No, Wigan have taken 22 points over their last 20 League One games, 3.94 fewer than the 25.94 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Wigan create 1.28 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 League One games, 25.54 in all, and have scored 18 goals from those chances, 7.54 fewer than that xG would expect.
Wigan allow 1.39 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 League One games, 27.86 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 3.86 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dara Costelloe has the most expected goals (xG) for Wigan over their last 20 League One games, 4.55 xG in 16 appearances, and has scored 0 goals; Joe Taylor is next with 4.32 xG.
Wigan have taken 3.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -7.5 goals against their xG, and +3.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 25.54 | 18 | -7.54 | 27.86 | 24 | +3.86 | 25.94 | 22 | -3.94 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.12 | 5 | -8.12 | 15.80 | 15 | +0.80 | 12.04 | 4 | -8.04 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.76 | 3 | -1.76 | 8.62 | 7 | +1.62 | 4.41 | 4 | -0.41 |
| Home | 11 | 14.95 | 12 | -2.95 | 13.81 | 13 | +0.81 | 15.84 | 16 | +0.16 |
| Away | 9 | 10.59 | 6 | -4.59 | 14.05 | 11 | +3.05 | 10.10 | 6 | -4.10 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | League One | Stevenage (A) | 1-0 | 0.21 | 1.98 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | League One | Wycombe (H) | 0-1 | 0.53 | 1.22 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | League One | Sheff Wed (A) | 0-0 | 1.14 | 0.81 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | League One | Stockport (H) | 0-4 | 0.80 | 1.91 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 2 Sep | League One | MK Dons (H) | 3-1 | 2.08 | 2.70 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | League One | Wimbledon (A) | 1-0 | 2.58 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | League One | Orient (H) | 0-2 | 1.83 | 1.01 | 1.92 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | League One | Cambridge (A) | 3-2 | 2.10 | 2.18 | 1.35 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | League One | Stevenage (A) | 1-0 | 0.60 | 1.92 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | League One | Wimbledon (H) | 0-1 | 1.25 | 0.78 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | League One | Port Vale (A) | 0-0 | 0.87 | 1.51 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 14 Apr | League One | Rotherham (H) | 3-0 | 2.09 | 0.35 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | League One | Mansfield (H) | 2-1 | 1.63 | 1.20 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 6 Apr | League One | Northampton (A) | 1-3 | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.32 | 3 | L |
| 2 Apr | League One | Orient (H) | 0-0 | 1.76 | 0.77 | 2.06 | 1 | W |
| 28 Mar | League One | Reading (A) | 3-0 | 0.43 | 1.98 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | League One | Exeter City (H) | 2-0 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 17 Mar | League One | Barnsley (A) | 1-1 | 1.42 | 1.07 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 14 Mar | League One | Bradford (H) | 2-0 | 0.59 | 0.80 | 1.12 | 3 | D |
| 10 Mar | League One | Plymouth (H) | 0-3 | 0.64 | 1.74 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Wright | midfielder | 10 | 875 | 1.62 | 3 | +1.38 | 0.17 |
| M. Power | midfielder | 8 | 720 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.04 |
| Joe Taylor | attacker | 12 | 1025 | 4.32 | 5 | +0.68 | 0.38 |
| Jensen Weir | midfielder | 20 | 1751 | 1.34 | 2 | +0.66 | 0.07 |
| Jason Kerr | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.04 |
| C. Vickers | midfielder | 8 | 199 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.25 |
| Will Aimson | defender | 12 | 1080 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.05 |
| Akeel Higgins | attacker | 3 | 107 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.57 |
| Reggie Walsh | midfielder | 7 | 472 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.10 |
| Connor Barrett | defender | 8 | 336 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.17 |
| Morgan Fox | defender | 10 | 594 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.10 |
| Matthew Smith | midfielder | 12 | 781 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.08 |
| Jon Mellish | defender | 8 | 564 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.11 |
| Fraser Murray | midfielder | 19 | 1587 | 2.20 | 1 | -1.20 | 0.12 |
| Sonny Perkins | attacker | 8 | 461 | 2.92 | 1 | -1.92 | 0.57 |
| Dara Costelloe | attacker | 16 | 869 | 4.55 | 0 | -4.55 | 0.47 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford United | 7 | 8.7 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 9 | 9.8 | 8 | 8.3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | +4 |
| 3 | Cambridge United | 9 | 12.7 | 14 | 13.1 | 11 | 12.4 | 16 | +3.6 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 7.7 | 13 | 15.7 | 11 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 10 | 16.9 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 15.5 | 19 | +3.5 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 9.6 | 7 | 14.1 | 10 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Burton Albion | 10 | 8.3 | 14 | 15.4 | 16 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 8 | Bromley | 8 | 7.7 | 9 | 16.9 | 20 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 8 | 10.4 | 12 | 12.6 | 14 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 17.1 | 15 | 10.1 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Stockport County | 9 | 17.3 | 20 | 11.5 | 11 | 15.8 | 16 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 8 | 9.8 | 12 | 7.7 | 8 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 13 | Huddersfield Town | 9 | 18.9 | 16 | 9.3 | 9 | 17.7 | 16 | -1.7 |
| 14 | Wycombe Wanderers | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 15.5 | 20 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 8 | 15.5 | 13 | 17.2 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Reading | 9 | 18.4 | 22 | 9.8 | 11 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Doncaster Rovers | 8 | 11.3 | 9 | 9.8 | 9 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Luton Town | 8 | 13.9 | 16 | 9.6 | 15 | 13.9 | 11 | -2.9 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 12 | 8 | 12.7 | 15 | 11 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 | Peterborough United | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 17.1 | 14 | 11.1 | 8 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Notts County | 8 | 9.4 | 8 | 10.6 | 11 | 10.1 | 7 | -3.1 |
| 22 | Leicester City | 8 | 13.3 | 10 | 11.6 | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | -3.2 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 12.3 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 10.7 | 6 | -4.7 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 8 | 11.3 | 5 | 13.1 | 13 | 9.8 | 4 | -5.8 |