Yes, Krasnodar have taken 23 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 5.65 more than the 17.35 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Krasnodar create 1.33 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 15.91 in all, and have scored 20 goals from those chances, 4.09 more than that xG would expect.
Krasnodar allow 1.21 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 14.51 in all, and have conceded 14 goals from those chances, 0.51 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jhon Córdoba has the most expected goals (xG) for Krasnodar over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 1.37 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Daniil Utkin is next with 0.64 xG.
Krasnodar have taken 5.7 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: +4.1 goals against their xG, and +0.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 15.91 | 20 | +4.09 | 14.51 | 14 | +0.51 | 17.35 | 23 | +5.65 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.39 | 14 | +1.61 | 11.68 | 11 | +0.68 | 14.10 | 17 | +2.90 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.62 | 7 | +0.38 | 5.77 | 8 | -2.23 | 7.54 | 4 | -3.54 |
| Home | 6 | 7.62 | 9 | +1.38 | 7.04 | 7 | +0.04 | 8.75 | 11 | +2.25 |
| Away | 6 | 8.29 | 11 | +2.71 | 7.47 | 7 | +0.47 | 8.60 | 12 | +3.40 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (H) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 0.98 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (A) | 3-3 | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.11 | 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Russian Premier League | Zenit (H) | 2-3 | 1.32 | 1.16 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (A) | 0-0 | 1.14 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Russian Premier League | Akron (H) | 1-1 | 1.58 | 0.43 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (A) | 2-2 | 1.84 | 1.22 | 1.78 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rostov (H) | 1-0 | 0.87 | 0.97 | 1.26 | 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (A) | 0-1 | 0.51 | 1.02 | 0.89 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (H) | 1-0 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.49 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 1-2 | 1.10 | 1.43 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 2 Aug | Russian Premier League | Fakel (H) | 3-2 | 1.29 | 2.23 | 0.84 | 3 | L |
| 26 Jul | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (A) | 1-3 | 2.23 | 0.60 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Batxi | attacker | 12 | 967 | 0.51 | 4 | +3.50 | 0.05 |
| Nikita Krivtsov | midfielder | 4 | 360 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jubal | defender | 12 | 1062 | 0.16 | 3 | +2.84 | 0.01 |
| Jhon Córdoba | attacker | 8 | 658 | 1.37 | 4 | +2.63 | 0.19 |
| Juan Manuel Boselli | attacker | 10 | 375 | 0.02 | 2 | +1.98 | 0.00 |
| Christian | midfielder | 10 | 703 | 0.05 | 2 | +1.95 | 0.01 |
| Lucas Olaza | defender | 12 | 1051 | 0.15 | 2 | +1.85 | 0.01 |
| Daniil Utkin | midfielder | 11 | 474 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |