Yes, Lazio have taken 37 points over their last 20 Serie A games, 9.26 more than the 27.74 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Lazio create 1.31 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 26.15 in all, and have scored 26 goals from those chances, 0.15 fewer than that xG would expect.
Lazio allow 1.28 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 25.61 in all, and have conceded 21 goals from those chances, 4.61 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Tijjani Noslin has the most expected goals (xG) for Lazio over their last 20 Serie A games, 4.93 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Mattia Zaccagni is next with 3.37 xG.
Lazio have taken 9.3 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -0.2 goals against their xG, and +4.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 26.15 | 26 | -0.15 | 25.61 | 21 | +4.61 | 27.74 | 37 | +9.26 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.36 | 15 | +2.64 | 13.61 | 11 | +2.61 | 12.96 | 22 | +9.04 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.39 | 10 | +1.61 | 6.13 | 4 | +2.13 | 8.46 | 13 | +4.54 |
| Home | 10 | 13.12 | 15 | +1.88 | 13.06 | 14 | -0.94 | 13.76 | 18 | +4.24 |
| Away | 10 | 13.03 | 11 | -2.03 | 12.55 | 7 | +5.55 | 13.98 | 19 | +5.02 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Serie A | Monza (H) | 3-1 | 1.70 | 1.28 | 1.65 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Serie A | Venezia (A) | 0-2 | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Serie A | AC Milan (H) | 2-2 | 1.71 | 1.40 | 1.58 | 1 | W |
| 7 Sep | Serie A | Udinese (A) | 1-2 | 1.86 | 0.96 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Serie A | Genoa (H) | 1-0 | 1.19 | 0.59 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| 24 Aug | Serie A | Bologna (A) | 0-1 | 0.64 | 2.31 | 0.42 | 3 | L |
| 23 May | Serie A | Pisa (H) | 2-1 | 1.25 | 1.49 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 17 May | Serie A | Roma (A) | 2-0 | 0.60 | 1.57 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Serie A | Inter (H) | 0-3 | 0.64 | 1.31 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 4 May | Serie A | Cremonese (A) | 1-2 | 0.84 | 0.80 | 1.36 | 3 | D |
| 27 Apr | Serie A | Udinese (H) | 3-3 | 2.21 | 2.12 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Serie A | Napoli (A) | 0-2 | 2.71 | 0.74 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Serie A | Fiorentina (A) | 1-0 | 1.32 | 0.62 | 1.90 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Serie A | Parma (H) | 1-1 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 1.40 | 1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Serie A | Bologna (A) | 0-2 | 0.98 | 1.74 | 0.87 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Serie A | AC Milan (H) | 1-0 | 0.50 | 1.99 | 0.43 | 3 | L |
| 9 Mar | Serie A | Sassuolo (H) | 2-1 | 1.89 | 0.94 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Serie A | Torino (A) | 2-0 | 1.29 | 1.20 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Serie A | Cagliari (A) | 0-0 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Serie A | Atalanta (H) | 0-2 | 1.57 | 1.63 | 1.34 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | attacker | 10 | 370 | 0.40 | 2 | +1.60 | 0.10 |
| Davide Frattesi | midfielder | 6 | 446 | 1.47 | 3 | +1.53 | 0.30 |
| Luca Pellegrini | defender | 5 | 393 | 0.12 | 1 | +0.88 | 0.03 |
| Toma Bašić | midfielder | 7 | 567 | 0.16 | 1 | +0.84 | 0.03 |
| Kenneth Taylor | midfielder | 18 | 1477 | 1.53 | 2 | +0.47 | 0.09 |
| Adam Marusic | defender | 12 | 953 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.06 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | midfielder | 15 | 905 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.07 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | attacker | 5 | 122 | 0.74 | 1 | +0.26 | 0.55 |
| Matteo Cancellieri | attacker | 18 | 899 | 2.03 | 2 | -0.03 | 0.20 |
| Nuno Tavares | defender | 18 | 1281 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.07 |
| Daniel Maldini | midfielder | 10 | 528 | 2.06 | 2 | -0.06 | 0.35 |
| Gustav Isaksen | attacker | 18 | 871 | 3.09 | 3 | -0.09 | 0.32 |
| Petar Ratkov | attacker | 4 | 98 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.48 |
| Oliver Provstgaard | defender | 20 | 1535 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.03 |
| Tijjani Noslin | attacker | 17 | 965 | 4.93 | 4 | -0.93 | 0.46 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | attacker | 13 | 1031 | 3.37 | 1 | -2.37 | 0.29 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 10.7 | 3 | 5.4 | 13 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 8.9 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 6 | 6.7 | 8 | 11.2 | 8 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Inter | 6 | 16.8 | 18 | 6.7 | 8 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | 6.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | 6.7 | 3 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 9.2 | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Lecce | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Napoli | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Parma | 6 | 4.6 | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Juventus | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 7.3 | 9 | 10.3 | 13 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| 17 | Bologna | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Monza | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | 8.1 | 15 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | 8.7 | 14 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | 12.7 | 16 | 7.1 | 0 | -7.1 |