Boston CelticsCeltics
Fri, Nov 67:00 PMETCharlotte
Charlotte HornetsHornets
BOS1.26CHA4.88via Polymarket

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 6

Updated Nov 5, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

BOS

Statz pick

Boston Celtics to win

We give the Boston Celtics a 64% chance, against 36% for the Charlotte Hornets. See the full projection →

64%
BOS to win
Polymarket1.26

The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics at 64% to beat the Charlotte Hornets, with a projected margin of 4.7 points and a total of 212.2. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters is Kon Knueppel, listed out for Charlotte with a leg problem.

The Boston Celtics visit the Charlotte Hornets on Friday 6 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Boston the favourite at 64% to win. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the NBA odds page once lines go up.

How the teams arrive

Charlotte arrive in poor form. They are 3-6 over their last nine, with a sequence of L L L L L W W L W. The Hornets average 98.1 points for and 109.2 against. Recent scores stand out for the wrong reasons: a 91-124 home loss to Detroit, a 79-95 loss at Washington and an 81-128 home loss to Atlanta. They did beat Miami 115-110 and Washington 110-103 at home. Their latest game was a 104-114 loss at Brooklyn.

Boston are 6-2 over their last eight, and the sequence reads W L W W W W W L. They average 114.3 points for and 108.3 against. The best scores were a 134-99 win over Chicago and a 125-111 win over Chicago at home. Their latest game was a 109-102 home win over Milwaukee. The two losses came away from home: 93-109 at Houston and 113-121 at Detroit. Friday is another road game.

Team news and lineups

Charlotte's concern is Kon Knueppel. He left Wednesday's game against Brooklyn with left leg soreness after about six minutes. It is the same leg that delayed his season debut. He is listed out, though the report calls him questionable for this game. Grant Williams is also out with a hamstring strain, and has yet to make his season debut. Without Knueppel, more of the scoring and ball-handling load falls on the remaining guards and wings.

Boston have one doubt and two absences. Payton Pritchard is day-to-day after leaving Wednesday's win over Milwaukee with a right eye abrasion. He played 18 minutes and scored 10. If he cannot go, Baylor Scheierman and Mike Conley are the candidates for extra minutes. Jayson Tatum is listed out. His absence on Wednesday was planned rest, not an injury, so check his status closer to tip. Devin Carter is out with mononucleosis and is expected to begin his season in the G League.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Brandon Miller

Brandon Miller is projected for 18.7 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 3.1 threes. He is Charlotte's top scoring option, and his shot volume matters most with Knueppel in doubt.

Naz Reid

Naz Reid is projected for 13.6 points and 6.8 rebounds. He gives the Hornets scoring and rebounding from the frontcourt, and he adds 1.9 threes.

Coby White

Coby White is projected for 13.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He is a key secondary creator for a team averaging 98.1 points over its last nine.

Paul George

Paul George is projected for 17.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.6 threes. He leads Boston's projected scoring, and the model expects him to carry the offence.

Derrick White

Derrick White is projected for 12.9 points, 3.3 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 1.8 threes. He is a steady two-way guard and a key playmaker if Pritchard is limited.

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard is projected for 12.5 points, 2.4 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.8 threes. That line assumes he plays, so his eye injury is the one to track before tip.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Boston Celtics. It gives them a 64% win probability and a model line of -4.7, with the Charlotte Hornets at +4.7. It projects a score of 108.5 to 103.7 and a total of 212.2. No bookmaker has posted a spread or total yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market is the missing piece. Without a total to compare, there is no total lean either.

The case for Boston is form. They are 6-2 in their last eight, while Charlotte are 3-6 in their last nine and are allowing 109.2 points a game. Knueppel's absence makes things harder for the Hornets. The risks are Pritchard's status and any further word on Tatum.

Statz pick: Boston Celtics, 64% win probability, model line -4.7.

Lines move before tip, so check the price once a market opens.

BOS @ CHA questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Celtics vs Hornets?
The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics at 64% to win, with the Charlotte Hornets at 36%. Its model line is Boston -4.7, and it projects a score of 108.5 to 103.7.
What total does the model project for this game?
The model projects a total of 212.2 points, with Boston at 108.5 and Charlotte at 103.7. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Is there a market line for Celtics at Hornets yet?
No bookmaker has posted a line for this game yet. That means there is no spread, total or moneyline to compare with the model's numbers. Check the Statz NBA odds page for updates.
Which injury matters most for Charlotte?
Kon Knueppel is listed out after leaving Wednesday's game against Brooklyn with left leg soreness. It is the same leg that delayed his season debut. Grant Williams is also out with a hamstring strain.
Is Payton Pritchard playing for Boston?
Payton Pritchard is day-to-day with a right eye abrasion, suffered in Wednesday's win over Milwaukee. If he cannot play, Baylor Scheierman and Mike Conley are the candidates for increased minutes.
What time is Celtics vs Hornets on 6 November?
Tip is at 7:00 PM ET on Friday 6 November, with the Boston Celtics visiting the Charlotte Hornets. The model has Boston at 64% to win.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Boston Celtics or Charlotte Hornets?

The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics with a 64% win probability, leaving the Charlotte Hornets at 36%. Over their last five games the Charlotte Hornets are 0-5 and the Boston Celtics are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets?

No spread or total is posted yet for Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets?

For Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets, the model projects Brandon Miller for 18.7 points and Naz Reid for 13.6 points for the Charlotte Hornets. For the Boston Celtics it projects Paul George for 17.7 points and Derrick White for 12.9 points.