Los Angeles LakersLakers
Mon, Nov 97:00 PMETAtlanta
Atlanta HawksHawks
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Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 9

Updated Nov 8, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

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Statz pick

Los Angeles Lakers to win

We give the Los Angeles Lakers a 52% chance, against 48% for the Atlanta Hawks. See the full projection →

52%
LAL to win
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The Statz model makes the Los Angeles Lakers narrow favourites at 52% against the Atlanta Hawks at 48%, with a model line of -0.7 and a projected total of 233.9. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The Hawks list five players out, while the Lakers report nobody.

The Los Angeles Lakers visit the Atlanta Hawks on Monday 9 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours the Lakers at 52%, with the Hawks at 48%. That is a thin edge, and it is the only number on the board for now: no bookmaker has posted a line, so there is no market spread, total or moneyline to set against it.

How the teams arrive

Atlanta are 6-4 over their last 10 and come in on a winning run. They scored 124-121 against Brooklyn and 139-132 against Washington at home, and beat Washington 120-105 on the road. The results swing, though. They lost 99-121 at New Orleans, and they also won 128-81 at Charlotte. Across the 10 games they average 117.3 points for and allow 114.5, a margin that is positive but not wide. This is a home game for them.

The Lakers are 8-2 over their last 10, also on a winning run. They scored 138-117 against Miami, 131-125 against Toronto and 124-118 against Portland, all at home, and won 116-103 at Sacramento. The blemish was a 95-112 loss at Golden State. They average 122.0 points for and allow 114.3, so the defensive numbers match Atlanta's and the gap comes from scoring. They travel here with the better form and the better offence.

Team news and lineups

The Lakers have nobody on the injury report. Whatever rotation they want is available, and that matters for a team leaning on its scoring.

The Hawks list five players as out: Henri Veesaar, Mouhamed Gueye, Jock Landale, Asa Newell and Keshon Gilbert. Veesaar is reported out for the season with a torn ACL. Gueye, a big man, has a listed return date of 20 November. Landale, another big, is out with a hip strain and his next chance to return is this game. Newell is out with a toe issue and is described as having a secondary role. Gilbert is out with knee inflammation and has not made his season debut.

The effect lands up front. With Gueye and Landale both listed out, Atlanta have little backup size behind Onyeka Okongwu. Any foul trouble for him would leave them thin against a Lakers side with a rim-protecting centre. Newell's absence takes a depth wing out of the mix, so the main rotation should carry heavier minutes. Landale is the one to check before tip, as his return date matches this game.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic projects to 29.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, 6.6 assists and 3.3 threes. He drives the Lakers' offence and is the main reason the model sees them scoring 117.3. Atlanta's thin frontcourt gives him room to attack.

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves projects to 20.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.7 threes. He is the second creator, and his playmaking keeps the Lakers from relying on one player.

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler projects to 11.5 points and 10.6 rebounds. His role is the glass and the paint, which is exactly where Atlanta are short of bodies tonight.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker projects to 19.8 points, 2.9 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 3.4 threes. The three-point figure is the highest on the Hawks, and he is the likeliest source of scoring bursts.

Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson projects to 19.8 points, 8.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists. He is the best all-round Atlanta option and the one who can offset the size gap by rebounding and creating.

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum projects to 14.4 points, 2.8 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 2.0 threes. He adds a steady scoring guard, which matters with the Hawks short on depth.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Los Angeles Lakers. It gives them a 52% win probability and a line of -0.7, which means the Hawks are +0.7. Projected scores are 117.3 for the Lakers and 116.6 for the Hawks, for a total of 233.9. That is close to a coin flip with a small lean to the visitors, built on better recent scoring, a clean injury report and Atlanta's depleted frontcourt.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is missing: no spread, total or moneyline has been posted. Without a market total, there is no total lean to give. Check the NBA odds page once lines go up and compare them with the model figures above.

Statz pick: Los Angeles Lakers, model line -0.7, 52% win probability.

Lines move before tip, and this one has not even opened, so treat these numbers as a starting point and not a verdict.

LAL @ ATL questions

Who does the model favour in Lakers vs Hawks?
The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 52%, with the Atlanta Hawks at 48%. The model line is Lakers -0.7, so the edge is very small and this reads as a near coin flip.
What is the projected total for Lakers at Hawks?
The model projects a total of 233.9 points, with the Lakers at 117.3 and the Hawks at 116.6. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Are there odds for this game yet?
No bookmaker has posted a line for the game yet, so there is no spread, total or moneyline to quote. Check the Statz NBA odds page once lines go up and compare them with the model.
Which Hawks players are out?
The Hawks list Henri Veesaar, Mouhamed Gueye, Jock Landale, Asa Newell and Keshon Gilbert as out. Veesaar is reported out for the season, and the missing bigs leave Atlanta thin behind Onyeka Okongwu.
Do the Lakers have any injuries?
No. The Los Angeles Lakers have nobody on the injury report, so their full rotation looks available, including Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, who lead the projected scoring.
When is Lakers vs Hawks?
The game is on Monday 9 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. It is played in Atlanta, so the Hawks are the home side and the Lakers are the visitors.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Los Angeles Lakers or Atlanta Hawks?

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers with a 52% win probability, leaving the Atlanta Hawks at 48%. Over their last five games the Atlanta Hawks are 4-1 and the Los Angeles Lakers are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks?

For Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks, the model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker for 19.8 points and Jalen Johnson for 19.8 points for the Atlanta Hawks. For the Los Angeles Lakers it projects Luka Doncic for 29.1 points and Austin Reaves for 20.3 points.