No, Akhmat Grozny have taken 11 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 5.66 fewer than the 16.66 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Akhmat Grozny create 1.18 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 14.14 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 0.86 more than that xG would expect.
Akhmat Grozny allow 1.13 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 13.60 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 3.40 more than that xGA would expect.
Mohamed Konaté has the most expected goals (xG) for Akhmat Grozny over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 1.73 xG in 7 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Egas Cacintura is next with 1.06 xG.
Akhmat Grozny have taken 5.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: +0.9 goals against their xG, and -3.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 14.14 | 15 | +0.86 | 13.60 | 17 | -3.40 | 16.66 | 11 | -5.66 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.70 | 13 | +1.30 | 11.87 | 14 | -2.13 | 13.40 | 10 | -3.40 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.16 | 5 | -1.16 | 5.00 | 8 | -3.00 | 7.52 | 4 | -3.52 |
| Home | 6 | 7.83 | 11 | +3.17 | 4.90 | 9 | -4.10 | 10.21 | 8 | -2.21 |
| Away | 6 | 6.31 | 4 | -2.31 | 8.70 | 8 | +0.70 | 6.45 | 3 | -3.45 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (H) | 0-1 | 2.11 | 0.75 | 2.25 | 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | Russian Premier League | Zenit (A) | 3-2 | 0.70 | 1.51 | 0.77 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (H) | 0-0 | 1.51 | 0.68 | 1.97 | 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Russian Premier League | Akron (A) | 2-0 | 0.66 | 1.27 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (H) | 3-2 | 1.18 | 0.79 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (A) | 1-1 | 1.78 | 1.65 | 1.47 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (H) | 3-3 | 1.07 | 0.98 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rostov (H) | 4-1 | 0.95 | 1.13 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (A) | 1-0 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.25 | 0 | L |
| 10 Aug | Russian Premier League | Fakel (A) | 0-0 | 0.47 | 1.66 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (H) | 1-2 | 1.01 | 0.57 | 1.70 | 0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (A) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 1.16 | 1.56 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgiy Melkadze | attacker | 10 | 638 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Lechi Sadulaev | attacker | 10 | 833 | 0.38 | 3 | +2.62 | 0.04 |
| Egas Cacintura | midfielder | 10 | 855 | 1.06 | 3 | +1.94 | 0.11 |
| Kelliano | midfielder | 8 | 177 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Erald Maksuti | attacker | 9 | 173 | 0.13 | 1 | +0.87 | 0.07 |
| Turpal-Ali Ibishev | defender | 9 | 776 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.02 |
| Kalidou Sidibé | midfielder | 8 | 567 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.03 |
| Mohamed Konaté | attacker | 7 | 291 | 1.73 | 1 | -0.73 | 0.53 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |