected for 18.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, 6.0 assists and 2.6 threes. He is the Clippers' lead guard and the main source of offence. If he is off, the Clippers have little else to lean on.

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura is projected for 12.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.9 threes. He gives the Clippers a second scoring option on the wing, and his shooting helps spacing around Garland.

Keaton Wagler

Keaton Wagler is projected for 8.7 points, 2.9 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.2 threes. With Beal out, he is part of the backcourt minutes that have to be filled. His output is modest, but the Clippers need steady guard play to keep this close.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Oklahoma City Thunder over the LA Clippers at 68%. It projects a score of 113.7 to 107.4, which gives a model line of -6.3 for the Thunder and +6.3 for the Clippers. The projected total is 221.1.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is the missing piece. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for this game yet. Without a market total, there is no over or under lean. The 221.1 figure is the model's number alone. Check the NBA odds page once lines appear, and compare them with the model line of -6.3.

The case for the Thunder is simple. They have won the first meeting this season, they have the stronger run over 10 games, and the Clippers have allowed 118.1 points per game. The case against is also clear. The Thunder have lost two straight on the road, and their injury list is long.

Statz pick: Oklahoma City Thunder to win, 68% model probability, model line -6.3.

Lines move before tip, so confirm injury news and the posted number before acting on any of this.

OKC @ LAC questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Thunder vs Clippers?
The model favours the Oklahoma City Thunder at 68%, with the LA Clippers at 32%. The model line is Thunder -6.3, built on a projected score of 113.7 to 107.4 in favour of Oklahoma City.
What is the projected total for Thunder at Clippers?
The model projects a total of 221.1 points, with the Thunder at 113.7 and the Clippers at 107.4. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Has a spread been posted for Thunder vs Clippers?
No. No bookmaker had posted a spread, total or moneyline when this preview was built, so no model-versus-market comparison is possible. The model line is Thunder -6.3. Check the NBA odds page for updates before tip.
Who is injured for the Thunder?
Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Jaylin Williams and Ajay Mitchell are all listed as out. Williams was hurt in the October meeting with the Clippers and has had surgery on a fractured left fibula.
How have the Clippers played recently?
The Clippers are 2-8 over their last 10, scoring 112.2 and allowing 118.1 per game. Their most recent game was a 110-133 loss at Phoenix. Their two wins came against New Orleans, 139-123, and Sacramento, 121-96.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Oklahoma City Thunder or LA Clippers?

The Statz model favours the Oklahoma City Thunder with a 68% win probability, leaving the LA Clippers at 32%. Over their last five games the LA Clippers are 1-4 and the Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers?

For Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers, the model projects Darius Garland for 18.9 points and Rui Hachimura for 12.5 points for the LA Clippers. For the Oklahoma City Thunder it projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 28.3 points and Jared McCain for 13.5 points.