Boston CelticsCeltics
Tue, Nov 108:00 PMETPhiladelphia
Philadelphia 76ers76ers
BOS1.94PHI2.06SpreadPHI -1.5Total215.5via Polymarket

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 10

Updated Nov 9, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

BOS

Statz pick

Boston Celtics to win

We give the Boston Celtics a 52% chance, against 48% for the Philadelphia 76ers. See the full projection →

52%
BOS to win
Polymarket1.94

The Statz model makes the Boston Celtics 52% favourites at the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday 10 November, with a projected line of -0.7. The market has the 76ers as 0.5-point favourites. The injury that matters is on the home side: Adem Bona is listed out. The model also leans over 215.5 with a projected total of 217.1.

The Boston Celtics visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday 10 November, with tip at 8:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours the Celtics at 52% and puts the 76ers at 48%. The market disagrees on the side. It makes Philadelphia the favourite by 0.5 points, with the total at 215.5.

How the teams arrive

The 76ers are 8-2 over their last 10, averaging 111.5 points for and 108.7 against. They beat Chicago 127-121 on the road in their latest game. Before that came a 95-119 loss at Cleveland, the one result that stands out for the wrong reasons. They also won 126-107 at home against Chicago and 112-106 at Detroit. Their other defeat in the span was 93-106 at home to Detroit.

The Celtics are also 8-2 over their last 10, with the stronger numbers: 115.0 points for and 104.3 against. They won 117-97 at Milwaukee and 119-80 at Charlotte in their last two, both away from home. Their home win over Chicago was 134-99. Houston beat them 93-109 on the road, and Detroit beat them 113-121 earlier in the season. Defence is driving the run.

Team news and lineups

Boston has nobody on the injury report. The Celtics should be able to run their normal rotation, with no minutes to redistribute.

Philadelphia is thinner in the frontcourt. Dominick Barlow is out with a back issue. He has yet to make his season debut, and his return date is listed as 18 November. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles tendon. Adem Bona is listed out with a back problem. His report points to this game as his next chance to play, so his status is worth checking close to tip.

The effect is on big-man minutes. With Hukporti done for the year and Barlow still sidelined, Philadelphia has little depth behind its starting centre. If Bona is not cleared, extra minutes go to Jabari Walker, as they did in the previous game. That is a small edge for a Celtics side at full strength.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown is projected for 20.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 1.9 threes. He leads the Philadelphia projection, and the home side needs scoring from the wing.

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is projected for 20.0 points, 3.6 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.6 threes. That is the highest three-point projection on the 76ers side, and he is the one most likely to swing the spacing.

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid is projected for 18.5 points, 8.1 rebounds and 3.1 assists. With the backup centre spots short, his minutes and his rim protection matter more than the box score suggests.

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum is projected for 23.0 points, 7.6 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.4 threes. He is the best scorer in the game on the model's numbers and the main reason Boston is favoured.

Paul George

Paul George is projected for 16.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 2.4 threes. He gives Boston a second shot-maker from deep, level with Tatum on threes.

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard is projected for 12.9 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2.0 threes. His bench scoring and shooting add depth that Philadelphia's thin rotation will find hard to match.

Same game parlays

Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.

Build your own →
Edge4 legs

The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.

  • Player
    Tyrese Maxey
    Under 5.5 Assists · 2/5 last 5 · 71.4%
    PP2.10
  • Player
    LeBron James
    Under 6.5 Assists · 2/5 last 5 · 69.8%
    PP2.00
  • Player
    Jayson Tatum
    Under 26.5 Points · 3/5 last 5 · 67.5%
    PP2.00
  • Player
    Jaylen Brown
    Under 22.5 Points · 2/5 last 5 · 63.2%
    PP1.91
PP16.04
Market 4.9%Statz 21.3%+16.4%
Scoring2 legs

Points, threes and the combination markets, over.

  • Player
    Payton Pritchard
    Over 15.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 52%
    FanDuel1.89
  • Player
    VJ Edgecombe
    Over 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 51.3%
    FanDuel1.87
FanDuel3.53
Market 25.2%Statz 26.7%+1.5%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

Statz Best Bets for this game

The props our model rates above their price, from the Best Bets board.

Every Best Bet →

Statz prediction

The model takes the Boston Celtics. It gives them a 52% win probability and a projected line of -0.7, which makes the 76ers +0.7. The market has Philadelphia at -0.5, so the gap is 1.2 points and it points to Boston. This is a near coin flip, and the edge is small.

On the total, the model projects 217.1 against a market line of 215.5. The gap is 1.6 points and the lean is the over. Both sides have won 8 of their last 10, but Boston's defence and Philadelphia's scoring are both strong enough to keep the game moving.

Statz pick: Boston Celtics +0.5 at 1.95 (Betrivers), with a lean to the over 215.5 at 1.94 (DraftKings).

For a same game parlay to look at, the Same Game Parlays page lists the Scoring slip: Payton Pritchard Over 15.5 Pts + Reb and VJ Edgecombe Over 1.5 Threes, priced at 3.53 at FanDuel. Lines move before tip, so check the latest prices first.

BOS @ PHI questions

Who does the Statz model pick in Celtics vs 76ers?
The model favours the Boston Celtics at 52%, with the Philadelphia 76ers at 48%. Its projected line is Celtics -0.7. The market makes Philadelphia the favourite, so the model and the market disagree on the side.
What is the spread for Celtics at 76ers?
Most books have the 76ers at -0.5 or a similar small number, with some at -1.5 or +1.5. The best away price on the Celtics +0.5 is 1.95 at Betrivers. The model line is 76ers +0.7, a 1.2-point gap.
What is the over/under for Celtics vs 76ers?
The market total is 215.5 at most books, with FanDuel at 216.5. The Statz model projects 217.1 points, a 1.6-point gap, and leans to the over. The best over price is 1.94 at DraftKings.
Who is injured for the 76ers on 10 November?
Dominick Barlow (back) is out, with a return date of 18 November. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles. Adem Bona (back) is listed out, and this game is flagged as his next chance to play.
Are the Celtics injured for this game?
No. The Celtics have nobody on the injury report for this game, so the model expects Boston to be at full strength. The 76ers are the side dealing with frontcourt absences.
What is the best moneyline price in Celtics vs 76ers?
The best Celtics moneyline is 1.96 at FanDuel. The best 76ers price is 1.93 at Rebet. Prices are close to even on both sides, which matches the model's 52% to 48% split.

More NBA previews

18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. Odds are subject to change.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Boston Celtics or Philadelphia 76ers?

The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics with a 52% win probability, leaving the Philadelphia 76ers at 48%. Draftkings agrees, pricing the Boston Celtics as the favourite at -1.5 on the spread. The moneyline is -109 for the Philadelphia 76ers and -109 for the Boston Celtics.

What is the spread and total for Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers?

Draftkings lists the Philadelphia 76ers at +1.5 with the total at 215.5 for Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers?

For Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers, the board's headline props are Jayson Tatum 49.5+ points at 51.00, Paul George 7.5+ threes at 41.00 and Jayson Tatum 13.5+ assists at 34.00. For the Philadelphia 76ers the model projects Jaylen Brown for 20.2 points and Tyrese Maxey for 20.0 points.