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New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 8

Updated Nov 7, with the latest lineups and odds

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Statz pick

LA Clippers to win

We give the LA Clippers a 54% chance, against 46% for the New Orleans Pelicans. See the full projection →

54%
LAC to win
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The Statz model favours the LA Clippers at 54% against the New Orleans Pelicans, with a model line of -1.3 and a projected total of 228.5. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Bradley Beal, who is out for the Clippers.

The New Orleans Pelicans visit the LA Clippers on Sunday 8 November, with tip at 9:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours the Clippers at 54%, with a model line of -1.3. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so the market is still to come. Check the NBA odds page for updates.

How the teams arrive

The Clippers arrive in poor form. They are 1-7 over their last eight games, and the sequence reads seven straight losses after an opening win. That win was 121-96 over SAC at home. Since then, the scores have been ugly: 87-103 against LAL at home, 101-127 at MIN, and 112-124 at GSW. They lost 116-117 to MIA in their latest home game. They average 109.1 points for and concede 115.6.

The Pelicans are 4-5 over their last nine, and the run is uneven. They won four straight, including 135-134 at MEM and 121-99 against ATL, then lost 109-115 to MIN at home on Friday. They average 120.2 points for and concede 118.8. That is a lot of offence, and not much defence. They also lost 91-104 to DEN, so the output can vanish.

Team news and lineups

The Clippers are short in several places. Bradley Beal is out with knee inflammation, with a return date of 29 November. That leaves backcourt minutes to Darius Garland, Keaton Wagler and Kris Dunn. Brandon Ingram is out as he recovers from a partial Achilles tear. He has progressed to full contact work and is close, but there is no firm date for his season debut. Yanic Konan Niederhauser is out after foot surgery and is unlikely to play a meaningful role soon. Jordan Miller is out after rotator cuff surgery and is not expected back until after the All-Star break. His absence gives Kobe Sanders a chance to crack the rotation.

The Pelicans have one name on the list. Yves Missi is out with a knee injury he picked up on 23 October, and he has no timetable to return. His absence thins the frontcourt. The Pelicans will lean on their other bigs for rebounding and rim protection.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Players to watch

Darius Garland

Darius Garland is projected for 21.0 points, 2.7 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 2.3 threes. With Beal out, he carries the creation load for a team that has struggled to score.

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura is projected for 14.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.6 threes. He is the Clippers' steadiest frontcourt scorer in the model's view.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. is projected for 10.9 points and 5.0 rebounds. His minutes and energy matter on a depleted wing group.

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson is projected for 18.8 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He is the Pelicans' top scorer in this projection, and he gets his points near the rim, with just 0.2 threes projected.

Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III is projected for 16.3 points and 3.0 threes. That is the biggest perimeter threat on the floor, and the Clippers have been conceding plenty.

Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray is projected for 15.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He is the Pelicans' main playmaker and a fine all-round line.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Clippers at 54%, against 46% for the Pelicans. Its line is Clippers -1.3, and it projects a score of 114.9 to 113.6 with a total of 228.5. That is a close game on paper. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market is the missing side.

The total lean is toward points. The Pelicans average 120.2 for and the Clippers have given up 115.6 per game, though the Clippers' own offence has struggled at 109.1. Wait for a posted total before acting on that.

Statz pick: LA Clippers, 54% win probability, model line -1.3.

Lines move before tip, so check the number again before you act.

NOP @ LAC questions

Who does the model favour in Pelicans vs Clippers?
The Statz model favours the LA Clippers at 54%, against 46% for the New Orleans Pelicans. Its line is Clippers -1.3, which makes this a close game on paper.
What is the projected total for this game?
The model projects a total of 228.5, with the Clippers at 114.9 points and the Pelicans at 113.6. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
What time is Pelicans at Clippers on 8 November?
Tip is at 9:00 PM ET on Sunday 8 November. The game is in LA, with the Clippers as the home side.
Which injury matters most for the Clippers?
Bradley Beal is out with knee inflammation, with a return date of 29 November. Brandon Ingram is also out with a partial Achilles tear, and Darius Garland, Keaton Wagler and Kris Dunn absorb the backcourt minutes.
How are the Clippers playing this season?
The Clippers are 1-7 over their last eight games, with seven straight losses after a 121-96 win over SAC. They average 109.1 points for and concede 115.6.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, New Orleans Pelicans or LA Clippers?

The Statz model favours the LA Clippers with a 54% win probability, leaving the New Orleans Pelicans at 46%. Over their last five games the LA Clippers are 0-5 and the New Orleans Pelicans are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers?

No spread or total is posted yet for New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers?

For New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers, the model projects Darius Garland for 21.0 points and Rui Hachimura for 14.1 points for the LA Clippers. For the New Orleans Pelicans it projects Zion Williamson for 18.8 points and Trey Murphy III for 16.3 points.