No, Sassuolo have taken 28 points over their last 20 Serie A games, within 1.16 of the 26.84 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Sassuolo create 1.38 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 27.61 in all, and have scored 29 goals from those chances, 1.39 more than that xG would expect.
Sassuolo allow 1.45 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 29.02 in all, and have conceded 26 goals from those chances, 3.02 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Kristian Thorstvedt has the most expected goals (xG) for Sassuolo over their last 20 Serie A games, 4.60 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Andrea Pinamonti is next with 3.69 xG.
Sassuolo's results and their chances agree, within 1.2 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 27.61 | 29 | +1.39 | 29.02 | 26 | +3.02 | 26.84 | 28 | +1.16 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.75 | 15 | -1.75 | 13.09 | 16 | -2.91 | 16.04 | 11 | -5.04 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.65 | 9 | +1.35 | 7.73 | 8 | -0.27 | 6.86 | 8 | +1.14 |
| Home | 10 | 14.04 | 19 | +4.96 | 12.36 | 11 | +1.36 | 14.92 | 22 | +7.08 |
| Away | 10 | 13.57 | 10 | -3.57 | 16.66 | 15 | +1.66 | 11.92 | 6 | -5.92 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Serie A | AC Milan (H) | 1-1 | 1.14 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Serie A | Monza (A) | 2-1 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Serie A | Juventus (H) | 3-2 | 1.08 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | Serie A | Bologna (A) | 2-2 | 1.49 | 2.34 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Serie A | Torino (H) | 2-1 | 2.13 | 1.12 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Serie A | Atalanta (A) | 2-1 | 2.54 | 0.90 | 2.34 | 0 | W |
| 24 May | Serie A | Parma (A) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 1.23 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Serie A | Lecce (H) | 2-3 | 1.99 | 0.88 | 2.11 | 0 | W |
| 8 May | Serie A | Torino (A) | 2-1 | 1.51 | 1.98 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Serie A | AC Milan (H) | 2-0 | 2.20 | 0.37 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Serie A | Fiorentina (A) | 0-0 | 1.16 | 2.00 | 0.87 | 1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Serie A | Como (H) | 2-1 | 1.18 | 0.93 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Serie A | Genoa (A) | 2-1 | 1.10 | 1.57 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Serie A | Cagliari (H) | 2-1 | 0.64 | 1.57 | 0.70 | 3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Serie A | Juventus (A) | 1-1 | 0.76 | 2.32 | 0.49 | 1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Serie A | Bologna (H) | 0-1 | 0.64 | 1.23 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| 9 Mar | Serie A | Lazio (A) | 2-1 | 0.94 | 1.89 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Serie A | Atalanta (H) | 2-1 | 1.22 | 2.95 | 0.53 | 3 | L |
| 20 Feb | Serie A | Hellas Verona (H) | 3-0 | 1.82 | 0.74 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 15 Feb | Serie A | Udinese (A) | 1-2 | 1.40 | 0.73 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilije Adžić | midfielder | 6 | 282 | 1.62 | 3 | +1.38 | 0.52 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | attacker | 13 | 749 | 3.69 | 5 | +1.31 | 0.44 |
| Domenico Berardi | attacker | 17 | 1200 | 2.77 | 4 | +1.23 | 0.21 |
| Ulisses Garcia | defender | 12 | 923 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.01 |
| Sebastiano Esposito | attacker | 3 | 203 | 0.23 | 1 | +0.77 | 0.10 |
| Cristian Volpato | midfielder | 14 | 621 | 1.32 | 2 | +0.68 | 0.19 |
| Armand Laurienté | attacker | 20 | 1631 | 3.33 | 4 | +0.67 | 0.18 |
| Josh Doig | defender | 13 | 741 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.05 |
| Ismaël Koné | midfielder | 14 | 1091 | 2.23 | 2 | -0.23 | 0.18 |
| Tarik Muharemović | defender | 11 | 946 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.08 |
| Kieron Bowie | attacker | 6 | 325 | 1.80 | 1 | -0.80 | 0.50 |
| M'Bala Nzola | attacker | 13 | 447 | 1.86 | 1 | -0.86 | 0.38 |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | midfielder | 19 | 1420 | 4.60 | 2 | -2.60 | 0.29 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 10.7 | 3 | 5.4 | 13 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 8.9 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 6 | 6.7 | 8 | 11.2 | 8 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Inter | 6 | 16.8 | 18 | 6.7 | 8 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | 6.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | 6.7 | 3 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 9.2 | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Lecce | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Napoli | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Parma | 6 | 4.6 | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Juventus | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 7.3 | 9 | 10.3 | 13 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| 17 | Bologna | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Monza | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | 8.1 | 15 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | 8.7 | 14 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | 12.7 | 16 | 7.1 | 0 | -7.1 |