Who does the model favour, Wizards or Pistons?

The Statz model favours the Detroit Pistons at 80%, against 20% for the Washington Wizards. It projects a home margin of 11.4 points, which gives a model line of -11.4 for Detroit.

What is the projected total for Wizards at Pistons?

The model projects a total of 222.7 points, split 117.0 for the Detroit Pistons and 105.7 for the Washington Wizards. No bookmaker total has been posted yet, so there is nothing to compare it with.

Has a market line been posted for this game?

No. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for this game yet. Because of that there is no model-versus-market comparison, and the model line of -11.4 stands alone for now.

Which Pistons injury matters most?

Jalen Duren is out with a right hamstring strain. Paul Reed is expected to take his place in the starting five, with John Collins and Tolu Smith also likely to see more minutes. Isaiah Joe is out as well.

How are the Wizards playing coming in?

Washington are 4-6 over their last ten and have lost their last three. They lost 75-114 at Oklahoma City, 132-139 at Atlanta and 105-120 to Atlanta at home. They average 107.8 points for and 112.5 against.

WizardsWashington Wizards

Mon, Nov 97:00 PMETDetroit

PistonsDetroit Pistons

WAS4.88DET1.26via Polymarket

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 9

Updated Nov 8, with the latest lineups and odds

By Statz NBA · Published 8 Nov 2026, 7:41 AM ET

Statz pick

Detroit Pistons to win

We give the Detroit Pistons a 80% chance, against 20% for the Washington Wizards. See the full projection →

80%

DET to win

1.26

The Statz model favours the Detroit Pistons at 80% against the Washington Wizards, with a projected margin of 11.4 points and a total of 222.7. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Jalen Duren, who is out for Detroit.

The Washington Wizards visit the Detroit Pistons on Monday 9 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Detroit the favourite at 80%, with a model line of -11.4. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market price to set against it.

How the teams arrive

Detroit are 6-2 over their last eight, with a sequence of L W W W L W W W. They average 111.1 points for and allow 101.8. The standout result is a 124-91 win at Charlotte. The latest game was a 106-112 home loss to Philadelphia, and the other defeat came 97-111 at New York. The Pistons play at home here.

Washington are 4-6 over their last ten and have lost their last three. They average 107.8 points for and concede 112.5. The recent results are poor: a 75-114 loss at Oklahoma City, a 132-139 loss at Atlanta and a 105-120 home loss to Atlanta. The best recent results were a 103-94 win at Orlando and a 95-79 home win over Charlotte. This is a road game for the Wizards.

Team news and lineups

Detroit are without Jalen Duren (right hamstring strain), and Isaiah Joe (right hip contusion) is also out, having missed his sixth straight game on Sunday. Ugonna Onyenso is out on a G League two-way assignment. Duren's absence moves minutes to Paul Reed, with John Collins and Tolu Smith also in line for more time up front.

Washington's list is long. Anthony Davis (ankle) and Deandre Ayton (lower leg) are both listed out, so the frontcourt is thin. Tristan Vukcevic (hip), Justin Champagnie (foot), Reece Beekman (shoulder) and Jamir Watkins (torn ACL) are out too. The reporting points to more load for Bilal Coulibaly and the guards. Check the final report before tip, as Davis and Ayton were both flagged as questionable in the reporting.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Cade Cunningham is projected for 22.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 8.4 assists. He carries Detroit's creation with Duren out and faces a depleted Washington defence.

Duncan Robinson is projected for 15.0 points and 3.6 threes. His shooting spaces the floor for Cunningham drives.

Paul Reed is projected for 10.2 points and 5.6 rebounds. He steps into the rotation in Duren's place and matters on the glass.

Trae Young is projected for 17.3 points and 7.4 assists. Washington's offence runs through him, and the short bench raises his burden.

KyShawn George is projected for 14.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists, with 2.1 threes. He is the second scoring option.

Alexandre Sarr is projected for 10.7 points and 6.1 rebounds. With the other bigs listed out, his interior minutes and rim protection matter against Detroit.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Detroit Pistons at 80%, with a projected home margin of 11.4 and a model line of -11.4. It projects Detroit for 117.0 points and Washington for 105.7, a total of 222.7. Washington's injuries and poor recent form back the home side.

No bookmaker has posted a spread or total yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market is the missing piece. Without a line, there is no total lean to give, and the model total of 222.7 is the figure to compare once prices appear. Check the NBA odds page for updates.

Statz pick: Detroit Pistons, model line -11.4, win probability 80%. Lines move before tip, so compare any number you find with the model line.

WAS @ DET questions

Who does the model favour, Wizards or Pistons?: The Statz model favours the Detroit Pistons at 80%, against 20% for the Washington Wizards. It projects a home margin of 11.4 points, which gives a model line of -11.4 for Detroit.
What is the projected total for Wizards at Pistons?: The model projects a total of 222.7 points, split 117.0 for the Detroit Pistons and 105.7 for the Washington Wizards. No bookmaker total has been posted yet, so there is nothing to compare it with.
Has a market line been posted for this game?: No. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for this game yet. Because of that there is no model-versus-market comparison, and the model line of -11.4 stands alone for now.
Which Pistons injury matters most?: Jalen Duren is out with a right hamstring strain. Paul Reed is expected to take his place in the starting five, with John Collins and Tolu Smith also likely to see more minutes. Isaiah Joe is out as well.
How are the Wizards playing coming in?: Washington are 4-6 over their last ten and have lost their last three. They lost 75-114 at Oklahoma City, 132-139 at Atlanta and 105-120 to Atlanta at home. They average 107.8 points for and 112.5 against.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Washington Wizards or Detroit Pistons?

The Statz model favours the Detroit Pistons with a 80% win probability, leaving the Washington Wizards at 20%. Over their last five games the Detroit Pistons are 3-2 and the Washington Wizards are 2-3. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons?

No spread or total is posted yet for Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons?

For Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons, the model projects Cade Cunningham for 22.0 points and Duncan Robinson for 15.0 points for the Detroit Pistons. For the Washington Wizards it projects Trae Young for 17.3 points and KyShawn George for 14.0 points.