Yes, Charlton have taken 14 points over 10 Championship games in 2026/2027, 2.98 more than the 11.02 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Charlton create 1.11 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Championship games in 2026/2027, 11.13 in all, and have scored 10 goals from those chances, 1.13 fewer than that xG would expect.
Charlton allow 1.61 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Championship games in 2026/2027, 16.14 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 3.14 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Karlan Grant has the most expected goals (xG) for Charlton over 10 Championship games in 2026/2027, 2.35 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Tyreece Campbell is next with 1.97 xG.
Charlton have taken 3.0 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: -1.1 goals against their xG, and +3.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 11.13 | 10 | -1.13 | 16.14 | 13 | +3.14 | 11.02 | 14 | +2.98 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.24 | 4 | -3.24 | 7.58 | 6 | +1.58 | 6.83 | 4 | -2.83 |
| Home | 5 | 5.97 | 4 | -1.97 | 5.59 | 2 | +3.59 | 6.99 | 9 | +2.01 |
| Away | 5 | 5.16 | 6 | +0.84 | 10.55 | 11 | -0.45 | 4.03 | 5 | +0.97 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Championship | Burnley (A) | 2-2 | 2.66 | 1.55 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Championship | Bristol City (H) | 1-1 | 2.21 | 1.84 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Championship | Cardiff (A) | 3-1 | 0.71 | 2.81 | 0.33 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Championship | Portsmouth (H) | 0-0 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 1.57 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | Championship | QPR (H) | 0-0 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 1.31 | 1 | D |
| 5 Sep | Championship | Stoke (A) | 4-0 | 0.59 | 2.13 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 2 Sep | Championship | WBA (A) | 1-1 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Championship | Preston (H) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 1.09 | 1.16 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Championship | West Ham (A) | 1-2 | 0.70 | 3.23 | 0.24 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Derby (H) | 2-1 | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.34 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece Campbell | attacker | 10 | 829 | 1.97 | 4 | +2.03 | 0.21 |
| Lloyd Jones | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.75 | 2 | +1.25 | 0.07 |
| Ivan Mesik | defender | 9 | 537 | 0.34 | 1 | +0.66 | 0.06 |
| Karlan Grant | attacker | 10 | 816 | 2.35 | 2 | -0.35 | 0.26 |
| Tyler Bindon | defender | 5 | 406 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.12 |
| Billy Koumetio | defender | 4 | 360 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.14 |
| Micah Mbick | attacker | 7 | 144 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.43 |
| Miles Leaburn | attacker | 10 | 711 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.14 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 10 | 16 | 16 | 12.3 | 7 | 15.7 | 23 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Stoke City | 10 | 9.8 | 17 | 16.8 | 16 | 10.2 | 16 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 9.7 | 15 | 15.8 | 13 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 4 | Southampton | 10 | 17.8 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 15.6 | 20 | +4.4 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 14.5 | 10 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 11.1 | 10 | 16.1 | 13 | 11 | 14 | +3 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 18.5 | 20 | 11.1 | 14 | 18.3 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 8 | Sheffield United | 10 | 10.9 | 14 | 17.3 | 14 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 14.5 | 15 | 18.3 | 18 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 10 | Queens Park Rangers | 10 | 17.8 | 15 | 12.9 | 9 | 16.6 | 17 | +0.4 |
| 11 | Birmingham City | 10 | 18.1 | 17 | 12.6 | 11 | 17.2 | 17 | -0.2 |
| 12 | West Ham United | 10 | 24.6 | 29 | 12.9 | 12 | 19.3 | 19 | -0.3 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 10 | 13.9 | 12 | 14.1 | 14 | 14.7 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Watford | 10 | 11.2 | 8 | 19.3 | 19 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 | Millwall | 10 | 19.3 | 16 | 14.4 | 16 | 16.2 | 14 | -2.2 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 15.7 | 16 | 9.7 | 14 | 16.3 | 14 | -2.3 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 9 | 14.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 13 | 13.7 | 11 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 10 | 12.2 | 11 | 11.9 | 15 | 14.2 | 11 | -3.2 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17.7 | 20 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| 20 | Lincoln City | 10 | 14.6 | 7 | 14.9 | 17 | 14.6 | 11 | -3.6 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 13.4 | 15 | 16.3 | 19 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| 22 | Derby County | 10 | 11.1 | 9 | 19.1 | 19 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
| 23 | Cardiff City | 10 | 21.3 | 16 | 14.2 | 15 | 17.6 | 10 | -7.6 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 10 | 12 | 8 | 15.3 | 20 | 12.1 | 4 | -8.1 |