Brooklyn NetsNets
Sun, Nov 87:30 PMETDallas
Dallas MavericksMavericks
BKN3.92DAL1.34via Polymarket

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 8

Updated Nov 7, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

DAL

Statz pick

Dallas Mavericks to win

We give the Dallas Mavericks a 66% chance, against 34% for the Brooklyn Nets. See the full projection →

66%
DAL to win
Polymarket1.34

The Statz model favours the Dallas Mavericks at 66% to beat the Brooklyn Nets, with a model line of -5.7 and a projected total of 223.8. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Dereck Lively II, who is out at centre for Dallas.

The Brooklyn Nets visit the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 8 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes Dallas the favourite at 66% and projects a -5.7 line. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. The model total is 223.8.

How the teams arrive

Dallas are 5-4 over their nine games this season, with a sequence of W L L W W W L W L read from the most recent game backwards in the data's order. The latest result was a 112-100 home win over Utah. They beat Oklahoma City 120-96 at home and Indiana 121-105 on the road. They also lost 106-122 to San Antonio and 110-128 at Houston. They score 112.1 and concede 110.9 on average. That is a team with a wide range of outcomes but a positive scoring margin.

Brooklyn are 2-6 over eight games and score 106.6 while conceding 112.9. They beat Charlotte 114-104 at home in their latest game and won 98-90 at Indiana. The losses include a 109-136 home defeat to Indiana and a 94-110 home loss to Detroit. Two of the losses were tight: 124-125 at Boston and 121-125 at Cleveland. The defence is the problem. Brooklyn are on the road here.

Team news and lineups

Dallas are without three players, all listed as out with a return date of 12 November. Dereck Lively II (foot) matters most. He is week-to-week, and Daniel Gafford and Moussa Cisse should handle most of the work at the five. Santi Aldama (knee) may also get involved there once cleared. Tarik Biberovic (heel) has yet to make his NBA debut and was not expected to hold a meaningful role. Sergio De Larrea (knee) is week-to-week with a knee strain.

Brooklyn list five players as out. Egor Demin (right bone bruise) is the only one with a real rotation role at stake, with a return date of 11 November. That thins the young backcourt. Tyler Bilodeau, Joshua Jefferson, Grant Nelson and Ben Saraf are on two-way or G League assignments, and Bilodeau's absence was not expected to affect the rotation.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Cooper Flagg

Cooper Flagg is projected for 21.4 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He is Dallas's top scorer in the model and the main creator without Lively's rim presence.

Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving is projected for 20.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.1 assists, with 2.6 threes. His shooting is the biggest swing in Dallas's scoring.

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington is projected for 14.1 points and 7.0 rebounds. With the centre spot thin, his rebounding carries more weight than usual.

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. is projected for 21.4 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.0 threes. He is Brooklyn's best route to staying close, built on volume from deep.

Julius Randle

Julius Randle is projected for 19.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He gives Brooklyn a second scorer and a playmaker in the frontcourt.

Nolan Traoré

Nolan Traoré is projected for 10.5 points and 3.4 assists. With Demin out, his role in the backcourt grows.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Dallas Mavericks at 66%, with a model line of -5.7 and team points of 114.7 for Dallas against 109.0 for Brooklyn. Dallas have the better scoring margin this season, the home court, and a head-to-head record that points the same way. Brooklyn's 112.9 points allowed per game is the weak spot.

There is no market line yet, so the model-versus-market comparison cannot be made: the market is the missing side. The model total is 223.8, and without a posted number there is no total lean to give. Check the NBA odds page once lines appear.

Statz pick: Dallas Mavericks, model line -5.7, 66% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so compare the model number with the market once it is posted.

BKN @ DAL questions

Who does the model favour in Nets vs Mavericks?
The Statz model favours the Dallas Mavericks at 66% to beat the Brooklyn Nets. It projects Dallas at -5.7, with team points of 114.7 for Dallas and 109.0 for Brooklyn.
What is the projected total for Nets at Mavericks?
The model projects a total of 223.8 points. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare with and no total lean to give.
What time is Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks?
The game is on Sunday 8 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. Dallas are at home, and the Brooklyn Nets are on the road.
Who is injured for the Dallas Mavericks?
Dereck Lively II (foot), Tarik Biberovic (heel) and Sergio De Larrea (knee) are all out, with a return date of 12 November. Lively matters most, as Daniel Gafford and Moussa Cisse should handle the minutes at centre.
How have the Brooklyn Nets played this season?
Brooklyn are 2-6 over eight games, scoring 106.6 and conceding 112.9 on average. They beat Charlotte 114-104 in their latest game but lost 109-136 at home to Indiana.

More NBA previews

18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds are subject to change.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Brooklyn Nets or Dallas Mavericks?

The Statz model favours the Dallas Mavericks with a 66% win probability, leaving the Brooklyn Nets at 34%. Over their last five games the Dallas Mavericks are 3-2 and the Brooklyn Nets are 2-3. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks?

For Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks, the model projects Cooper Flagg for 21.4 points and Kyrie Irving for 20.3 points for the Dallas Mavericks. For the Brooklyn Nets it projects Michael Porter Jr. for 21.4 points and Julius Randle for 19.6 points.