No, Lokomotiv Moskva have taken 11 points over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, within 1.46 of the 12.46 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Lokomotiv Moskva create 1.24 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 14.91 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 1.09 more than that xG would expect.
Lokomotiv Moskva allow 1.86 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 22.30 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 6.30 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Nikolay Komlichenko has the most expected goals (xG) for Lokomotiv Moskva over 12 Russian Premier League games in 2026/2027, 1.35 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Aleksandr Rudenko is next with 0.91 xG.
Lokomotiv Moskva's results and their chances agree, within 1.5 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 14.91 | 16 | +1.09 | 22.30 | 16 | +6.30 | 12.46 | 11 | -1.46 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.39 | 14 | +1.61 | 19.55 | 13 | +6.55 | 9.88 | 10 | +0.12 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.88 | 10 | +3.12 | 10.11 | 8 | +2.11 | 5.07 | 5 | -0.07 |
| Home | 5 | 6.49 | 5 | -1.49 | 7.95 | 6 | +1.95 | 5.98 | 4 | -1.98 |
| Away | 7 | 8.42 | 11 | +2.58 | 14.35 | 10 | +4.35 | 6.48 | 7 | +0.52 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Russian Premier League | Rostov (A) | 2-0 | 1.32 | 1.82 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 17 Oct | Russian Premier League | Krasnodar (H) | 3-3 | 1.92 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Russian Premier League | Fakel (A) | 0-5 | 2.14 | 2.40 | 1.26 | 3 | L |
| 16 Sep | Russian Premier League | Krylya Sovetov (H) | 1-1 | 0.76 | 1.81 | 0.68 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Russian Premier League | Zenit (A) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 2.61 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Russian Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad (A) | 0-1 | 0.61 | 0.72 | 1.20 | 3 | D |
| 29 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dinamo Moskva (H) | 0-1 | 0.57 | 2.18 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Russian Premier League | CSKA Moskva (A) | 3-2 | 1.70 | 2.58 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 14 Aug | Russian Premier League | Orenburg (A) | 1-1 | 0.55 | 2.90 | 0.24 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Russian Premier League | Akron (H) | 0-0 | 2.08 | 1.06 | 2.03 | 1 | W |
| 1 Aug | Russian Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala (A) | 2-1 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.40 | 0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Russian Premier League | Akhmat Grozny (H) | 1-1 | 1.16 | 1.43 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | attacker | 6 | 462 | 1.35 | 3 | +1.65 | 0.26 |
| Nikolai Titkov | midfielder | 5 | 404 | 0.71 | 2 | +1.29 | 0.16 |
| Aleksandr Rudenko | attacker | 12 | 856 | 0.91 | 2 | +1.09 | 0.10 |
| Zelimkhan Bakaev | attacker | 12 | 736 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | midfielder | 4 | 360 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Vadim Rakov | attacker | 11 | 484 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| César Montes | defender | 5 | 391 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.03 |
| Andrey Mostovoy | attacker | 5 | 365 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.04 |
| Alexander Silyanov | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.02 |
| Egor Pogostnov | defender | 3 | 123 | 0.32 | 1 | +0.68 | 0.23 |
| A. Kovalenko | midfielder | 8 | 192 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.31 |
| Sergey Pinyaev | attacker | 11 | 537 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.11 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 12 | 22.2 | 27 | 13.4 | 13 | 21.2 | 27 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 15.9 | 20 | 14.5 | 14 | 17.3 | 23 | +5.7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moskva | 12 | 21.3 | 21 | 16.9 | 12 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moskva | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 12.7 | 12 | 22.6 | 25 | +2.4 |
| 5 | Spartak Moskva | 12 | 21.1 | 21 | 12.8 | 10 | 20.7 | 23 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 12 | 13 | 25.4 | 27 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 12.8 | 13 | 14.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 15 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 12 | 16.9 | 14 | 16.7 | 12 | 16.8 | 16 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 18.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Akron | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | 17.3 | 21 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 12 | 14.9 | 16 | 22.3 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 18.1 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18.4 | 15 | -3.4 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17.6 | 23 | 16.6 | 13 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 16.7 | 15 | 11.5 | 13 | 19.7 | 14 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 14.1 | 15 | 13.6 | 17 | 16.7 | 11 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 12.6 | 8 | 19.5 | 20 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |