No, Udinese have taken 22 points over their last 20 Serie A games, within 0.64 of the 22.64 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Udinese create 1.17 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 23.38 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 3.62 more than that xG would expect.
Udinese allow 1.58 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 31.59 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 6.59 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Idrissa Gueye has the most expected goals (xG) for Udinese over their last 20 Serie A games, 3.06 xG in 15 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Jurgen Ekkelenkamp is next with 3.00 xG.
Udinese's results and their chances agree, within 0.6 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 23.38 | 27 | +3.62 | 31.59 | 25 | +6.59 | 22.64 | 22 | -0.64 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.34 | 13 | +0.66 | 14.90 | 15 | -0.10 | 12.22 | 10 | -2.22 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.66 | 8 | +2.34 | 8.50 | 12 | -3.50 | 5.34 | 3 | -2.34 |
| Home | 10 | 12.39 | 8 | -4.39 | 12.50 | 9 | +3.50 | 13.77 | 8 | -5.77 |
| Away | 10 | 10.99 | 19 | +8.01 | 19.09 | 16 | +3.09 | 8.87 | 14 | +5.13 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | Serie A | Torino (A) | 2-1 | 0.80 | 1.74 | 0.74 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Serie A | Cagliari (H) | 0-1 | 2.04 | 0.46 | 2.42 | 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Serie A | Inter (A) | 5-3 | 0.76 | 2.83 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 7 Sep | Serie A | Lazio (H) | 1-2 | 0.96 | 1.86 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Serie A | Monza (A) | 2-3 | 1.10 | 1.61 | 1.03 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Serie A | Como (H) | 1-1 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.26 | 1 | L |
| 24 May | Serie A | Napoli (A) | 1-0 | 0.57 | 1.85 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Serie A | Cremonese (H) | 0-1 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 1.11 | 0 | D |
| 9 May | Serie A | Cagliari (A) | 0-2 | 1.90 | 1.49 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Serie A | Torino (H) | 2-0 | 2.20 | 0.69 | 2.34 | 3 | W |
| 27 Apr | Serie A | Lazio (A) | 3-3 | 2.12 | 2.21 | 1.35 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Serie A | Parma (H) | 0-1 | 1.12 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Serie A | AC Milan (A) | 0-3 | 1.50 | 2.38 | 0.90 | 3 | L |
| 6 Apr | Serie A | Como (H) | 0-0 | 0.93 | 0.76 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Serie A | Genoa (A) | 0-2 | 0.85 | 1.30 | 1.02 | 3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Serie A | Juventus (H) | 0-1 | 0.79 | 2.81 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 7 Mar | Serie A | Atalanta (A) | 2-2 | 0.65 | 2.28 | 0.44 | 1 | L |
| 2 Mar | Serie A | Fiorentina (H) | 3-0 | 1.61 | 0.79 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Serie A | Bologna (A) | 1-0 | 0.74 | 1.40 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 15 Feb | Serie A | Sassuolo (H) | 1-2 | 0.73 | 1.40 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurgen Ekkelenkamp | midfielder | 17 | 1344 | 3.00 | 5 | +2.00 | 0.20 |
| Hassane Kamara | defender | 17 | 1324 | 0.54 | 2 | +1.46 | 0.04 |
| Arthur Atta | midfielder | 13 | 1047 | 1.86 | 3 | +1.14 | 0.16 |
| Thomas Kristensen | defender | 14 | 1220 | 1.02 | 2 | +0.98 | 0.08 |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | defender | 12 | 1023 | 1.04 | 2 | +0.96 | 0.09 |
| James Abankwah | defender | 6 | 496 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.04 |
| Adam Buksa | attacker | 10 | 426 | 1.45 | 2 | +0.55 | 0.31 |
| Keinan Davis | attacker | 13 | 855 | 2.50 | 3 | +0.50 | 0.26 |
| Jesper Karlström | midfielder | 18 | 1554 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.03 |
| Oumar Solet | defender | 15 | 1214 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.05 |
| Christian Kabasele | defender | 15 | 1188 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.07 |
| Jakub Piotrowski | midfielder | 16 | 780 | 1.70 | 1 | -0.70 | 0.20 |
| Vakoun Bayo | attacker | 7 | 183 | 0.95 | 0 | -0.95 | 0.47 |
| Idrissa Gueye | attacker | 15 | 426 | 3.06 | 2 | -1.06 | 0.65 |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | attacker | 14 | 1149 | 2.69 | 0 | -2.69 | 0.21 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 10.7 | 3 | 5.4 | 13 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 8.9 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 6 | 6.7 | 8 | 11.2 | 8 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Inter | 6 | 16.8 | 18 | 6.7 | 8 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | 6.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | 6.7 | 3 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 9.2 | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Lecce | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Napoli | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Parma | 6 | 4.6 | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Juventus | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 7.3 | 9 | 10.3 | 13 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| 17 | Bologna | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Monza | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | 8.1 | 15 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | 8.7 | 14 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | 12.7 | 16 | 7.1 | 0 | -7.1 |