New York KnicksKnicks
Fri, Nov 137:00 PMETIndiana
Indiana PacersPacers
NYK1.38IND3.64via Polymarket

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 13

Updated Nov 12, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 64% chance, against 36% for the Indiana Pacers. See the full projection →

64%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.38

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 64% to beat the Indiana Pacers, with a projected margin of 4.7 points against a market line of -2.5. The model total of 228.7 sits under the 233.5 market number. The injury that matters is Tyrese Haliburton, out until at least 22 November.

The New York Knicks visit the Indiana Pacers on Friday 13 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Knicks the favourite at 64%, and the market agrees on the side, with New York at -2.5. The model asks for more than the market does.

How the teams arrive

Indiana are 3-7 over their last 10 (W L L W L L L L L W), averaging 111.1 points for and 112.7 against. They beat the Wizards 114-101 at home last time out. Before that came a 122-125 loss at Dallas and a 102-114 home loss to Denver. The low point was a 125-145 defeat at Miami. The high point was a 136-109 win at Brooklyn on 25 October. They are home tonight.

New York are 6-4 over their last 10 (L W W W W L W W L L), scoring 111.3 and conceding 103.2. That defensive edge of roughly nine points per game is the gap in this matchup. The 117-85 win over Milwaukee and the 135-105 win over Chicago stand out. The Knicks come in off a 107-115 home loss to Cleveland, and they are on the road tonight.

Team news and lineups

The Knicks have nobody on the injury report. That is a clear edge in continuity.

Indiana are thin. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a hamstring strain, with a return date of 22 November. That pushes more on-ball work to Andrew Nembhard, with Quenton Jackson and Braden Smith in line for extra minutes. Ben Sheppard is out for months after surgery on a torn meniscus. Johnny Furphy is out as he recovers from an ACL injury, and is practising with the G League's Noblesville Boom.

Aaron Nesmith is day-to-day with right knee soreness. He left Wednesday's game against the Wizards after 22 minutes. If he cannot go, Jarace Walker and Quenton Jackson are the candidates for more minutes. His status is worth checking before tip.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam is projected for 20.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He is Indiana's main scoring option with Haliburton out, and the offence runs through him.

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard is projected for 15.0 points, 2.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists, with 2.3 threes. He takes over the playmaking, and his assist number is the one to watch.

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac is projected for 10.8 points and 7.5 rebounds. He is the Pacers' main answer to the Knicks' size inside.

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson is projected for 23.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 5.7 assists, with 2.1 threes. He leads the New York offence and sets the pace against a short-handed Indiana backcourt.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns is projected for 20.4 points and 13.9 rebounds, with 3.2 assists. The rebounding number is the biggest single projection on the floor, and it matters against an Indiana frontcourt missing depth.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby is projected for 16.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.2 threes. He is the Knicks' two-way wing and a key piece of their defence.

Statz prediction

The model takes the New York Knicks at 64%, against 36% for the Indiana Pacers. Its line is Knicks -4.7, and the market has them at -2.5. That is a gap of 2.2 points on the spread, and the model leans to New York. The market price on the Knicks is 1.95 at Bet365.

On the total, the model projects 228.7 points (Indiana 112.0, New York 116.7) against a market line of 233.5. That is a gap of 4.8 points, and the model leans under. Both sides are priced at 1.90 at Bet365. The Knicks' defence and Indiana's weakened rotation both point that way.

Statz pick: New York Knicks -2.5 at 1.95 (Bet365), with a lean to the under on 233.5 at 1.90.

Lines move before tip, and Nesmith's status could shift them. Check the latest on our NBA odds page and the full preview.

NYK @ IND questions

Who does the model favour in Knicks vs Pacers?
The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 64%, with the Indiana Pacers at 36%. It projects a margin of 4.7 points for New York, wider than the market line of -2.5.
What is the market spread for Knicks at Pacers?
The market has the New York Knicks at -2.5 and the Indiana Pacers at +2.5. Bet365 offers 1.95 on the Knicks and 1.86 on the Pacers, and DraftKings shows the same prices.
What is the total for Knicks vs Pacers?
The market total is 233.5, with the over and under both at 1.90 at Bet365. The model projects 228.7 points, a gap of 4.8, and leans to the under.
Is Tyrese Haliburton playing for the Pacers?
No. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a hamstring strain, with a return date of 22 November. Andrew Nembhard is expected to take on more on-ball duties, and Quenton Jackson and Braden Smith may see extra minutes.
Do the Knicks have any injuries?
No. The New York Knicks have nobody on the injury report for this game. Indiana have four names listed, including Aaron Nesmith, who is day-to-day with right knee soreness.
What are the moneyline odds?
The best moneyline prices are 1.80 (-125) on the New York Knicks and 2.05 (+105) on the Indiana Pacers, both at Bet365. DraftKings lists the same prices.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, New York Knicks or Indiana Pacers?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 64% win probability, leaving the Indiana Pacers at 36%. Bet365 agrees, pricing the New York Knicks as the favourite at -2.5 on the spread. The moneyline is +105 for the Indiana Pacers and -125 for the New York Knicks.

What is the spread and total for New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers?

Bet365 lists the Indiana Pacers at +2.5 with the total at 233.5 for New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers?

For New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers, the model projects Pascal Siakam for 20.2 points and Andrew Nembhard for 15.0 points for the Indiana Pacers. For the New York Knicks it projects Jalen Brunson for 23.5 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 20.4 points.