No, Fakel have taken 6 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 6.46 fewer than the 12.46 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Fakel create 1.05 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 12.60 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 4.60 fewer than that xG would expect.
Fakel allow 1.62 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 19.48 in all, and have conceded 20 goals from those chances, 0.52 more than that xGA would expect.
Aleksandr Koksharov has the most expected goals (xG) for Fakel over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 0.73 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Belajdi Pusi is next with 0.68 xG.
Fakel have taken 6.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: -4.6 goals against their xG, and -0.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 12.60 | 8 | -4.60 | 19.48 | 20 | -0.52 | 12.46 | 6 | -6.46 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.15 | 5 | -4.15 | 17.16 | 15 | +2.16 | 9.01 | 6 | -3.01 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.47 | 4 | -0.47 | 10.15 | 10 | +0.15 | 3.50 | 4 | +0.50 |
| Home | 7 | 7.89 | 3 | -4.89 | 11.34 | 11 | +0.34 | 7.74 | 3 | -4.74 |
| Away | 5 | 4.71 | 5 | +0.29 | 8.14 | 9 | -0.86 | 4.72 | 3 | -1.72 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (H) | 0-1 | 0.67 | 1.20 | 0.93 | 0 | L |
| 17 Oct | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (A) | 1-2 | 0.67 | 2.11 | 0.50 | 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (H) | 0-5 | 2.40 | 2.14 | 1.54 | 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 1-0 | 0.11 | 2.24 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (H) | 2-2 | 0.62 | 2.46 | 0.37 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rostov (A) | 3-1 | 0.96 | 1.45 | 1.01 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Zenit (H) | 0-1 | 0.41 | 2.47 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (H) | 0-0 | 0.91 | 1.57 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (A) | 1-0 | 0.74 | 1.05 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 10 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (H) | 0-0 | 1.66 | 0.47 | 2.24 | 1 | W |
| 2 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (A) | 3-2 | 2.23 | 1.29 | 1.96 | 0 | W |
| 25 Jul | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (H) | 1-2 | 1.22 | 1.03 | 1.49 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Netfullin | midfielder | 11 | 777 | 0.03 | 1 | +0.97 | 0.00 |
| Clayton | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.01 |
| Albert Gabaraev | defender | 12 | 1070 | 0.06 | 1 | +0.94 | 0.01 |
| Butta Magomedov | midfielder | 11 | 714 | 0.12 | 1 | +0.88 | 0.02 |
| Matvey Bardachev | defender | 9 | 786 | 0.14 | 1 | +0.86 | 0.02 |
| Aleksey Sutormin | attacker | 9 | 527 | 0.17 | 1 | +0.83 | 0.03 |
| Vyacheslav Yakimov | midfielder | 12 | 924 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.02 |
| Maksim Turishchev | attacker | 10 | 352 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.13 |
| Aleksandr Koksharov | attacker | 6 | 318 | 0.73 | 1 | +0.27 | 0.21 |
| Abdulla Bagamaev | midfielder | 10 | 367 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.14 |
| Belajdi Pusi | attacker | 10 | 390 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |