Milwaukee BucksBucks
Fri, Nov 137:00 PMETOrlando
Orlando MagicMagic
MIL3.77ORL1.36via Polymarket

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 13

Updated Nov 12, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

ORL

Statz pick

Orlando Magic to win

We give the Orlando Magic a 73% chance, against 27% for the Milwaukee Bucks. See the full projection →

73%
ORL to win
Polymarket1.36

The Statz model favours the Orlando Magic at 73% to beat the Milwaukee Bucks, with a model line of -8.3 and a projected total of 223.3. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters is Paolo Banchero, out with a high-ankle sprain.

The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Orlando Magic on Friday 13 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Orlando the favourite at 73%, with a model line of -8.3. The market has not posted a line yet, so there is nothing to compare it with. Check the NBA odds page for updates.

How the teams arrive

Orlando are 4-6 over their last 10 and average 106.8 points for and 112.2 against. The run is uneven. They won at Utah 123-108 and at Sacramento 107-100 in their last two outings. Before that came four straight defeats and a 99-129 loss at Toronto. They have lost both of their recent home games, 97-108 to Boston and 94-103 to Washington. Tonight they are back at home.

Milwaukee are 1-9 over their last 10 and have lost eight in a row. They average 104.0 points for and 119.6 against. The scores are ugly. They lost 85-117 at New York, 111-136 to Cleveland and 100-132 to Houston, then 112-123 to the Lakers in their last game. Their only win in the stretch was 110-102 over Indiana. The defence is the problem, and they are on the road.

Team news and lineups

Orlando carry a long list. Paolo Banchero is out with a right high-ankle sprain, expected to miss four-to-six weeks. That removes their top scorer and pushes more of the offence onto the wings. Jalen Suggs is also out with a knee bone bruise and is week-to-week.

Tristan Da Silva (calf) is listed as out. Jamal Cain (shoulder) is also out, though he was considered questionable for this game. Noah Penda has a partially torn hamstring, with no timeline given. Jonathan Isaac has yet to make his season debut. Izaiyah Nelson, a two-way rookie, is recovering from ankle surgery, and his absence is a developmental issue more than a rotation one. With so many wings and guards out, Jase Richardson and the bench should see extra minutes.

Milwaukee have two names to watch. Ryan Rollins is day-to-day after leaving the Lakers game with a head injury. If he misses time, AJ Green and Kasparas Jakucionis could see more playing time. Myles Turner sat out Wednesday for rest and should return in Orlando. His presence matters for a defence that has been leaking points.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner is projected for 24.5 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists. With Banchero out, he is the main creator and scorer for Orlando. His usage should stay high all night.

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane is projected for 19.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 3.2 threes. He is the spacing the Magic need. Any Milwaukee slip on the perimeter will cost them.

Anthony Black

Anthony Black is projected for 16.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists. With Suggs out, he carries more of the ball handling. His all-round line is a useful marker of how Orlando's offence is flowing.

Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro is projected for 18.7 points, 4.1 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.3 threes. He is Milwaukee's top scoring option in the model. If he is off, the team total is hard to reach.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is projected for 13.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists. He gives the Bucks a second ball handler and a driver. Those minutes could grow if Rollins is limited.

Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma is projected for 11.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is a steady source of secondary scoring for a team that has struggled to find it.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Orlando Magic. Its win probability is 73%, and its line is Magic -8.3 against Bucks +8.3. It projects Orlando for 115.8 points and Milwaukee for 107.5, a total of 223.3.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make here. The model is present, but the market is missing: no bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline. We cannot say whether 223.3 leans over or under, so there is no total lean yet. Return once a number is posted.

Orlando are far from healthy, but Milwaukee's recent defence and eight-game losing run explain the gap. The risk is that Orlando's depleted rotation keeps the game closer than the model expects.

Statz pick: Orlando Magic to win, model line -8.3, 73% win probability. Lines move before tip, so check the number once it is posted.

MIL @ ORL questions

Who does the model favour in Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic?
The Statz model favours the Orlando Magic at 73%, with the Milwaukee Bucks at 27%. Its line is Magic -8.3 and Bucks +8.3, based on a projected home margin of 8.3 points.
What is the projected total for Bucks vs Magic?
The model projects 223.3 total points, with the Orlando Magic at 115.8 and the Milwaukee Bucks at 107.5. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
What time is Bucks at Magic?
Tip is at 7:00 PM ET on Friday 13 November 2026, with the Orlando Magic at home against the Milwaukee Bucks. Lines and injury news can change before then, so check back close to the game.
Which injuries matter most for the Magic?
Paolo Banchero is out with a right high-ankle sprain and is expected to miss four-to-six weeks. Jalen Suggs is out with a knee bone bruise. Tristan Da Silva and Jamal Cain are also listed out, which thins Orlando's rotation.
How are the Bucks playing coming in?
Milwaukee are 1-9 over their last 10 and have lost eight in a row. They average 104.0 points for and 119.6 against, and lost 112-123 to the Lakers in their last game.
Is Myles Turner expected to play for the Bucks?
Turner sat out Wednesday against the Lakers for rest and is expected back for Friday in Orlando. Ryan Rollins is day-to-day after a head injury in the same game, so his status is worth checking before tip.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Milwaukee Bucks or Orlando Magic?

The Statz model favours the Orlando Magic with a 73% win probability, leaving the Milwaukee Bucks at 27%. Over their last five games the Orlando Magic are 2-3 and the Milwaukee Bucks are 0-5. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic?

No spread or total is posted yet for Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic?

For Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic, the model projects Franz Wagner for 24.5 points and Desmond Bane for 19.6 points for the Orlando Magic. For the Milwaukee Bucks it projects Tyler Herro for 18.7 points and Jaime Jaquez Jr. for 13.7 points.