No, Rodina Moskva have taken 9 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, within 0.31 of the 9.31 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Rodina Moskva create 1.00 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 11.95 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 1.05 more than that xG would expect.
Rodina Moskva allow 2.12 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 25.39 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 1.61 more than that xGA would expect.
German Onugkha has the most expected goals (xG) for Rodina Moskva over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 1.34 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Ivan Timoshenko is next with 0.86 xG.
Rodina Moskva's results and their chances agree, within 0.3 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 11.95 | 13 | +1.05 | 25.39 | 27 | -1.61 | 9.31 | 9 | -0.31 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.49 | 11 | +0.51 | 20.26 | 20 | +0.26 | 8.47 | 9 | +0.53 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.86 | 5 | -1.86 | 8.41 | 8 | +0.41 | 6.14 | 5 | -1.14 |
| Home | 5 | 5.51 | 8 | +2.49 | 10.29 | 13 | -2.71 | 4.24 | 3 | -1.24 |
| Away | 7 | 6.44 | 5 | -1.44 | 15.10 | 14 | +1.10 | 5.07 | 6 | +0.93 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Russian Premier League | Fakel (A) | 0-1 | 1.20 | 0.67 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 19 Oct | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (H) | 2-2 | 1.90 | 2.19 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (A) | 3-0 | 0.84 | 2.27 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 16 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (H) | 1-1 | 1.41 | 1.09 | 1.60 | 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (A) | 2-1 | 1.51 | 2.19 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (A) | 2-0 | 0.20 | 2.15 | 0.22 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (H) | 0-3 | 0.54 | 2.10 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (A) | 3-1 | 0.96 | 3.04 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akron (H) | 3-3 | 0.85 | 2.67 | 0.43 | 1 | L |
| 9 Aug | Russian Premier League | Zenit (A) | 1-2 | 1.08 | 1.89 | 0.86 | 3 | L |
| 31 Jul | Russian Premier League | Rostov (H) | 2-4 | 0.81 | 2.24 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Russian Premier League | Spartak Moskva (A) | 3-0 | 0.65 | 2.89 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Maksimenko | attacker | 12 | 865 | 0.40 | 3 | +2.60 | 0.04 |
| Iker Pozo | midfielder | 9 | 567 | 0.02 | 2 | +1.98 | 0.00 |
| Artur Gharibyan | attacker | 7 | 267 | 0.22 | 2 | +1.78 | 0.07 |
| Ivan Timoshenko | attacker | 10 | 468 | 0.86 | 2 | +1.14 | 0.17 |
| Deiver Machado | defender | 4 | 360 | 0.03 | 1 | +0.97 | 0.01 |
| Soltmurad Bakaev | attacker | 11 | 614 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.02 |
| German Onugkha | attacker | 6 | 379 | 1.34 | 1 | -0.34 | 0.32 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |