Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies
Mon, Nov 167:00 PMETWashington
Washington WizardsWizards
MEM1.45WAS3.23via Polymarket

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 16

Updated Nov 15, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

MEM

Statz pick

Memphis Grizzlies to win

We give the Memphis Grizzlies a 60% chance, against 40% for the Washington Wizards. See the full projection →

60%
MEM to win
Polymarket1.45

The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies at 60% over the Washington Wizards at 40%, with a model line of -3.5 for Memphis. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market price to compare. The injury to watch is GG Jackson's foot, on top of a long Memphis absence list.

The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Washington Wizards on Monday 16 November, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes Memphis the favourite at 60% to win, with a model line of -3.5. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the NBA odds page as prices appear.

How the teams arrive

Washington arrives in poor form. The Wizards are 2-8 over their last 10 and have lost each of their last six, scoring 107.6 and allowing 115.7 per game across that stretch. The scores explain the trouble. They lost 75-114 at Oklahoma City and 105-120 at home to Atlanta, then fell 140-144 at home to Detroit, a game where the defence gave up 144. Their two wins came against Charlotte, 95-79 at home, and Orlando, 103-94 on the road.

Memphis is 6-4 over its last 10 and scores 121.1 while allowing 112.9. The Grizzlies come in off back-to-back wins: 142-111 at New Orleans and 129-110 over Brooklyn at home. The ceiling is high, but the floor has dropped too. They lost 97-128 to Oklahoma City, and fell 134-135 to New Orleans and 118-123 to Denver. Monday is a road game, and the Grizzlies are playing on short rest after Saturday.

Team news and lineups

Washington is thin. Tristan Vukcevic is out with a left hip impingement and has yet to make his season debut. Justin Champagnie had foot surgery, and the Wizards hope he returns around the All-Star break. Reece Beekman is out with a right AC joint injury, which further limits the backcourt. Two-way player Jamir Watkins is recovering from ACL surgery and is in jeopardy of missing most of the season. Reporting names Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson and Bub Carrington as the players asked to pick up the slack. Expect heavier minutes for them and little frontcourt depth behind the main rotation.

Memphis has the longer list. GG Jackson played only three minutes against Brooklyn before a foot injury that coach Tuomas Iisalo called "relatively serious". He is not expected on Monday. Olivier-Maxence Prosper and Taylor Hendricks could see more minutes. Scotty Pippen Jr. has missed six straight games with a back issue, and Richie Saunders is still recovering from a torn ACL.

Four more Grizzlies were ruled out on Saturday with Monday listed as their next chance to play: Quinten Post (concussion), Zach Edey (ankle), Ty Jerome (hip) and Jerami Grant (head). Their status is worth confirming before tip, because it changes Memphis' depth in the frontcourt and at guard.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis projects at 20.6 points, 10.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He is the Wizards' best source of both scoring and rim presence, and the thin frontcourt leans on him.

Trae Young

Trae Young projects at 19.1 points, 7.8 assists and 2.1 threes. With the backcourt short on depth, he is the playmaker the offence runs through.

KyShawn George

KyShawn George projects at 15.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 2.2 threes. He gives Washington a secondary scorer who can stretch a tired defence.

Cameron Boozer

Cameron Boozer projects at 14.0 points, 9.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He is the top Memphis projection and the clearest all-round contributor on a short roster.

Cedric Coward

Cedric Coward projects at 13.6 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.6 threes. His rebounding matters more if the Grizzlies are missing size.

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells projects at 11.2 points and 1.7 threes. With Jackson out, Memphis needs his perimeter shooting to keep spacing intact.

Statz prediction

The model takes Memphis. It gives the Grizzlies a 60% chance of winning and projects a margin of 3.5, which is the -3.5 model line, with the Wizards at +3.5. It projects a score of 116.4 for Memphis against 112.9 for Washington, and a total of 229.3.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is missing: no bookmaker has posted a spread or total for this game. That also means no total lean. The 229.3 model total is only a reference point until a number appears.

The case for Memphis rests on form. The Grizzlies score 121.1 per game over their last 10, while Washington allows 115.7 and has lost six straight. The risk is the Grizzlies' own injury list, which could still change the picture before tip.

Statz pick: Memphis Grizzlies, model line -3.5, 60% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so recheck injury news and the market once prices are posted.

MEM @ WAS questions

Who does the model favour in Grizzlies vs Wizards?
The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies. It gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 40% for the Washington Wizards, and a model line of -3.5 for Memphis.
What is the projected total for Memphis vs Washington?
The model projects a total of 229.3 points, with Memphis at 116.4 and Washington at 112.9. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Is there a market line for this game yet?
No. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for this game as of the latest data. Without a market price, there is no comparison between the model and the market.
How have the Wizards played recently?
Washington is 2-8 over its last 10 and has lost six straight. It averages 107.6 points and allows 115.7, with heavy losses of 75-114 at Oklahoma City and 105-120 at home to Atlanta.
How have the Grizzlies played recently?
Memphis is 6-4 over its last 10, averaging 121.1 points and allowing 112.9. It won 142-111 at New Orleans and 129-110 over Brooklyn in its last two games.
Which injuries matter most for Memphis?
GG Jackson left Saturday's win over Brooklyn with a foot injury and is not expected to play. Post, Edey, Jerome and Grant were ruled out Saturday, with Monday their next chance to play, so check their status before tip.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Memphis Grizzlies or Washington Wizards?

The Statz model favours the Memphis Grizzlies with a 60% win probability, leaving the Washington Wizards at 40%. Over their last five games the Washington Wizards are 0-5 and the Memphis Grizzlies are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards?

No spread or total is posted yet for Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards?

For Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards, the model projects Anthony Davis for 20.6 points and Trae Young for 19.1 points for the Washington Wizards. For the Memphis Grizzlies it projects Cameron Boozer for 14.0 points and Cedric Coward for 13.6 points.