Brooklyn NetsNets
Sat, Nov 77:30 PMETAtlanta
Atlanta HawksHawks
BKN3.17ATL1.46via Polymarket

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 7

Updated Nov 6, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

ATL

Statz pick

Atlanta Hawks to win

We give the Atlanta Hawks a 79% chance, against 21% for the Brooklyn Nets. See the full projection →

79%
ATL to win
Polymarket1.46

The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 79% to beat the Brooklyn Nets, with a model line of -11.1 and a projected total of 225.6. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters is Jock Landale's hip, which shapes Atlanta's frontcourt depth.

The Brooklyn Nets visit the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday 7 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes Atlanta the favourite at 79%, with a model line of -11.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Here is why the model leans so hard, and what to check before tip.

How the teams arrive

The Hawks are 5-4 across their nine games counted, with a sequence of W W L W L L L W W, most recent first. They average 115.8 points for and 113.0 against. The swings are wide. They beat Charlotte 128-81 and Washington 120-105 on the road, but lost 99-121 at New Orleans and 117-129 at home to Miami. They won their most recent road trip stops at Washington and Indiana, and they are back in Atlanta for this one.

The Nets are 2-6 across eight games counted, with a sequence of W L W L L L L L. They average 106.6 points for and 112.9 against, a gap of more than six points a night. Their latest result was a 114-104 home win over Charlotte, and they also won 98-90 at Indiana. The losses include a 109-136 home defeat to Indiana and a 90-103 loss at New York. They did push Boston to a 124-125 loss, so the offence can spike. The defence is the problem, and they travel to Atlanta.

Team news and lineups

Atlanta's list is long, though most of it sits at the end of the rotation. Henri Veesaar is out for the season with a torn right ACL. Mouhamed Gueye is out with a fractured left foot and has a listed return of 20 November. Keshon Gilbert, a two-way player, is out with knee inflammation.

The two to watch are Jock Landale and Asa Newell. Landale has a left hip strain and has missed three straight games. Reporting pointed to this game, the second half of a back-to-back, as his next chance to play. Newell has a left great toe hyperextension and is day-to-day. With Gueye also out, the backup big minutes fall to rookie Zuby Ejiofor if Landale sits. That is the one injury that moves the frontcourt picture.

Brooklyn has two names listed as day-to-day. Day'Ron Sharpe is coming off a 13-rebound game against Indiana, and Noah Clowney has a knee issue and a listed return of 7 November. Egor Demin is out with a right leg bone bruise and is due to be re-evaluated in a week. Tyler Bilodeau, a two-way player, is out with a shoulder sprain, and his absence should not affect the rotation. Demin's absence thins the young backcourt, so more minutes flow to the guards still available.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is projected for 20.1 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 3.6 threes. That is the top scoring line on the Hawks and a big share of the model's 118.3 team points. His three-point volume is the clearest route to a quick Atlanta lead.

Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson is projected for 18.1 points, 8.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He is the connector. If Brooklyn sends help at him, the passing line matters as much as the scoring.

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum is projected for 16.1 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.2 threes. He gives Atlanta a second shot creator, which matters against a Nets side giving up 112.9 points a game.

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. is projected for 21.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 2.7 threes. He leads the Nets on the board. Brooklyn's 107.2 projected points rely on him shooting well.

Julius Randle

Julius Randle is projected for 19.4 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He is the Nets' second option and their main playmaking forward. His rebounding also helps if Atlanta's big-man depth is thin.

Nolan Traoré

Nolan Traoré is projected for 10.3 points, 2.1 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.2 threes. With Demin out, the guard minutes lean on him, and his assist line is the one to track for Brooklyn's ball movement.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Atlanta Hawks at 79%, against 21% for the Brooklyn Nets. The projected margin is 11.1 points, which gives a model line of Hawks -11.1. The projected score is 118.3 to 107.2.

There is no market line to compare against. The market side is the one missing, so there is no model-versus-market gap to report. The model total is 225.6, and with no posted total there is no over or under lean yet. Compare 225.6 with the number when books open it, and check the NBA odds page for updates. The full preview carries the model, form and head-to-head detail.

Statz pick: Atlanta Hawks -11.1 (model line), 79% to win.

Lines move before tip, and Atlanta's frontcourt news on Landale and Newell is the thing to check first.

BKN @ ATL questions

Who does the model favour in Nets vs Hawks?
The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 79%, with the Brooklyn Nets at 21%. The model line is Hawks -11.1, from a projected margin of 11.1 points and a projected score of 118.3 to 107.2.
What is the model total for Nets vs Hawks?
The model projects a total of 225.6 points. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with and no over or under lean to give at this stage.
What time is Nets vs Hawks on 7 November?
The Brooklyn Nets play at the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday 7 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The game is in Atlanta, and it is a regular season game, not a postseason one.
Which Hawks injuries matter against the Nets?
Jock Landale has a left hip strain and has missed three straight games, with this game flagged as his next chance. Mouhamed Gueye is out with a foot fracture, and Asa Newell is day-to-day with a toe injury, which thins Atlanta's frontcourt.
How have the Nets played this season?
The Nets are 2-6 across eight games counted. They average 106.6 points for and 112.9 against. Their latest result was a 114-104 home win over Charlotte, and they also won 98-90 at Indiana.

More NBA previews

18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds are subject to change.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Brooklyn Nets or Atlanta Hawks?

The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks with a 79% win probability, leaving the Brooklyn Nets at 21%. Over their last five games the Atlanta Hawks are 3-2 and the Brooklyn Nets are 2-3. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks?

For Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks, the model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker for 20.1 points and Jalen Johnson for 18.1 points for the Atlanta Hawks. For the Brooklyn Nets it projects Michael Porter Jr. for 21.2 points and Julius Randle for 19.4 points.