Indiana PacersPacers
Sun, Nov 151:00 PMETPhiladelphia
Philadelphia 76ers76ers
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Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 15

Updated Nov 14, with the latest lineups and odds

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PHI

Statz pick

Philadelphia 76ers to win

We give the Philadelphia 76ers a 73% chance, against 27% for the Indiana Pacers. See the full projection →

73%
PHI to win
Polymarket1.26

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at home with a 73% win probability and a model line of -8.1 against the Indiana Pacers. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Tyrese Haliburton, who is out for Indiana.

The Indiana Pacers visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday 15 November, with tip at 1:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Philadelphia the favourite at 73% and projects a margin of 8.1 points. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the NBA odds page for when one appears.

How the teams arrive

Philadelphia is 7-3 over its last 10 games, and that stretch covers the whole of its season so far. The 76ers beat Toronto 123-112 at home in their latest outing. They have also won at Chicago 127-121 and at Detroit 112-106. The losses were harsh: 101-123 to Boston at home and 95-119 at Cleveland. They average 109.8 points for and allow 110.0, so the margins have been swingy. This is a home game, and the 76ers already beat these Pacers once this season.

Indiana is 3-7 over its last 10 and arrives with a better pulse than the record suggests. The Pacers have won their last two, 114-101 over Washington and 106-104 over the Knicks. Before that came a run of five straight defeats, including a 125-145 loss at Miami and a 109-114 loss to Philadelphia on 28 October. They average 108.1 points for and allow 112.2. The defence is the weak point, and this is a road game.

Team news and lineups

Indiana carries the heavier list. Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) is out, and the latest report said he would miss at least 10 more days. That removes the Pacers' main playmaker. Andrew Nembhard keeps the extra on-ball duties, and Quenton Jackson and Braden Smith are candidates for more minutes. Ben Sheppard is out for months after meniscus surgery, and Johnny Furphy is out while he recovers from knee surgery. Aaron Nesmith is day-to-day after leaving Friday's win over the Knicks with an apparent hand or wrist injury. He scored 18 points in 33 minutes in that game, and his status is worth watching before tip.

Philadelphia is thin up front. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles. Adem Bona (back) is out and will be re-evaluated after seeing a specialist. Dominick Barlow (back) is also out with no firm timeline. That leaves Jabari Walker in line for backup centre minutes behind Joel Embiid. LeBron James is day-to-day with a back issue. If he sits, Tyrese Maxey and Jaylen Brown carry more of the scoring, and Dean Wade and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope pick up the extra minutes.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is projected for 21.0 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.1 threes. He is the top scorer on the board for either side. If James is limited, more of the shot load falls to him.

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown projects at 20.6 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists. The rebounding number stands out for a guard. He gives Philadelphia a second primary scorer against an Indiana defence that has allowed 112.2 points a game.

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid is projected for 19.0 points, 8.7 rebounds and 3.0 assists. With Hukporti, Bona and Barlow all out, the 76ers have little cover behind him in the middle. His minutes matter more than usual.

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam leads Indiana at 19.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists. With Haliburton out, the Pacers need him to score from the forward spot. He is the one player on the road side projected near 20.

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard projects at 14.5 points, 7.5 assists and 1.9 threes. He is the one running the offence in Haliburton's absence, so his assist number is the one to watch. A quiet night from him usually means a stalled Indiana offence.

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac is projected for 10.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. He is Indiana's best answer to Embiid on the glass. His rebounding keeps the Pacers in second-chance range.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Philadelphia 76ers at 73%, with a model line of -8.1 for the home side and +8.1 for the Indiana Pacers. It projects Philadelphia at 116.6 points and Indiana at 108.5, for a total of 225.2. The case is simple. Indiana is without Haliburton, is 3-7 in its last 10, allows 112.2 points a game and lost at Philadelphia's level on 28 October. Philadelphia is at home and has more scoring depth, even with its frontcourt thin.

We cannot compare the model with the market here, because the market is missing. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline yet. That also means no total lean: 225.2 is our number, but there is nothing to measure it against. Once a line appears, the gap between it and -8.1 is the figure to check.

Statz pick: Philadelphia 76ers to win, model line -8.1, model total 225.2.

Lines move before tip, and so do injury statuses for Nesmith and James, so recheck before you act.

IND @ PHI questions

Who does the model favour, Pacers or 76ers?
The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 73%, with a model line of -8.1 and a projected margin of 8.1 points. The Indiana Pacers are the underdog at 27%, with a model line of +8.1.
What is the projected total for Pacers at 76ers?
The model projects a total of 225.2 points, with Philadelphia at 116.6 and Indiana at 108.5. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with or an over or under lean to call.
What time is Pacers vs 76ers on 15 November?
Tip is at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday 15 November in Philadelphia. The 76ers are the home side, and the Indiana Pacers are the visitors. Odds and lines may be posted closer to the game.
Is Tyrese Haliburton playing for the Pacers?
No. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a hamstring strain, and the latest report said he would miss at least 10 more days. Andrew Nembhard should take on more on-ball duties, with Quenton Jackson and Braden Smith also candidates for more minutes.
How have the Pacers and 76ers been playing lately?
Philadelphia is 7-3 over its last 10 and beat Toronto 123-112 last time out. Indiana is 3-7 over its last 10 but has won its last two, 114-101 over Washington and 106-104 over the Knicks.
Who is injured for the 76ers?
Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles. Adem Bona and Dominick Barlow are out with back injuries, and LeBron James is day-to-day with a back issue. Jabari Walker could see more backup centre minutes.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Indiana Pacers or Philadelphia 76ers?

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers with a 73% win probability, leaving the Indiana Pacers at 27%. Over their last five games the Philadelphia 76ers are 3-2 and the Indiana Pacers are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers?

For Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers, the model projects Tyrese Maxey for 21.0 points and Jaylen Brown for 20.6 points for the Philadelphia 76ers. For the Indiana Pacers it projects Pascal Siakam for 19.9 points and Andrew Nembhard for 14.5 points.