Ross County xG 2024/2025

Ross County expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 38
Expected goals (xG): 41.94
Goals scored: 37
Goals minus xG: -4.94
Expected goals against (xGA): 67.40
Goals conceded: 65
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.40
Expected points (xPts): 41.28
Points: 37
Points minus xPts: -4.28
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Ross County overperforming their expected goals?

Ross County's results and their chances agree, within 4.3 points of xPts over 38 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Ross County results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	38	41.94	37	-4.94	67.40	65	+2.40	41.28	37	-4.28
Last 10	10	11.48	7	-4.48	18.58	16	+2.58	9.30	5	-4.30
Last 5	5	6.91	4	-2.91	9.63	9	+0.63	5.29	2	-3.29
Home	19	25.82	22	-3.82	28.73	28	+0.73	26.13	21	-5.13
Away	19	16.12	15	-1.12	38.67	37	+1.67	15.15	16	+0.85

Ross County expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 May	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (H)	1-1	1.67	2.26	1.06	1	L
14 May	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (A)	1-1	1.91	1.12	1.89	1	W
10 May	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (A)	2-1	1.04	2.55	0.57	0	L
3 May	Scottish Premiership	Hearts (H)	1-3	1.87	2.26	1.18	0	L
26 Apr	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	2-0	0.42	1.44	0.59	0	L
12 Apr	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (A)	3-2	1.51	1.74	1.24	0	L
5 Apr	Scottish Premiership	Aberdeen (H)	0-1	0.97	1.48	1.00	0	L
30 Mar	Scottish Premiership	Dundee Utd (H)	0-1	0.55	2.06	0.44	0	L
15 Mar	Scottish Premiership	Hearts (A)	2-0	0.44	1.51	0.57	0	L
1 Mar	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (H)	1-0	1.10	2.16	0.76	3	L
26 Feb	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (A)	1-0	0.26	1.16	0.57	0	L
22 Feb	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (H)	3-1	3.02	1.07	2.41	3	W
15 Feb	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (A)	0-3	1.06	0.93	1.45	3	W
2 Feb	Scottish Premiership	Rangers (A)	4-0	0.10	3.90	0.03	0	L
25 Jan	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian (H)	1-1	1.78	0.78	2.07	1	W
11 Jan	Scottish Premiership	Celtic (H)	1-4	0.97	5.75	0.06	0	L
5 Jan	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	0-1	0.98	0.79	1.49	3	W
2 Jan	Scottish Premiership	Aberdeen (A)	1-2	0.82	2.51	0.46	3	L
29 Dec	Scottish Premiership	Hearts (H)	2-2	1.25	1.61	1.14	1	L
26 Dec	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (A)	0-3	2.40	0.38	2.60	3	W
21 Dec	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (H)	1-2	1.31	1.44	1.29	0	L
14 Dec	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian (A)	3-1	1.33	4.33	0.26	0	L
8 Dec	Scottish Premiership	Rangers (H)	0-3	0.74	1.46	0.84	0	L
30 Nov	Scottish Premiership	Celtic (A)	5-0	0.09	3.46	0.05	0	L
23 Nov	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (H)	2-1	1.40	0.75	1.85	3	W
9 Nov	Scottish Premiership	Dundee Utd (A)	3-0	1.28	1.51	1.21	0	L
2 Nov	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (A)	0-0	0.53	1.43	0.68	1	L
30 Oct	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian (H)	0-0	0.66	0.71	1.27	1	D
26 Oct	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (H)	2-1	1.26	0.77	1.73	3	W
19 Oct	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (A)	3-0	0.34	2.70	0.19	0	L

Ross County players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale	attacker	36	2342	10.44	12	+1.56	0.40
Joshua Nisbet	midfielder	36	2272	1.55	3	+1.45	0.06
Akil Wright	defender	38	3420	3.51	4	+0.49	0.09
Elijah Campbell	defender	28	2190	0.80	1	+0.20	0.03
Noah Chilvers	midfielder	30	1994	2.98	3	+0.02	0.13
Alex Samuel	attacker	22	858	2.26	2	-0.26	0.24
Connor Randall	defender	37	3256	1.39	1	-0.39	0.04
Michee Efete	defender	20	1024	1.49	1	-0.49	0.13
Aidan Denholm	midfielder	15	690	0.57	0	-0.57	0.07
G. Harmon	defender	23	1741	1.65	1	-0.65	0.09
N. Kenneh	midfielder	15	1052	1.09	0	-1.09	0.09
Eamonn Brophy	attacker	11	332	1.40	0	-1.40	0.38
Jordan White	attacker	38	2146	8.35	6	-2.35	0.35

Scottish Premiership 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Dundee United	38	50.4	45	61.9	54	45.4	53	+7.6
2	Aberdeen	38	49	48	61.2	61	47.1	53	+5.9
3	Motherwell	37	44.4	45	59.9	62	42.7	48	+5.3
4	Celtic	38	100.4	112	28.3	26	87.5	92	+4.5
5	Hibernian	38	57.3	62	53.1	50	54.9	58	+3.1
6	Rangers	38	75.5	80	39.1	41	72.2	75	+2.8
7	Dundee	38	44.8	57	75.2	77	38.4	41	+2.6
8	St. Mirren	38	50.5	53	55.2	59	51.2	50	-1.2
9	Ross County	38	42	37	67.4	65	41.3	37	-4.3
10	Hearts	38	53.8	52	47.9	47	56.7	52	-4.7
11	Kilmarnock	37	52.4	44	54.6	63	50.4	43	-7.4
12	St. Johnstone	38	41.2	38	57.8	68	42.8	32	-10.8