Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 14

Memphis are 6-4 over their last 10, but the run is split in two. Five straight wins to open the season, including 136-105 against Sacramento and 124-103 at Portland, gave way to four losses in the last five. The worst was 97-128 against Oklahoma City at home. They also fell 134-135 to New Orleans and 118-123 to Denver. They score 117.4 and concede 112.8 over the sample, and the one recent win was 118-102 at Toronto.

Brooklyn are 3-7 over their last 10 and arrive on the road with a clear dip in form. They average 110.9 points and allow 115.8. The results swing hard. A 145-111 win at New Orleans came days after a 93-130 loss at Dallas and a 121-124 defeat at Atlanta. They also lost 124-125 at Boston and 109-136 to Indiana at home. Close losses and heavy ones both sit in the run. That volatility is why one big win does not change the read.

Memphis carry the longer list. Zach Edey (left ankle injury management) and Quinten Post (concussion protocol) were both ruled out for Friday at New Orleans. Both carry a return date of 14 November, so Saturday is their first chance back. Both are still listed as out, so the frontcourt minutes depend on late news. Edey had played eight straight games before the night off. If both sit again, the centre minutes get spread thin against a Nets frontcourt that likes to score inside.

The Grizzlies are also without Scotty Pippen Jr. (lumbar disc herniation), who has missed six straight contests and is week-to-week, with a return date of 21 November. Richie Saunders (right knee surgery) is out until 1 December. Karim Lopez and Jahmai Mashack are on G League assignments. Pippen's absence thins the backcourt reserves.

Brooklyn have two day-to-day names. Nolan Traoré (calf) and Mikel Brown Jr. (illness) were both ruled out against the Pelicans, and both list a return date of 14 November. Traoré had been flourishing in a starting role, averaging 15.1 points over his past seven games. If either stays out, Egor Demin, Keon Ellis, Chaney Johnson, Noah Clowney and Danny Wolf are the candidates for bigger roles. Check the status before tip.

The model takes the Memphis Grizzlies. It gives them a 70% win probability and a model line of -7.2, with the Nets at +7.2. It projects the points as 116.4 for Memphis and 109.2 for Brooklyn, a total of 225.6.

There is no market line yet, so we cannot say whether the model is above or below the spread or the total. The market side is the missing piece. Until a book posts a number, there is no total lean to give. The 225.6 figure is the model's own projection. Check the NBA odds page once lines appear.

The risk is the Memphis frontcourt. If Edey and Post sit again, the gap may be smaller than the model's 7.2.

Statz pick: Memphis Grizzlies to win, 70% model probability, model line -7.2.

Lines move before tip, so check the number and the injury news before you decide.