Brest xG 2026/2027

Brest xG Questions

Are Brest overperforming their xG?

No, Brest have taken 24 points over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, within 2.46 of the 26.46 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is Brest's xG per game?

Brest create 1.48 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 29.59 in all, and have scored 29 goals from those chances, 0.59 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Brest's xGA per game?

Brest allow 1.54 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 30.87 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 0.13 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Brest?

Ludovic Ajorque has the most expected goals (xG) for Brest over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 5.64 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Kamory Doumbia is next with 5.22 xG.

Brest expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 29.59
Goals scored: 29
Goals minus xG: -0.59
Expected goals against (xGA): 30.87
Goals conceded: 31
xGA minus goals conceded: -0.13
Expected points (xPts): 26.46
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -2.46
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Brest overperforming their expected goals?

Brest's results and their chances agree, within 2.5 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Lille expected goals

Games: 20
Lille xG per game: 1.41
Lille xGA per game: 0.98
Points minus xPts: +8.39
Verdict: Riding their luck

Brest results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	29.59	29	-0.59	30.87	31	-0.13	26.46	24	-2.46
Last 10	10	19.22	14	-5.22	13.04	17	-3.96	16.58	9	-7.58
Last 5	5	10.09	10	-0.09	6.26	7	-0.74	8.65	7	-1.65
Home	10	18.09	21	+2.91	15.79	14	+1.79	15.90	15	-0.90
Away	10	11.50	8	-3.50	15.08	17	-1.92	10.56	9	-1.56

Brest expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
10 Oct	Ligue 1	Angers (H)	5-1	2.79	1.26	2.23	3	W
20 Sep	Ligue 1	Auxerre (A)	2-1	0.38	0.91	0.82	0	L
13 Sep	Ligue 1	PSG (H)	0-1	1.13	0.98	1.46	0	W
5 Sep	Ligue 1	Le Havre (A)	1-2	2.59	2.39	1.51	3	W
29 Aug	Ligue 1	Toulouse (H)	2-2	3.20	0.72	2.63	1	W
22 Aug	Ligue 1	Le Mans (A)	2-2	3.17	0.80	2.59	1	W
17 May	Ligue 1	Angers (H)	1-1	1.93	0.52	2.33	1	W
13 May	Ligue 1	Strasbourg (H)	1-2	3.08	1.82	2.04	0	W
10 May	Ligue 1	PSG (A)	1-0	0.27	1.95	0.30	0	L
3 May	Ligue 1	Paris (A)	4-0	0.68	1.69	0.67	0	L
24 Apr	Ligue 1	Lens (H)	3-3	0.34	3.70	0.09	1	L
19 Apr	Ligue 1	Nantes (A)	1-1	0.32	0.95	0.75	1	L
4 Apr	Ligue 1	Rennes (H)	3-4	1.18	3.21	0.44	0	L
21 Mar	Ligue 1	Auxerre (A)	3-0	0.94	1.52	0.96	0	L
14 Mar	Ligue 1	Monaco (A)	2-0	1.41	1.75	1.17	0	L
8 Mar	Ligue 1	Le Havre (H)	2-0	1.61	1.22	1.64	3	W
1 Mar	Ligue 1	Metz (A)	0-1	0.82	1.23	1.03	3	L
20 Feb	Ligue 1	Marseille (H)	2-0	0.83	1.67	0.80	3	L
14 Feb	Ligue 1	Lille (A)	1-1	0.92	1.89	0.76	1	L
7 Feb	Ligue 1	Lorient (H)	2-0	2.00	0.69	2.24	3	W

Brest players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Ludovic Ajorque	attacker	19	1702	5.64	8	+2.36	0.30
Romain Del Castillo	attacker	16	1321	1.43	3	+1.57	0.10
Rémy Labeau Lascary	attacker	13	624	2.04	3	+0.96	0.29
Brendan Chardonnet	defender	11	990	0.23	1	+0.77	0.02
Lucas Tousart	midfielder	18	637	1.49	2	+0.51	0.21
Daouda Guindo	defender	11	875	0.49	1	+0.51	0.05
Junior Dina Ebimbe	midfielder	13	789	2.78	3	+0.22	0.32
Kenny Lala	defender	19	1575	1.03	1	-0.03	0.06
Mama Baldé	attacker	10	268	1.38	1	-0.38	0.46
Junior Diaz	defender	11	896	0.54	0	-0.54	0.05
Joris Chotard	midfielder	20	1671	0.54	0	-0.54	0.03
Pathé Mboup	attacker	17	683	2.63	2	-0.63	0.35
Kamory Doumbia	midfielder	15	1128	5.22	4	-1.22	0.42
R. Le Guen	defender	10	819	1.52	0	-1.52	0.17

Ligue 1 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Monaco	6	7.2	10	8.8	5	7.3	14	+6.7
2	LOSC Lille	6	7.2	9	10	4	6.8	13	+6.2
3	Rennes	6	11	12	11.1	10	8.4	13	+4.6
4	Strasbourg	6	7.4	11	11.6	12	5.5	7	+1.5
5	Nice	6	5.9	5	8.2	7	6.8	8	+1.2
6	Lorient	6	6.5	6	8	6	7.2	8	+0.8
7	Olympique Lyonnais	6	10.7	11	6.5	4	10.6	11	+0.4
8	Paris	6	9.5	8	5	4	11.1	11	-0.1
9	Angers SCO	6	9.3	7	10.9	10	7.4	7	-0.4
10	Auxerre	6	7.6	8	11.8	16	6.5	6	-0.5
11	Le Mans	6	9.7	10	12.6	12	7.2	6	-1.2
12	Paris Saint Germain	6	14.7	11	6.6	8	12.3	11	-1.3
13	Olympique Marseille	6	9.3	9	11.6	8	7.7	6	-1.7
14	Lens	6	11.9	11	10.9	10	8.9	7	-1.9
15	Toulouse	6	10.9	9	10.6	11	8.9	6	-2.9
16	Troyes	6	8.4	4	10	13	7	4	-3
17	Brest	6	13.2	12	7.1	9	11.2	8	-3.2
18	Le Havre	6	9.9	4	9.5	8	8.6	2	-6.6

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