Philadelphia 76ers76ers
Fri, Nov 67:30 PMETCleveland
Cleveland CavaliersCavaliers
PHI1.53CLE2.90via Polymarket

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 6

Updated Nov 5, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

CLE

Statz pick

Cleveland Cavaliers to win

We give the Cleveland Cavaliers a 59% chance, against 41% for the Philadelphia 76ers. See the full projection →

59%
CLE to win
Polymarket2.90

The Statz model favours the Cleveland Cavaliers at 59% to beat the Philadelphia 76ers, with a projected line of -3.1 and a total of 232.4. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market price to compare. The injury to watch is Jarrett Allen, who is day-to-day with a knee problem.

The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday 6 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model favours Cleveland at 59%, with a projected line of -3.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the NBA odds page once prices appear.

How the teams arrive

Cleveland are 4-4 across their eight games, with a sequence of L L W L W W W L. They have lost their last two, 112-117 at home to Oklahoma City and 116-124 in the return in Oklahoma City. The high point was a 136-111 win at Milwaukee. They average 119.3 points for and 117.1 against, so the margins are thin. Their only loss to date in this matchup came on 22 October, 106-114 in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 8-1 across nine games and have won five in a row. The latest was a 112-106 win at Detroit, and before that a 126-107 home win over Chicago. The one defeat was 93-106 at home to Detroit. They average 111.0 points for and 105.2 against, which points to a side winning on defence. They beat Cleveland 114-106 earlier this season. The 76ers are on the road here.

Team news and lineups

Cleveland carry the longer list. Jarrett Allen left Wednesday's loss to Oklahoma City in the first quarter with a right knee injury and is day-to-day. If he cannot go, Thomas Bryant is the likely backup behind Evan Mobley, and Mario Hezonja could pick up minutes. Tyrese Proctor left in the fourth quarter with an apparent ankle injury and is also day-to-day. He is questionable. Meleek Thomas and Craig Porter would see more time if he sits.

Jaylon Tyson (ankle) is listed out, though the coach has said the layoff is not long term and a return is possible. Peyton Watson (hamstring) is out for a second straight game, and the back-to-back could keep him sidelined. Meleek Thomas, Sam Merrill and Hezonja share the load on the wing.

Philadelphia are in better shape. Adem Bona left the win over Detroit with an apparent head injury and is questionable. He is the backup centre behind Joel Embiid, so his absence would lean on Embiid's minutes. Dominick Barlow (back) needs another 10-12 days. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell is projected for 21.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists. He is Cleveland's top scorer, and with the injury list growing his shot volume matters even more.

James Harden

James Harden is projected for 17.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.5 assists, with 2.6 threes. He is the main playmaker in a depleted group.

Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley is projected for 16.7 points and 9.1 rebounds. If Allen is out, he is the frontcourt anchor, and his rebounding line becomes central.

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is projected for 21.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.6 assists, with 2.5 threes. He tops the 76ers' scoring line and drives their offence.

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown is projected for 21.2 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. The model has him almost level with Maxey, which gives Philadelphia a second scorer on the wing.

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid is projected for 20.7 points, 8.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. With Bona questionable, he is the interior piece Cleveland must handle.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Cleveland Cavaliers at 59%, against 41% for the Philadelphia 76ers. Its line is Cleveland -3.1, built on projected scores of 117.7 for Cleveland and 114.7 for Philadelphia. That makes a projected total of 232.4. No market line exists yet, so there is no spread or total to compare, and no total lean can be given. The missing piece is the market, not the model.

The case for Cleveland rests on home court. The case against is the form: the 76ers are 8-1 and won the earlier meeting 114-106, while Cleveland have lost two in a row with Allen, Proctor, Tyson and Watson all in doubt. Those statuses could move the number.

Statz pick: Cleveland Cavaliers, model line -3.1, 59% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check team news and the posted price before you act.

PHI @ CLE questions

Who does the Statz model favour in 76ers vs Cavaliers?
The model favours the Cleveland Cavaliers at 59%, with the Philadelphia 76ers at 41%. Its projected line is Cleveland -3.1. The projected score is 117.7 for Cleveland and 114.7 for Philadelphia.
What is the projected total for 76ers at Cavaliers?
The model projects a total of 232.4 points. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with and no over or under lean can be given.
Is there a market line for this game?
No. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for this game yet. The Statz model line is Cleveland -3.1, and the NBA odds page will show prices once they appear.
Which injuries matter most for Cleveland?
Jarrett Allen (knee) and Tyrese Proctor (ankle) are both day-to-day after leaving Wednesday's loss to Oklahoma City. Jaylon Tyson and Peyton Watson are listed out. Thomas Bryant and Meleek Thomas could see more minutes.
What is the 76ers' record this season?
Philadelphia are 8-1 across nine games and have won five in a row. They beat Detroit 112-106 on Wednesday. Their one loss was 93-106 at home to Detroit. They also beat Cleveland 114-106 on 22 October.
Is Adem Bona playing for Philadelphia?
Adem Bona is day-to-day and questionable. He left Wednesday's win over Detroit in the fourth quarter with an apparent head injury after 15 minutes. He is the backup centre behind Joel Embiid.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Philadelphia 76ers or Cleveland Cavaliers?

The Statz model favours the Cleveland Cavaliers with a 59% win probability, leaving the Philadelphia 76ers at 41%. Over their last five games the Cleveland Cavaliers are 2-3 and the Philadelphia 76ers are 5-0. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers?

For Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers, the model projects Donovan Mitchell for 21.7 points and James Harden for 17.6 points for the Cleveland Cavaliers. For the Philadelphia 76ers it projects Tyrese Maxey for 21.4 points and Jaylen Brown for 21.2 points.