New York KnicksKnicks
Sun, Nov 156:00 PMETToronto
Toronto RaptorsRaptors
NYK1.63TOR2.60via Polymarket

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 15

Updated Nov 14, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 64% chance, against 36% for the Toronto Raptors. See the full projection →

64%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.63

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 64% to beat the Toronto Raptors, with a projected margin of 4.7 points and a model total of 217.4. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Scottie Barnes, who is out for Toronto.

The New York Knicks visit the Toronto Raptors on Sunday 15 November, with tip at 6:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Knicks the favourite at 64% to win, with a model line of -4.7. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it.

How the teams arrive

Toronto are 3-7 over their last 10 and have lost three straight, falling to the 76ers 123-112 away and the Celtics 98-93 at home. The 118-102 home loss to Memphis stands out, as does the 128-109 defeat at Denver. The high mark is a 129-99 win over Orlando at home. They allow 116.0 points a game and score 112.4.

The Knicks are 6-4 over their last 10 and arrive off two straight losses, a 106-104 defeat at Indiana and a 115-107 home loss to Cleveland. The good results are big ones: a 117-85 win over Milwaukee and a 135-105 win over Chicago. They score 111.4 and concede just 103.1, a defensive edge that the model leans on here.

Team news and lineups

The Knicks have nobody on the injury report. That means full minutes for their usual rotation and no reshuffling.

Toronto are thin. Scottie Barnes (groin) is out and has missed four straight games. His absence pushes more playmaking onto Ja'Kobe Walter, and Collin Murray-Boyles keeps starting at power forward. Kawhi Leonard (knee) is also out. He is doing individual on-court work, with a return date listed as 23 November. Nate Bittle (foot) is out as well and is considered week-to-week.

Trayce Jackson-Davis is day-to-day with an illness, and Jamison Battle takes a bigger frontcourt role if he sits. Kevin McCullar Jr. is also day-to-day after signing a two-way deal with Toronto. With three rotation-level players out, Toronto have little frontcourt depth to cope with the Knicks' size.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett projects to 20.0 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. With Barnes and Leonard out, he is Toronto's main scoring option.

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley projects to 14.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists, with 2.3 three-pointers. He carries a big share of the creation load.

Ja'Kobe Walter

Ja'Kobe Walter projects to 10.9 points and 3.9 rebounds, with 2.3 three-pointers. He is the player most likely to absorb the extra playmaking.

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson projects to 22.6 points, 3.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He is the top scorer on the floor and the centre of the Knicks' offence.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns projects to 19.3 points and 12.5 rebounds. That rebounding number matters against a Toronto frontcourt missing bodies.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby projects to 15.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.0 three-pointers. His two-way role helps drive the Knicks' defensive edge.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Knicks at 64%, with a line of -4.7 and a projected score of 111.0 to 106.3. That total is 217.4. No bookmaker has posted a spread or total yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market is the missing piece, so there is no total lean to give until a number appears.

Statz pick: New York Knicks -4.7 (model line), 64% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check the latest NBA odds and compare them with the model number.

NYK @ TOR questions

Who does the Statz model favour, Knicks or Raptors?
The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 64% to win, against 36% for the Toronto Raptors. The model line is Knicks -4.7, with a projected score of 111.0 to 106.3 in New York's favour.
What is the projected total for Knicks vs Raptors?
The model total is 217.4 points. It projects 111.0 for the Knicks and 106.3 for the Raptors. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Are there odds for this game yet?
No. No bookmaker has posted a line for this game yet, so there is no spread, total or moneyline to quote. Lines can appear and move before tip, so check the NBA odds page for updates.
Which Raptors players are out?
Scottie Barnes (groin), Kawhi Leonard (knee) and Nate Bittle (foot) are out. Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevin McCullar Jr. are day-to-day. The Knicks have nobody on the injury report.
How have the Knicks and Raptors played recently?
The Knicks are 6-4 over their last 10, allowing 103.1 points a game. The Raptors are 3-7 over the same stretch and have lost their last three, conceding 116.0 points a game.
Who are the top projected scorers?
Jalen Brunson leads the projections at 22.6 points for the Knicks. RJ Barrett is Toronto's top projected scorer at 20.0 points. Karl-Anthony Towns projects to 19.3 points and 12.5 rebounds.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, New York Knicks or Toronto Raptors?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 64% win probability, leaving the Toronto Raptors at 36%. Over their last five games the Toronto Raptors are 1-4 and the New York Knicks are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors?

No spread or total is posted yet for New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors?

For New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors, the model projects RJ Barrett for 20.0 points and Immanuel Quickley for 14.9 points for the Toronto Raptors. For the New York Knicks it projects Jalen Brunson for 22.6 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 19.3 points.