No, Dynamo Makhachkala have taken 13 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 3.58 fewer than the 16.58 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Dynamo Makhachkala create 1.34 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 16.03 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 0.03 fewer than that xG would expect.
Dynamo Makhachkala allow 1.47 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 17.63 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 5.37 more than that xGA would expect.
Nikita Glushkov has the most expected goals (xG) for Dynamo Makhachkala over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 0.96 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Miro is next with 0.81 xG.
Dynamo Makhachkala have taken 3.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 12 games: -0.0 goals against their xG, and -5.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 16.03 | 16 | -0.03 | 17.63 | 23 | -5.37 | 16.58 | 13 | -3.58 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.68 | 12 | -1.68 | 15.05 | 21 | -5.95 | 14.02 | 7 | -7.02 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.75 | 4 | -1.75 | 10.44 | 13 | -2.56 | 4.95 | 1 | -3.95 |
| Home | 5 | 7.17 | 6 | -1.17 | 4.12 | 6 | -1.88 | 8.93 | 7 | -1.93 |
| Away | 7 | 8.86 | 10 | +1.14 | 13.51 | 17 | -3.49 | 7.65 | 6 | -1.65 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Russian Premier League | Zenit (A) | 2-0 | 0.98 | 4.06 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 17 Oct | Russian Premier League | Akron (H) | 1-1 | 1.12 | 0.72 | 1.66 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (A) | 4-0 | 1.30 | 3.15 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 17 Sep | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (H) | 1-3 | 1.56 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (A) | 3-2 | 0.79 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Russian Premier League | Rodina Moskva (H) | 2-0 | 2.15 | 0.20 | 2.64 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Russian Premier League | Rubin Kazan (A) | 3-1 | 1.61 | 0.86 | 1.90 | 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (H) | 0-1 | 1.02 | 0.51 | 1.76 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (A) | 1-4 | 2.17 | 1.88 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (A) | 3-1 | 0.98 | 1.16 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Russian Premier League | Lokomotiv Moskva (H) | 2-1 | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Russian Premier League | Fakel (A) | 1-2 | 1.03 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamid Agalarov | attacker | 12 | 635 | 0.12 | 5 | +4.88 | 0.02 |
| Miro | attacker | 12 | 684 | 0.81 | 2 | +1.19 | 0.11 |
| Nikita Glushkov | midfielder | 12 | 1070 | 0.96 | 2 | +1.04 | 0.08 |
| Andrés Alarcón | defender | 12 | 1034 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Aleksandr Sandrachuk | defender | 8 | 244 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Houssem Mrezigue | midfielder | 12 | 1033 | 0.04 | 1 | +0.96 | 0.00 |
| Daniil Lesovoy | attacker | 12 | 714 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.01 |
| Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad | midfielder | 5 | 159 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.21 |
| Temirkan Sundukov | defender | 11 | 988 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 | 0.05 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |