Yes, CSKA Moskva have taken 25 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 5.58 more than the 19.42 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
CSKA Moskva create 1.78 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 21.30 in all, and have scored 21 goals from those chances, 0.30 fewer than that xG would expect.
CSKA Moskva allow 1.41 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 16.94 in all, and have conceded 12 goals from those chances, 4.94 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Ivan Oblyakov has the most expected goals (xG) for CSKA Moskva over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 0.98 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Luciano Gondou is next with 0.84 xG.
CSKA Moskva have taken 5.6 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: -0.3 goals against their xG, and +4.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 21.30 | 21 | -0.30 | 16.94 | 12 | +4.94 | 19.42 | 25 | +5.58 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.62 | 18 | +0.38 | 14.91 | 10 | +4.91 | 15.55 | 21 | +5.45 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.81 | 10 | +0.19 | 8.41 | 5 | +3.41 | 7.80 | 10 | +2.20 |
| Home | 8 | 14.41 | 13 | -1.41 | 9.80 | 5 | +4.80 | 13.94 | 18 | +4.06 |
| Away | 4 | 6.89 | 8 | +1.11 | 7.14 | 7 | +0.14 | 5.48 | 7 | +1.52 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (H) | 2-0 | 1.90 | 2.06 | 1.30 | 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (A) | 3-1 | 2.18 | 2.26 | 1.36 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (H) | 3-0 | 2.27 | 0.84 | 2.27 | 3 | W |
| 17 Sep | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (A) | 1-3 | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (H) | 1-1 | 2.13 | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | Russian Premier League | Zenit (A) | 1-2 | 1.77 | 2.39 | 1.05 | 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akron (A) | 2-2 | 1.61 | 0.93 | 1.85 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (H) | 3-2 | 2.58 | 1.70 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Fakel (H) | 1-0 | 1.05 | 0.74 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rostov (H) | 0-0 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 1.37 | 1 | D |
| 1 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (H) | 1-1 | 1.85 | 0.59 | 2.24 | 1 | W |
| 24 Jul | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (H) | 2-1 | 1.83 | 1.44 | 1.63 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Oblyakov | midfielder | 12 | 1055 | 0.98 | 7 | +6.02 | 0.08 |
| Luciano Gondou | attacker | 11 | 701 | 0.84 | 3 | +2.16 | 0.11 |
| Kirill Glebov | attacker | 12 | 789 | 0.59 | 2 | +1.42 | 0.07 |
| Imran Firov | attacker | 7 | 97 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Kirill Danilov | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.00 |
| Matija Popović | midfielder | 7 | 393 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.02 |
| Danil Krugovoy | midfielder | 12 | 1057 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.04 |
| Matheus Alves Nascimento | midfielder | 8 | 370 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.12 |
| Tamerlan Musaev | attacker | 11 | 359 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.19 |
| Matvey Kislyak | midfielder | 12 | 1000 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.05 |
| I. Oleynikov | attacker | 5 | 337 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |