AC Milan host Lecce at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano on 20 September 2026 at 19:45 in Serie A. AC Milan's last five results: W W D D L (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Lecce's last five: L W L L W (2 wins and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan have won 6, Lecce 0, with 0 draws.
AC Milan vs Lecce kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 20 September 2026 in Serie A, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
AC Milan vs Lecce is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano, the home ground of AC Milan.
AC Milan's last five results read W W D D L (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Lecce's last five results read L W L L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings AC Milan have won 6, Lecce have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was AC Milan 1-0 Lecce on 18 January 2026 in the Serie A.
Pervis Estupiñán leads AC Milan with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Santiago Pierotti leads Lecce with 19 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Federico La Penna is the referee for AC Milan vs Lecce, averaging 32.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan and Lecce are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes AC Milan the favourite with a 70% chance of winning, against 10% for Lecce and 20% for the draw. Projected goals are AC Milan 2.2 - 0.7 Lecce.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a AC Milan win, at 14%. Both teams to score is 45% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Lecce | 1-0 |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Coppa Italia | AC Milan vs Lecce | 3-0 |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Serie A | Lecce vs AC Milan | 0-2 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Serie A | Lecce vs AC Milan | 2-3 |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Lecce | 3-0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Lecce | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects AC Milan 2.2 - 0.7 Lecce in goals. It gives AC Milan a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lecce 10%. Both teams to score is 45% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | AC Milan win | 14% |
| 1-0 | AC Milan win | 12% |
| 3-0 | AC Milan win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-1 | AC Milan win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan vs Lecce, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | AC Milan | Fouls committed | Lecce | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 13 | S. Pierotti | 19 |
| 2 | S. Pavlović | 10 | L. Coulibaly | 17 |
| 3 | K. Winter | 9 | D. Veiga | 10 |
| 4 | P. Estupiñán | 7 | O. Ngom | 8 |
| 5 | F. Tomori | 7 | T. Gabriel | 7 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots | Lecce | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 15 | L. Coulibaly | 12 |
| 2 | G. Ramos | 14 | L. Banda | 11 |
| 3 | C. Pulisic | 7 | S. Pierotti | 10 |
| 4 | S. Pavlović | 7 | N. Stulic | 8 |
| 5 | A. Saelemaekers | 6 | K. N’Dri | 8 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots on target | Lecce | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 5 | L. Banda | 8 |
| 2 | G. Ramos | 4 | S. Pierotti | 4 |
| 3 | A. Saelemaekers | 3 | L. Coulibaly | 4 |
| 4 | C. Pulisic | 3 | T. Gabriel | 3 |
| 5 | S. Pavlović | 2 | N. Stulic | 3 |
| # | AC Milan | Goals | Lecce | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 2 | T. Gabriel | 3 |
| 2 | D. Moreira | 2 | L. Banda | 2 |
| 3 | S. Pavlović | 1 | L. Coulibaly | 2 |
| 4 | A. Saelemaekers | 1 | N. Stulic | 1 |
| 5 | G. Ramos | 1 | O. Gorter | 1 |
| # | AC Milan | Yellow cards | Lecce | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Estupiñán | 3 | D. Veiga | 4 |
| 2 | S. Pavlović | 3 | T. Gabriel | 3 |
| 3 | R. Loftus-Cheek | 2 | S. Pierotti | 2 |
| 4 | F. Tomori | 2 | K. N’Dri | 2 |
| 5 | D. Bartesaghi | 1 | Gaspar | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for AC Milan vs Lecce: Gonçalo Ramos 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.29); Koni De Winter 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.17). Combined odds 2.22 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 540.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 3 | 16 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 14 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 9 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 17 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 22.3 | 2 of 20 |
| Passes | 367.5 | 18 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 15 of 20 |