Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies
Fri, Nov 138:00 PMETNew Orleans
New Orleans PelicansPelicans
MEM1.71NOP2.41via Polymarket

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 13

Updated Nov 12, with the latest lineups and odds

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Statz pick

Memphis Grizzlies to win

We give the Memphis Grizzlies a 59% chance, against 41% for the New Orleans Pelicans. See the full projection →

59%
MEM to win
Polymarket1.71

The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies at 59% against the New Orleans Pelicans, with a model line of -2.9 and a projected total of 233.8. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is the Pelicans' knee absence of Yves Missi.

The Memphis Grizzlies visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday 13 November, with tip at 8:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Memphis the favourite at 59%, with New Orleans at 41%. The model line is Grizzlies -2.9. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Here is why the model leans where it does, and what could shift it.

How the teams arrive

New Orleans is 4-6 over its last 10 and has scored 116.4 points per game while allowing 124.8. That gap is the story. The Pelicans lost 111-145 at home to Brooklyn, 87-138 at Golden State and 123-139 at the Clippers. They also lost 109-115 to Minnesota at home. The best results came earlier: a 135-134 win at Memphis on 2 November, a 121-99 win over Atlanta and a 132-120 win over Sacramento. They play this one at home, but the defence has been the weak point.

Memphis is 6-4 over its last 10 and has scored 117.4 points per game while allowing 112.8. A run of wins that started at Golden State on 23 October included a 136-105 win over Sacramento and a 124-103 win at Portland. The last week has been harder. The Grizzlies lost 97-128 to Oklahoma City, 103-107 to Indiana and 118-123 to Denver. They answered with a 118-102 win at Toronto in between. They lost the 2 November meeting by a single point, 134-135, so the head-to-head this season is a coin flip that went New Orleans' way.

Team news and lineups

New Orleans carries the longer list. Yves Missi is out with a knee injury and has no firm timetable, though a return date of 16 November is listed. Trey Murphy III missed games with a knee issue, and this game was named as his next chance to return. Trendon Watford is dealing with a right ankle sprain and has no concrete timetable. Bennedict Mathurin was ruled out with a right thumb sprain. All three carry a return date of 13 November, so check the status before tip.

If they stay out, minutes flow to Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones and potentially Jordan Poole, as recent reports suggest. That thins the Pelicans' scoring depth, and it matches a defence that has been giving up big totals.

Memphis has its own gaps. Scotty Pippen Jr. is out with a back issue after six straight missed contests, and he is week-to-week with a return date of 21 November. Richie Saunders is recovering from a torn right ACL and is listed with a return date of 1 December. Quinten Post is out with a concussion, and Taylor Hendricks is expected to pick up the slack. Post is the one to watch on the Memphis side, as his return date is also 13 November. Backcourt reserve depth is the main cost for the Grizzlies. Overall, the Pelicans lose more rotation minutes.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson is projected at 19.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He is the Pelicans' main source of scoring, and with so many teammates out, he carries the load. Any dip in his usage hurts New Orleans most.

Jeremiah Fears

Jeremiah Fears is projected at 15.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists. He is the second option on the ball and a key creator while the wings are thin. His 1.2 projected threes add spacing.

Saddiq Bey

Saddiq Bey is projected at 14.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.6 threes. Bey is the likeliest beneficiary of the injuries. More minutes on the wing mean more shots, and he is the Pelicans' best three-point projection.

Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome is projected at 22.9 points, 3.4 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 2.7 threes. He is the highest scorer in the game by projection. If he gets clean looks against a defence that has been leaking points, Memphis gets its edge.

Cameron Boozer

Cameron Boozer is projected at 15.0 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He is the all-round piece. His rebounding and passing keep the Memphis offence moving when shots are not falling.

Cedric Coward

Cedric Coward is projected at 13.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.8 threes. Memphis needs his size on the glass and his shooting on the wing, with Pippen out and the guard depth shallow.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Memphis Grizzlies. It gives them a 59% win probability and projects a 118.4 to 115.4 scoreline, a model line of Grizzlies -2.9 and Pelicans +2.9. The projected total is 233.8.

There is nothing to compare against yet. No bookmaker has posted a spread or total, so the market side of the comparison is missing. We cannot say whether the model is above or below the market on the spread or the total, and we have no total lean to give. When a line appears, the question will be whether it sits shorter or longer than -2.9, and whether the total is above or below 233.8. Check NBA odds for the latest numbers.

The case for Memphis is steady scoring, a better defensive average and a thinner Pelicans rotation. The case against is a one-point loss to this same opponent on 2 November and a rough week for the Grizzlies. A 59% edge is a lean, not a certainty.

Statz pick: Memphis Grizzlies to win, 59% model probability, model line -2.9.

Lines move before tip, so recheck the market and the injury report before you decide. The full preview carries the model, form and head-to-head detail.

MEM @ NOP questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Grizzlies vs Pelicans?
The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies at 59%, with the New Orleans Pelicans at 41%. The model line is Grizzlies -2.9, based on a projected score of 118.4 to 115.4.
What time is Grizzlies at Pelicans on 13 November?
The game is on Friday 13 November 2026 in New Orleans, with tip at 8:00 PM ET.
What is the projected total for Grizzlies vs Pelicans?
The model projects a total of 233.8 points, with Memphis at 118.4 and New Orleans at 115.4. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Which injuries matter for the Pelicans?
New Orleans lists Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Trendon Watford and Bennedict Mathurin as out. Missi has a return date of 16 November, and the other three are listed for 13 November, so check status before tip.
Which players are out for the Memphis Grizzlies?
Memphis lists Scotty Pippen Jr. (back, return date 21 November), Richie Saunders (torn right ACL, 1 December) and Quinten Post (concussion, 13 November) as out. Taylor Hendricks is expected to help cover for Post.
How did the teams' last meeting go?
The Pelicans won the 2 November meeting in Memphis 135-134. It was a one-point game, so this season's head-to-head is close, and New Orleans took it.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Memphis Grizzlies or New Orleans Pelicans?

The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies with a 59% win probability, leaving the New Orleans Pelicans at 41%. Over their last five games the New Orleans Pelicans are 1-4 and the Memphis Grizzlies are 1-4. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans?

No spread or total is posted yet for Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans?

For Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans, the model projects Zion Williamson for 19.1 points and Jeremiah Fears for 15.4 points for the New Orleans Pelicans. For the Memphis Grizzlies it projects Ty Jerome for 22.9 points and Cameron Boozer for 15.0 points.