When does NFL Week 8 start?

Week 8 runs from Thursday 29 October, the Panthers at the Packers, to Monday 2 November, the Bears at the Seahawks: 14 games.

Which NFL teams have a bye in Week 8?

The 49ers, the Giants, the Saints and the Texans.

Who are the biggest favourites in NFL Week 8?

The Bengals by 10 against the Titans, the Jaguars by 10 against the Colts and the Cowboys by 7 against the Cardinals.

Which NFL Week 8 game has the highest total?

The Ravens at the Bills and the Cardinals at the Cowboys, at 54.5 points.

What is the Statz NFL Best Bets record this season?

73-53, +17.5 units at a 12.0% return, every pick graded once its game is final.

NFL Sunday Special - Week 8 — NFL Betting Guide

Published October 29, 2026 by Statz NFL.

The Statz tipster column for the eighth Sunday of 2026/27: a five-from-ten Week 7 owned in full, nine Sunday leans with no five-star side on the board, the quarterbacks and the injuries that move the numbers, touchdown scorers, props and the longshot slips.

Week 8, with the receipts from Week 7

Last Sunday's card went five from ten, and the five that lost are going in the first paragraph. The wins: the Colts plus six and a half at Minnesota (a six-point loss, 16-10), the Giants plus ten and a half at Houston (they won outright, 27-21), the Giants-Texans over (48 points), the Broncos-Cardinals over (46) and the Bengals-Ravens under, which finished at 48. The losses: New England plus three and a half in Chicago on Thursday (30-24), the Steelers-Saints over in Paris (26 points), Arizona plus four and a half, which Denver won 30-16, Kansas City plus two and a half, which Seattle won 20-3, and Philadelphia plus four and a half, the one five-star side of the week, which Dallas won 38-21. Three of the five that landed were totals, which is worth holding on to.

The parlays were quiet. All five of the NFL Parlays editions lost, including the Totals Parlay, which hit two overs and missed the third in Paris by 18 points, and the NFL Parlays record is eight winners from 41, 24.3 points staked and 39.27 returned, 14.97 up. The single-game slips had two winners and are six from 103, 2.05 up; the touchdown accas are two from 80, 11.45 down. Week 8 has fourteen games and four teams on a bye: Houston, New Orleans, the Giants and San Francisco. Three of the games are on their own, each with a preview: Panthers at Packers on Thursday, Eagles at Commanders on Sunday night and Bears at Seahawks on Monday. This column covers the eleven games on Sunday afternoon.

Best bets: no five-stars, and eight leans

There is no five-star side on the board this week: the biggest gaps between the model and the market are three to five points, and none clears the bar. The four-stars are the leans, half a point each. Two are the Thursday and Sunday-night games, covered in their previews: Green Bay minus three and a half at 1.98 and the Eagles-Commanders over at 40.0. Nine are on the Sunday afternoon slate.

Arizona plus seven and a half at Dallas at 1.87 on Kalshi is a 57% model call against 53.5% implied: the model has Dallas by four, not seven, with Carson Beck questionable, Jacoby Brissett projected for 250 yards, and Michael Wilson, Jeremiyah Love and Tyler Allgeier all on the questionable list. The New York Jets on the moneyline against Las Vegas at 1.87 on Kalshi is a 56.9% call against 53.3%, Jets by three and a half in the model. Pittsburgh minus three and a half against Cleveland at 2.06 on Kalshi is a 53.1% call against 48.5%, the model has Pittsburgh by six. The Falcons-Buccaneers under at 44.5 at 2.02 on Kalshi is a 53.9% call against 49.5%, the model total 39.2, five points under. Indianapolis plus ten and a half at Jacksonville at 1.90 on Kalshi is a 55.7% call against 52.6%, and the Colts-Jaguars under at 46.5 at 1.98 on Kalshi a 53.1% call against 50.5%, the model total 43.1. The Rams minus six and a half against the Chargers at 2.02 on Kalshi is a 54.4% call against 49.5%, the model has them by ten. And Denver plus one and a half against Kansas City at 1.94 on Kalshi is a 55.8% call against 51.5%, with the Chiefs-Broncos over at 40.5 at 2.04 on Polymarket a 52.1% call against 49%, the model total 44.

Cardinals +7.5 at the Cowboys — Spread, ARI @ DAL, Sun 6pm UK / 1pm ET — at 1.87 — The model has Dallas by four. Several Arizona skill players are questionable, so check the inactives. Game preview
Jets to win v the Raiders — Moneyline, LV @ NYJ, Sun 6pm UK / 1pm ET — at 1.87 — The model has the Jets by three and a half at home. Game preview
Steelers -3.5 v the Browns — Spread, CLE @ PIT, Sun 6pm UK / 1pm ET — at 2.06 — The model has Pittsburgh by six at home. Game preview
Under 44.5, Falcons at Buccaneers — Total, ATL @ TB — at 2.02 — Model total 39.2, five points under the market. Game preview
Under 46.5, Colts at Jaguars — Total, IND @ JAX — at 1.98 — Model total 43.1, three and a half points under the market. Game preview
Colts +10.5 at the Jaguars — Spread, IND @ JAX, Sun 6pm UK / 1pm ET — at 1.90 — The model has Jacksonville by seven and a half. Game preview
Rams -6.5 v the Chargers — Spread, LAC @ LAR, Sun 9:05pm UK / 4:05pm ET — at 2.02 — The model has Los Angeles by ten. Game preview
Broncos +1.5 v the Chiefs — Spread, KC @ DEN, Sun 9:25pm UK / 4:25pm ET — at 1.94 — The model has Denver by two at home. The moneyline at 2.11 is the same bet. Game preview
Over 40.5, Chiefs at Broncos — Total, KC @ DEN — at 2.04 — Model total 44, three and a half above the market. Game preview

The Sunday parlays

The Spread Parlay on the NFL Parlays page is three sides from the leans above: the Jets minus a half at 1.89, the Broncos plus one and a half at 1.98 and the Dolphins plus seven and a half at 1.90, for 7.13. The model has it at 17.0% against 14.0% implied, and it is a point. The Bold One at 15.85 is the Jets on the moneyline at 2.06, the Broncos plus one and a half, the Rams minus six and a half at 1.98 and an under at 1.96, the model at 9.1% against 6.3%, a quarter of a point. The late Slate Parlay at 4.31 is Tyler Higbee under 3.5 receptions at 1.74, J.K. Dobbins over 0.5 receptions at 1.50 and Rhamondre Stevenson over 14.5 receiving yards at 1.65, the model at 29.0% against 23.2%, a quarter. The early-games Slate Parlay is at 12.74, the model at 14.3% against 7.8%, a quarter of a point. There is no Totals Parlay or Sensible Treble on the page yet.

Spread Parlay — Jets -0.5 1.89 · Broncos +1.5 1.98 · Dolphins +7.5 1.90 — at 7.13 — Three sides the model has covering, two of them from the leans above. Game preview
Slate Parlay, Sunday late games — Higbee u3.5 rec 1.74 · Dobbins o0.5 rec 1.50 · Stevenson o14.5 rec yds 1.65 — at 4.31 — The shortest edition on the page: three legs across the three late games. Game preview

Where the model and the market really disagree

The widest gaps on the main lines, in points, framed as questions. Chiefs at Broncos: Kansas City by one and a half in the market, Denver by two in the model, three and a half points, and the question is what the market thinks of a Denver offence that scored 30 last week. Rams at Chargers: Los Angeles by six and a half against Los Angeles by ten, three and a quarter. Cardinals at Cowboys: Dallas by seven against Dallas by four, three points, with Carson Beck questionable and Jacoby Brissett projected for 250 yards. Panthers at Packers: Green Bay by three and a half against six, nearly three. Browns at Steelers: Pittsburgh by three and a half against six, two and a half, and Colts at Jaguars: Jacksonville by ten against seven and a half, two and a half the other way.

The totals disagree as much as the sides. The model has Falcons-Buccaneers at 39.2 against a market of 44.5, five points under; Eagles-Commanders at 44.3 against 40.5, four over; Chiefs-Broncos at 44 against 40.5, three and a half over; Colts-Jaguars at 43.1 against 46.5, three and a half under; Ravens-Bills at 51.4 against 54.5, three under; Raiders-Jets at 43.1 against 45.5, two and a half under; Patriots-Dolphins at 45.8 against 43.5, just over two. The quiet ones: Cardinals-Cowboys, Chargers-Rams, Vikings-Lions and Titans-Bengals totals are within about a point of the model.

The quarterbacks, and what they do to the numbers

Lamar Jackson is questionable for Baltimore with an ankle for the third week in a row. J.J. McCarthy is out for Minnesota and Kyler Murray starts; Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve and Tanner McKee starts for Philadelphia. Carson Beck is questionable for Arizona with a back, Josh Johnson is out as Cincinnati's backup and Trevor Siemian is questionable as Atlanta's backup with Cooper Rush out. The injuries that move numbers this week are on the skill positions: Jahmyr Gibbs is questionable for Detroit with a shoulder and Amon-Ra St. Brown with an ankle, George Pickens is questionable for Dallas with a shoulder, Michael Wilson with ribs and Jeremiyah Love with an ankle for Arizona, Brock Bowers with a calf for Las Vegas and A.J. Brown with an ankle for New England. The inactives drop 90 minutes before each kick-off, about 4:30pm UK for the 6pm games. The injury table is live.

Touchdown scorers

Bhayshul Tuten at 1.76 against Indianapolis is the best scorer on the board: a 70% model call against 57% implied. Further out, the gaps the model sees: RJ Harvey at 4.75 for Denver is a 32% call against 21%, Harold Fannin Jr. at 3.90 for Cleveland a 33% call against 26%, Pat Freiermuth at 3.90 for Pittsburgh a 32% call against 26%, Omarion Hampton at 2.80 for the Chargers a 41% call against 36%, Ollie Gordon II at 2.30 for Miami a 50% call against 43%, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.20 for Jacksonville a 30% call against 24%. Jordan Addison at 4.00 for Minnesota is a 31% call against 25%.

The fades are the short prices. Bijan Robinson at 1.52 is a 50% call priced at 66%; Javonte Williams at 1.41 a 57% call priced at 71%; Josh Jacobs at 1.68 a 39% call priced at 60%; Rhamondre Stevenson at 1.74 a 42% call priced at 57%; Emanuel Wilson at 1.71 a 35% call priced at 58%; Tony Pollard at 2.05 a 33% call priced at 49%. The Touchdown Parlays page builds the accas: Short Prices for the 6pm games at 6.75 is James Cook III, Jahmyr Gibbs and Kyle Pitts, the model at 15.7% against 14.8%, a point, and Short Prices for the late games at 6.41 is Kyren Williams at 1.66, Kenneth Walker III at 1.68 and Gordon at 2.30, 16.5% against 15.6%, a point.

Bhayshul Tuten anytime touchdown — RB, JAX · v the Colts — at 1.76 — The widest scorer gap on the board. Game preview
RJ Harvey anytime touchdown — RB, DEN · v the Chiefs — at 4.75 — A 32% call at nearly 4/1. Denver are home underdogs the model likes. Game preview

Props the model rates

The five-stars on the Props Tool this week skew to backs who run a lot. James Cook III over 84.5 rushing yards at 1.86 is projected at 115 against the Ravens, a 63% model call, and Cook over 17.5 carries is projected at 25, 64%. Tee Higgins over 66.5 receiving yards at 1.86 is projected at 93 against Tennessee, 62%. J.K. Dobbins over 24.5 rushing yards at 1.86 is projected at 51, 64%. Jaylen Warren over 2.5 receptions at 1.62 is projected at 4.4, 68%. Check the injury table first: Cook's teammates DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid are questionable, and so is Ladd McConkey, whose receiving unders are the other side of this board.

James Cook III over 84.5 rushing yards — RB, BUF · v the Ravens — at 1.86 — Projected 115 on 25 carries. Game preview
Tee Higgins over 66.5 receiving yards — WR, CIN · v the Titans — at 1.86 — Projected 93 against Tennessee's secondary. Game preview
J.K. Dobbins over 24.5 rushing yards — RB, DEN · v the Chiefs — at 1.86 — Projected 51 yards against a line that looks short. Game preview

Longshots: the published slips

Sixteen same-game slips are published for Week 8 on the Single Game Parlays page across eight games, and the Week 8 round-up goes through them. The record on that surface is six winners from 103 for 16.15 points staked and 18.2 returned, 2.05 up. The Titans-Bengals Second Receiver Ceiling at 49.21 is the widest gap on the page: 10.0% against 2.0% implied. Four of the sixteen are Patriots-Dolphins. A tenth to a quarter of a point each, 2.4 points for the whole page.

Staking, and the ledger

Half a point on each of the nine Sunday leans, the Thursday Green Bay side and the Sunday-night over; a point on the Spread Parlay and a quarter on the Bold One and the late Slate Parlay; half a point on Tuten, Cook, Higgins and Dobbins and a quarter on Harvey; and the slips at a tenth to a quarter each. It is a bigger card than last week's because there is a four-star in nearly every game and no five-star in any.

Check three things before the first kick-off: Jackson, the Detroit injury report for Gibbs and St. Brown, and the Arizona inactives. If Gibbs is out, the Vikings-Lions numbers move, and if Jackson is out the Ravens-Bills bets are different bets.

Our Best Bets: the Pro page

Our Best Bets are a Pro page: five-star singles and parlays, locked once published and every one graded in public. The ledger stands at 72-53, 16.90 points up at an 11.7% return, and Week 7 went five from nine. The Sunday card goes out on Friday morning.

Put it to work

Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 72-53, +16.90 points, 11.7% ROI.
NFL Parlays The spread parlay, the bold one and the slate and primetime editions.
Injuries Jackson, Gibbs and St. Brown are the names that move the lines.

NFL Sunday Special - Week 8