Yes, Zenit have taken 27 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 5.85 more than the 21.15 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Zenit create 1.85 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 22.19 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 4.81 more than that xG would expect.
Zenit allow 1.12 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 13.41 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 0.41 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Maksim Glushenkov has the most expected goals (xG) for Zenit over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 2.26 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Felipe Augusto is next with 1.17 xG.
Zenit have taken 5.9 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: +4.8 goals against their xG, and +0.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 22.19 | 27 | +4.81 | 13.41 | 13 | +0.41 | 21.15 | 27 | +5.85 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.81 | 19 | +0.19 | 11.28 | 13 | -1.72 | 17.69 | 21 | +3.31 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.18 | 13 | +2.82 | 5.99 | 7 | -1.01 | 8.88 | 15 | +6.12 |
| Home | 6 | 13.64 | 12 | -1.64 | 6.40 | 7 | -0.60 | 12.12 | 12 | -0.12 |
| Away | 6 | 8.55 | 15 | +6.45 | 7.01 | 6 | +1.01 | 9.03 | 15 | +5.97 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (H) | 2-0 | 4.06 | 0.98 | 2.65 | 3 | W |
| 18 Oct | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (H) | 3-2 | 1.51 | 0.70 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (A) | 2-3 | 1.16 | 1.32 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 16 Sep | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (A) | 2-3 | 0.84 | 2.25 | 0.56 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (H) | 2-1 | 2.61 | 0.74 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (H) | 1-2 | 2.39 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Fakel (A) | 0-1 | 2.47 | 0.41 | 2.61 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 2-0 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.15 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (H) | 3-0 | 1.18 | 1.13 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (H) | 1-2 | 1.89 | 1.08 | 1.91 | 0 | W |
| 2 Aug | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (A) | 0-3 | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.26 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Russian Premier League | Akron (A) | 0-5 | 2.38 | 1.02 | 2.20 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksim Glushenkov | attacker | 11 | 902 | 2.26 | 10 | +7.74 | 0.23 |
| Aleksandr Sobolev | attacker | 11 | 855 | 0.48 | 8 | +7.52 | 0.05 |
| Luiz Henrique | attacker | 10 | 684 | 0.47 | 2 | +1.53 | 0.06 |
| Jhon Jhon | midfielder | 10 | 590 | 0.87 | 2 | +1.13 | 0.13 |
| Gustavo Mantuan | defender | 11 | 914 | 0.06 | 1 | +0.94 | 0.01 |
| Felipe Augusto | attacker | 11 | 336 | 1.17 | 2 | +0.83 | 0.31 |
| K. Andrade | defender | 12 | 386 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |