No, Rostov have taken 15 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, within 0.38 of the 15.38 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Rostov create 1.06 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 12.76 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 0.24 more than that xG would expect.
Rostov allow 1.19 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 14.26 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 2.74 more than that xGA would expect.
Olakunle Olusegun has the most expected goals (xG) for Rostov over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 0.42 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Aleksey Mironov is next with 0.40 xG.
Rostov's results and their chances agree, within 0.4 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 12.76 | 13 | +0.24 | 14.26 | 17 | -2.74 | 15.38 | 15 | -0.38 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.65 | 8 | -1.65 | 12.36 | 13 | -0.64 | 11.94 | 12 | +0.06 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.63 | 3 | -1.63 | 7.27 | 6 | +1.27 | 5.26 | 7 | +1.74 |
| Home | 5 | 5.05 | 7 | +1.95 | 6.53 | 5 | +1.53 | 5.71 | 10 | +4.29 |
| Away | 7 | 7.71 | 6 | -1.71 | 7.73 | 12 | -4.27 | 9.67 | 5 | -4.67 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (H) | 2-0 | 1.82 | 1.32 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 18 Oct | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (A) | 0-0 | 1.21 | 0.72 | 1.74 | 1 | W |
| 9 Oct | Russian Premier League | Akron (H) | 1-0 | 0.42 | 0.75 | 0.97 | 3 | D |
| 17 Sep | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (H) | 0-3 | 0.63 | 1.99 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 3-0 | 0.55 | 2.49 | 0.33 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Russian Premier League | Fakel (H) | 3-1 | 1.45 | 0.96 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (A) | 1-0 | 0.97 | 0.87 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (A) | 4-1 | 1.13 | 0.95 | 1.49 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (H) | 1-1 | 0.73 | 1.51 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (A) | 0-0 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 1.26 | 1 | D |
| 31 Jul | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (A) | 2-4 | 2.24 | 0.81 | 2.27 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (A) | 2-1 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Komarov | attacker | 12 | 942 | 0.21 | 2 | +1.79 | 0.02 |
| Andrey Langovich | defender | 12 | 1057 | 0.32 | 2 | +1.68 | 0.03 |
| Timur Suleymanov | attacker | 12 | 957 | 0.38 | 2 | +1.62 | 0.04 |
| Viktor Melekhin | defender | 11 | 974 | 0.02 | 1 | +0.98 | 0.00 |
| Oumar Sako | defender | 11 | 984 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.02 |
| Konstantin Kuchaev | midfielder | 11 | 907 | 0.27 | 1 | +0.73 | 0.03 |
| Aleksey Mironov | midfielder | 10 | 862 | 0.40 | 1 | +0.60 | 0.04 |
| Olakunle Olusegun | attacker | 12 | 853 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.04 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |