Italy are averaging 6.5 shots on target per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 9.6 total SOT on average. Below you'll find player SOT-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Belgium, and a full match-by-match log.
Pio Esposito leads with 13 shots on target across 8 qualifying appearances (1.63/g, 100% hit rate). The SOT-rate table below ranks every Italy player by SOT per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ SOT price.
Italy are averaging 6.5 shots on target per game over 10 games and concede 3.1 for a match-total of 9.6. They take 19.3 shots per game and create 15 key passes per game.
SOT matchup blends our attackers' on-target rate (50%) with the opposition's SOT conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Belgium, the page weights each Italy attacker against the opposition's last-season SOT-conceded rate.
Italy take 19.3 shots per game and put 6.5 on target. Players who shoot speculatively often have a low SOT-per-shot ratio; the context panel surfaces the shots/g funnel so you can see the conversion rate.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz — 10 Italy fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.
Italy are currently converting 37% of their shots on target into goals. A high conversion rate means finishing well; a low one means SOT volume but not yet goals. Pair this with the shots/g funnel to read how the goals number is built.
| Player | Position | Apps | Shots on target | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pio Esposito | attacker | 8 | 13 | 1.63 | 100% |
| Moise Kean | attacker | 4 | 9 | 2.25 | 100% |
| Mateo Retegui | attacker | 8 | 11 | 1.38 | 75% |
| Giacomo Raspadori | attacker | 4 | 5 | 1.25 | 75% |
| Sandro Tonali | midfielder | 7 | 6 | 0.86 | 71% |
| Federico Dimarco | defender | 7 | 6 | 0.86 | 57% |
| Mattia Zaccagni | attacker | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Luca Koleosho | attacker | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Riccardo Calafiori | defender | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 40% |
| Gianluca Mancini | defender | 6 | 2 | 0.33 | 33% |
| Bryan Cristante | midfielder | 3 | 1 | 0.33 | 33% |
| Andrea Cambiaso | defender | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 25% |
| Matteo Politano | attacker | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 20% |
| Manuel Locatelli | midfielder | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 20% |
| Alessandro Bastoni | defender | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | goalkeeper | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Nicolò Barella | midfielder | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | defender | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Davide Frattesi | midfielder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Riccardo Orsolini | attacker | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Federico Gatti | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Davide Bartesaghi | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Fabio Chiarodia | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Luca Lipani | midfielder | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team shots on target | Opposition shots on target | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Greece | Away | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Pio Esposito (2) |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Luxembourg | Away | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Pio Esposito (2) |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Away | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | Mateo Retegui (1) |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Northern Ireland | Home | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | Moise Kean (3) |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Norway | Home | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | Pio Esposito (2) |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Moldova | Away | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 10 | Mateo Retegui (2) |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Israel | Home | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Mateo Retegui (2) |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Estonia | Away | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 10 | Mateo Retegui (2) |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Israel | Away | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 14 | Moise Kean (3) |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Estonia | Home | 5-0 | 13 | 2 | 15 | Federico Dimarco (3) |