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Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 13

Updated Nov 12, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

ATL

Statz pick

Atlanta Hawks to win

We give the Atlanta Hawks a 74% chance, against 26% for the Chicago Bulls. See the full projection →

74%
ATL to win
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The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 74% to beat the Chicago Bulls on Friday 13 November, with a model line of -8.8 and a projected total of 243.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The injury that matters is Caleb Wilson, who is day-to-day for the Bulls with a right hand injury.

The Atlanta Hawks visit the Chicago Bulls on Friday 13 November, with tip at 8:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Hawks the favourite at 74%, with a model line of -8.8. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to compare it with. Check NBA odds for when one appears.

How the teams arrive

The Bulls are 1-9 over their last 10 games and have lost eight of the last nine. They average 113.3 points for and concede 128.8 over that stretch. The heavy defeats stand out: 99-134 at Boston, 92-135 at Toronto and 105-135 at New York. The one win was 132-125 at Milwaukee. They come home after a 119-124 loss to San Antonio, and they also lost 121-127 to Philadelphia at home.

The Hawks are 5-5 over their last 10, averaging 115.9 points for and 118.8 against. They won four in a row, including 139-132 and 120-105 against Washington and 124-121 against Brooklyn, before a 114-124 home loss to the Lakers. The road form is mixed. They won 108-104 at Indiana but lost 99-121 at New Orleans.

Team news and lineups

The Bulls carry the bigger question. Caleb Wilson is day-to-day with a right hand injury. He left the Spurs game early in the third quarter after 15 points in 15 minutes. If he cannot go, Leonard Miller, Patrick Williams and Noa Essengue are the names in line for extra minutes. Wilson is the Bulls' top projected scorer, so his status shapes their offence.

Norman Powell is listed out with a shoulder injury. His absence pushes more usage towards Josh Giddey and Wilson, with Isaac Okoro staying in the lineup. Tobe Awaka (back) and Dailyn Swain (back) are also out. Neither is expected to change the rotation in a meaningful way.

The Hawks are also missing four players. Henri Veesaar is out for the season with a torn right ACL, and Mouhamed Gueye is out after foot surgery. Asa Newell (toe) is out, which leaves extra time for Luguentz Dort and Aaron Wiggins. Keshon Gilbert (knee) is out, and his absence should not affect the rotation. The core of the Hawks rotation is intact.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Caleb Wilson

Caleb Wilson is projected for 15.7 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He is the Bulls' leading scorer in the model, and the projection assumes he plays. Watch the injury report.

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis is projected for 13.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 three-pointers. With Powell out, he is one of the few Bulls creating shots on the wing.

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey is projected for 11.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7.9 assists. The assists figure is the highest on either side. Powell's absence should keep the ball in his hands.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is projected for 21.6 points and 3.6 three-pointers, the top scoring line in the game. The Bulls have conceded 128.8 points a game recently, which gives him room.

Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson is projected for 20.9 points, 9.8 rebounds and 6.5 assists. He is the Hawks' best all-round option, and his rebounding matters against a Bulls team that has been outscored heavily.

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum is projected for 16.0 points, 3.6 assists and 2.1 three-pointers. He gives Atlanta a third scoring threat, and Chicago has few ways to defend all three.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Atlanta Hawks. It gives them a 74% win probability, a model line of -8.8 and a projected score of 125.9 to 117.1. The Bulls are +8.8 on the same model line. The gap fits the form. Chicago has lost nine of its last 10 and has conceded 128.8 points a game, while Atlanta sits at 5-5.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is missing. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline. The model total is 243.0. Without a market total there is no over or under lean to give, so wait for a number before judging it.

Wilson's hand is the swing factor. If he is ruled out, the Bulls lose their top projected scorer and the model figures could move.

Statz pick: Atlanta Hawks to win, 74% model win probability, model line -8.8.

Lines move before tip, so check the number again once books post it.

ATL @ CHI questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Hawks vs Bulls?
The model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 74%, with the Chicago Bulls at 26%. Its model line is Hawks -8.8, and it projects a score of 125.9 to 117.1 in Atlanta's favour.
What is the projected total for Hawks vs Bulls?
The model projects a total of 243.0 points, made up of 125.9 for the Hawks and 117.1 for the Bulls. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
What time is Hawks vs Bulls on 13 November?
The game is on Friday 13 November at 8:00 PM ET in Chicago. The Atlanta Hawks are the away team and the Chicago Bulls are at home.
Which Bulls injury matters most?
Caleb Wilson is day-to-day with a right hand injury after leaving the Spurs game early in the third quarter. The model projects him for 15.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, and his status is worth checking before tip.
How have the Bulls and Hawks played recently?
The Bulls are 1-9 over their last 10 games, averaging 113.3 points and conceding 128.8. The Hawks are 5-5 over their last 10, averaging 115.9 points and conceding 118.8.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Atlanta Hawks or Chicago Bulls?

The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks with a 74% win probability, leaving the Chicago Bulls at 26%. Over their last five games the Chicago Bulls are 0-5 and the Atlanta Hawks are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls?

No spread or total is posted yet for Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls?

For Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls, the model projects Caleb Wilson for 15.7 points and Matas Buzelis for 13.6 points for the Chicago Bulls. For the Atlanta Hawks it projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker for 21.6 points and Jalen Johnson for 20.9 points.