No, Rubin Kazan have taken 12 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, within 0.87 of the 12.87 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Rubin Kazan create 0.99 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 11.85 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 0.15 more than that xG would expect.
Rubin Kazan allow 1.55 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 18.57 in all, and have conceded 18 goals from those chances, 0.57 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jacques Siwe has the most expected goals (xG) for Rubin Kazan over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 0.68 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Ilya Rozhkov is next with 0.09 xG.
Rubin Kazan's results and their chances agree, within 0.9 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 11.85 | 12 | +0.15 | 18.57 | 18 | +0.57 | 12.87 | 12 | -0.87 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.86 | 9 | -0.86 | 15.51 | 14 | +1.51 | 10.67 | 9 | -1.67 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.50 | 2 | -2.50 | 9.28 | 9 | +0.28 | 4.54 | 2 | -2.54 |
| Home | 6 | 5.19 | 6 | +0.81 | 8.54 | 9 | -0.46 | 5.85 | 5 | -0.85 |
| Away | 6 | 6.66 | 6 | -0.66 | 10.03 | 9 | +1.03 | 7.02 | 7 | -0.02 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (H) | 0-2 | 0.29 | 1.15 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 18 Oct | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 4-0 | 0.31 | 3.78 | 0.07 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (H) | 0-1 | 1.12 | 0.81 | 1.59 | 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (A) | 1-1 | 1.09 | 1.41 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (A) | 1-1 | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 7 Sep | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (H) | 1-1 | 1.65 | 1.78 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (H) | 3-1 | 0.86 | 1.61 | 0.85 | 3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (A) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 1.15 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rostov (A) | 1-1 | 1.51 | 0.73 | 1.94 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (H) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 0.96 | 1.08 | 1 | L |
| 1 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akron (A) | 1-2 | 1.39 | 0.83 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (H) | 1-3 | 0.60 | 2.23 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Arroyo | defender | 12 | 973 | 0.03 | 3 | +2.97 | 0.00 |
| Jacques Siwe | attacker | 10 | 713 | 0.68 | 3 | +2.32 | 0.09 |
| Bogdan Jocic | midfielder | 6 | 132 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Aleksandar Jukic | midfielder | 6 | 358 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ilya Rozhkov | defender | 9 | 628 | 0.09 | 1 | +0.91 | 0.01 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |