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Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 10

Updated Nov 9, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 84% chance, against 16% for the Milwaukee Bucks. See the full projection →

84%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.17

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 84% to beat the Milwaukee Bucks, with a model line of -13.2 and a projected total of 225.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters is Josh Hart, who is day-to-day for New York.

The Milwaukee Bucks visit the New York Knicks on Tuesday 10 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Knicks the clear favourite at 84% to win, with a model line of -13.2. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the NBA odds page once lines go up.

How the teams arrive

The Knicks sit at 5-4 over their nine games this season, with a run of W W W L W W L L L read from the most recent game backwards. They arrive on a three-game winning streak. They won 109-97 at Cleveland on 7 November, then beat Chicago 135-105 and Brooklyn 103-90 at home. The losses came against Philadelphia, Orlando and Boston, all by single digits or close to it. New York averages 109.9 points for and 104.2 against.

The Bucks are 1-9 over their last 10, and the slide is heavy. They have lost six straight, most recently 97-117 at home to Boston and 107-121 at home to Toronto. Before that came 111-136 against Cleveland and 100-132 against Houston. Their one win was 110-102 over Indiana. Milwaukee averages 108.4 points for and 121.6 against. That defensive number is the story of their season so far, and this is a road game.

Team news and lineups

New York has one name to watch. Josh Hart is listed day-to-day with right ankle soreness, with a return date of 10 November. He practiced and is getting extra time to recover. If he sits, his rebounding and connective passing go to others, and Landry Shamet has been the fill-in starter. Hart's minutes would be spread across the rest of the rotation.

Milwaukee is without Gary Trent Jr., who is out with illness and has missed four straight games. He has played only 13 minutes in two appearances this season, so his absence does little to the rotation. The Bucks are not short of a key piece here. Their problem is the team-level defence, not a late scratch.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson is projected for 24.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 6.2 assists, with 2.3 threes. He drives the Knicks' offence, and a big margin makes his scoring the first thing to check.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns is projected for 20.6 points and 13.1 rebounds, with 3.1 assists. The rebounding figure is the one that stands out against a Bucks side giving up 121.6 points a game.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby is projected for 16.8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.3 threes. He gives the Knicks a third scorer and a wing who adds range.

Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro is projected for 17.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and 4.1 assists, with 2.4 threes. He is the Bucks' top projected scorer and the main source of shot creation for a team that needs it.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is projected for 13.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He gives Milwaukee a second option on the wing.

Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma is projected for 11.4 points and 4.5 rebounds, with 1.5 threes. He is a steady contributor if the game stays close enough for the starters to play on.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Knicks. It gives them an 84% win probability and a projected home margin of 13.2, which is where the -13.2 line comes from. It projects 119.2 points for New York and 105.9 for Milwaukee, a total of 225.1.

There is no market to compare against. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline, so the model-versus-market comparison is missing on the market side. That means there is no total lean to give yet. The 225.1 projection is the number to hold against the posted total once it appears.

The case for New York rests on form. The Knicks have won three straight, and the Bucks have lost six straight while conceding 121.6 points a game. Milwaukee's one win in its last 10 came against Indiana.

Statz pick: New York Knicks, model line -13.2, 84% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check the number once it is posted and again close to the game.

MIL @ NYK questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Bucks at Knicks?
The Statz model favours the New York Knicks. It gives them an 84% chance to win against 16% for the Milwaukee Bucks, with a model line of -13.2 for the home side on Tuesday 10 November.
What is the projected total for Bucks vs Knicks?
The model projects a total of 225.1 points, with 119.2 for the New York Knicks and 105.9 for the Milwaukee Bucks. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Is there a betting line for Bucks at Knicks yet?
No. No bookmaker had posted a line for this game when the preview was built, so there is no spread, total or moneyline to quote. The only line available is the Statz model line of -13.2 for the Knicks.
Which injury matters most in this game?
Josh Hart of the Knicks is the one to watch. He is day-to-day with right ankle soreness and has a return date of 10 November. For Milwaukee, Gary Trent Jr. is out with illness, but his absence has little effect on the rotation.
How are the Bucks playing coming in?
Badly. Milwaukee is 1-9 over its last 10 and has lost six straight, most recently 97-117 at home to Boston. The Bucks average 108.4 points for and 121.6 against over that stretch.
How are the Knicks playing coming in?
The Knicks are 5-4 over their nine games this season and have won three straight. Those wins were 109-97 at Cleveland, 135-105 over Chicago and 103-90 over Brooklyn. They average 109.9 points for and 104.2 against.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Milwaukee Bucks or New York Knicks?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 84% win probability, leaving the Milwaukee Bucks at 16%. Over their last five games the New York Knicks are 4-1 and the Milwaukee Bucks are 0-5. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks?

For Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks, the model projects Jalen Brunson for 24.5 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 20.6 points for the New York Knicks. For the Milwaukee Bucks it projects Tyler Herro for 17.6 points and Jaime Jaquez Jr. for 13.2 points.