Yes, Orient have taken 24 points over their last 20 League One games, 3.71 more than the 20.29 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Orient create 1.05 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 League One games, 20.95 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 4.05 more than that xG would expect.
Orient allow 1.64 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 League One games, 32.70 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 9.70 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dominic Ballard has the most expected goals (xG) for Orient over their last 20 League One games, 4.17 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Demetri Mitchell is next with 1.91 xG.
Orient have taken 3.7 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +4.1 goals against their xG, and +9.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 20.95 | 25 | +4.05 | 32.70 | 23 | +9.70 | 20.29 | 24 | +3.71 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.29 | 15 | +5.71 | 18.36 | 13 | +5.36 | 8.26 | 12 | +3.74 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.48 | 4 | +0.52 | 8.46 | 6 | +2.46 | 3.54 | 5 | +1.46 |
| Home | 11 | 11.01 | 12 | +0.99 | 18.48 | 17 | +1.48 | 10.77 | 11 | +0.23 |
| Away | 9 | 9.94 | 13 | +3.06 | 14.22 | 6 | +8.22 | 9.52 | 13 | +3.48 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | League One | Bradford (A) | 0-0 | 0.26 | 1.19 | 0.56 | 1 | L |
| 3 Oct | League One | Plymouth (H) | 0-2 | 0.94 | 2.25 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | League One | Stevenage (H) | 1-0 | 0.56 | 1.68 | 0.59 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | League One | Wycombe (H) | 2-3 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.36 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | League One | Luton (A) | 1-1 | 0.55 | 2.17 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| 1 Sep | League One | Bromley (A) | 0-5 | 1.80 | 0.63 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | League One | Barnsley (H) | 1-3 | 0.50 | 1.99 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | League One | Wigan (A) | 0-2 | 1.01 | 1.83 | 0.85 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | League One | Sheff Wed (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 2.80 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | League One | Burton (H) | 2-2 | 1.62 | 2.65 | 0.85 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | League One | Blackpool (A) | 1-0 | 0.76 | 2.32 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | League One | Rotherham (H) | 0-2 | 1.04 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 0 | W |
| 14 Apr | League One | Mansfield (H) | 0-0 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 1.24 | 1 | D |
| 11 Apr | League One | Lincoln (A) | 2-1 | 0.91 | 1.44 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | League One | Huddersfield (H) | 1-2 | 0.26 | 2.37 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 2 Apr | League One | Wigan (A) | 0-0 | 0.77 | 1.76 | 0.71 | 1 | L |
| 28 Mar | League One | Exeter City (A) | 0-0 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1 | W |
| 21 Mar | League One | Wycombe (H) | 2-0 | 1.06 | 0.97 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 17 Mar | League One | Wimbledon (A) | 2-4 | 2.48 | 1.49 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | League One | Peterborough (H) | 2-1 | 2.49 | 1.39 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaze Kabia | attacker | 9 | 690 | 1.72 | 4 | +2.28 | 0.22 |
| Yusuf Akhamrich | attacker | 9 | 716 | 1.37 | 3 | +1.63 | 0.17 |
| Dominic Ballard | attacker | 11 | 982 | 4.17 | 5 | +0.83 | 0.38 |
| Tony Springett | attacker | 7 | 331 | 0.26 | 1 | +0.74 | 0.07 |
| Alex Gilbert | midfielder | 4 | 298 | 0.26 | 1 | +0.74 | 0.08 |
| Joseph Olowu | defender | 9 | 802 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.03 |
| Tyreeq Bakinson | midfielder | 11 | 735 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.32 | 0.08 |
| James Morris | defender | 15 | 1207 | 0.69 | 1 | +0.31 | 0.05 |
| Armando Dobra | attacker | 7 | 235 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.30 |
| Jack Simpson | defender | 9 | 642 | 0.96 | 1 | +0.04 | 0.13 |
| W. Forrester | defender | 15 | 1295 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| Idris El Mizouni | midfielder | 18 | 1136 | 1.29 | 1 | -0.29 | 0.10 |
| Theodore Archibald | midfielder | 11 | 507 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.09 |
| Fin Stevens | defender | 9 | 802 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.06 |
| Aaron Connolly | attacker | 5 | 260 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.20 |
| Sonny Perkins | attacker | 9 | 208 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.33 |
| Charlie Wellens | midfielder | 16 | 1090 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.07 |
| Demetri Mitchell | midfielder | 16 | 1034 | 1.91 | 1 | -0.91 | 0.17 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford United | 8 | 9.2 | 16 | 14.9 | 9 | 8.9 | 15 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 9 | 9.8 | 8 | 8.3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | +4 |
| 3 | Cambridge United | 9 | 12.7 | 14 | 13.1 | 11 | 12.4 | 16 | +3.6 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 7.7 | 13 | 15.7 | 11 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 10 | 16.9 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 15.5 | 19 | +3.5 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 9.6 | 7 | 14.1 | 10 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Burton Albion | 10 | 8.3 | 14 | 15.4 | 16 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 8 | Bromley | 8 | 7.7 | 9 | 16.9 | 20 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 17.1 | 15 | 10.1 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 10 | Stockport County | 9 | 17.3 | 20 | 11.5 | 11 | 15.8 | 16 | +0.2 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 8 | 9.8 | 12 | 7.7 | 8 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 14.3 | 13 | 13.1 | 15 | 12.7 | 12 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Huddersfield Town | 9 | 18.9 | 16 | 9.3 | 9 | 17.7 | 16 | -1.7 |
| 14 | Wycombe Wanderers | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 15.5 | 20 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 8 | 15.5 | 13 | 17.2 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Reading | 9 | 18.4 | 22 | 9.8 | 11 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Doncaster Rovers | 8 | 11.3 | 9 | 9.8 | 9 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Luton Town | 8 | 13.9 | 16 | 9.6 | 15 | 13.9 | 11 | -2.9 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 12 | 8 | 12.7 | 15 | 11 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 | Peterborough United | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 17.1 | 14 | 11.1 | 8 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Notts County | 8 | 9.4 | 8 | 10.6 | 11 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
| 22 | Leicester City | 8 | 13.3 | 10 | 11.6 | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | -3.2 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 12.3 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 10.7 | 6 | -4.7 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 8 | 11.3 | 5 | 13.1 | 13 | 9.8 | 4 | -5.8 |