Yes, Lecce have taken 23 points over their last 20 Serie A games, 3.76 more than the 19.24 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Lecce create 1.01 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 20.17 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 1.17 fewer than that xG would expect.
Lecce allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 35.38 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 4.38 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Lassana Coulibaly has the most expected goals (xG) for Lecce over their last 20 Serie A games, 3.02 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Nikola Stulic is next with 3.01 xG.
Lecce have taken 3.8 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -1.2 goals against their xG, and +4.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 20.17 | 19 | -1.17 | 35.38 | 31 | +4.38 | 19.24 | 23 | +3.76 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.75 | 12 | +1.25 | 19.24 | 16 | +3.24 | 8.69 | 15 | +6.31 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.43 | 4 | -0.43 | 9.77 | 12 | -2.23 | 3.61 | 3 | -0.61 |
| Home | 9 | 10.07 | 8 | -2.07 | 17.65 | 16 | +1.65 | 8.74 | 10 | +1.26 |
| Away | 11 | 10.10 | 11 | +0.90 | 17.73 | 15 | +2.73 | 10.50 | 13 | +2.50 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Serie A | Bologna (H) | 1-2 | 1.27 | 1.78 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Serie A | AC Milan (A) | 3-0 | 0.31 | 1.29 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Serie A | Monza (H) | 3-2 | 1.21 | 2.87 | 0.55 | 3 | L |
| 7 Sep | Serie A | Cagliari (A) | 1-0 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 31 Aug | Serie A | Roma (H) | 0-4 | 0.77 | 2.53 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Serie A | Venezia (A) | 0-2 | 1.90 | 2.21 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 24 May | Serie A | Genoa (H) | 1-0 | 1.36 | 0.89 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Serie A | Sassuolo (A) | 2-3 | 0.88 | 1.99 | 0.68 | 3 | L |
| 9 May | Serie A | Juventus (H) | 0-1 | 1.12 | 2.09 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 1 May | Serie A | Pisa (A) | 1-2 | 1.06 | 2.29 | 0.68 | 3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Serie A | Hellas Verona (A) | 0-0 | 1.20 | 0.37 | 2.04 | 1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Serie A | Fiorentina (H) | 1-1 | 1.97 | 1.00 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Serie A | Bologna (A) | 2-0 | 0.30 | 2.27 | 0.25 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | Serie A | Atalanta (H) | 0-3 | 0.47 | 2.58 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Serie A | Roma (A) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Serie A | Napoli (A) | 2-1 | 0.85 | 0.94 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Serie A | Cremonese (H) | 2-1 | 1.78 | 1.11 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Serie A | Como (A) | 3-1 | 0.21 | 2.43 | 0.18 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Serie A | Inter (H) | 0-2 | 0.12 | 2.80 | 0.10 | 0 | L |
| 16 Feb | Serie A | Cagliari (A) | 0-2 | 1.66 | 1.56 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Gabriel | defender | 18 | 1496 | 2.09 | 3 | +0.91 | 0.13 |
| Amar Fatah | attacker | 5 | 177 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.09 |
| Jamil Siebert | defender | 20 | 1644 | 0.41 | 1 | +0.59 | 0.02 |
| Walid Cheddira | attacker | 14 | 810 | 2.48 | 3 | +0.52 | 0.28 |
| Ylber Ramadani | midfielder | 14 | 1228 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.04 |
| Lameck Banda | attacker | 13 | 881 | 1.58 | 2 | +0.42 | 0.16 |
| Omri Gandelman | midfielder | 15 | 571 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.11 |
| Lassana Coulibaly | midfielder | 19 | 1590 | 3.02 | 3 | -0.02 | 0.17 |
| Willem Geubbels | attacker | 3 | 156 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.33 |
| Konan N’Dri | attacker | 16 | 424 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.14 |
| Santiago Pierotti | attacker | 20 | 1580 | 1.85 | 1 | -0.85 | 0.11 |
| Nikola Stulic | attacker | 17 | 680 | 3.01 | 2 | -1.01 | 0.40 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 10.7 | 3 | 5.4 | 13 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 8.9 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 6 | 6.7 | 8 | 11.2 | 8 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Inter | 6 | 16.8 | 18 | 6.7 | 8 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | 6.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | 6.7 | 3 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 9.2 | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Lecce | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Napoli | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Parma | 6 | 4.6 | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Juventus | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 7.3 | 9 | 10.3 | 13 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| 17 | Bologna | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Monza | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | 8.1 | 15 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | 8.7 | 14 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | 12.7 | 16 | 7.1 | 0 | -7.1 |