Italy are averaging 19.3 shots per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 29.3 total shots on average. Below you'll find player shot-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Belgium, and a full match-by-match log.
Mateo Retegui leads with 28 shots across 8 qualifying appearances (3.5/g, 100% hit rate). The shot-rate table below lists every Italy player with their shots per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ shots price for the next fixture.
Italy are averaging 19.3 shots per game over 10 games and concede 10 for a match-total of 29.3.
Shots matchup blends our attackers' shot rate (50%) with the opposition's shots conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Belgium, the page weights each Italy attacker against the opposition's last-season shots-conceded rate.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz — 10 Italy fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.
A player must have featured for at least 20 minutes in a fixture for that match to count toward their shot rate and form. Cameo appearances are excluded so the rates aren't diluted.
Possession share, key passes per game and shot accuracy are the strongest underlying drivers of shot volume. The context panel surfaces those drivers so you can read the number, not just take it at face value.
| Player | Position | Apps | Shots | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Retegui | attacker | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 100% |
| Pio Esposito | attacker | 8 | 23 | 2.88 | 100% |
| Giacomo Raspadori | attacker | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 100% |
| Moise Kean | attacker | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 100% |
| Riccardo Orsolini | attacker | 3 | 7 | 2.33 | 100% |
| Mattia Zaccagni | attacker | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 100% |
| Cher Ndour | midfielder | 2 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| Luca Koleosho | attacker | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 100% |
| Niccolò Pisilli | midfielder | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 100% |
| Gianluca Scamacca | attacker | 1 | 3 | 3 | 100% |
| Jeff Ekhator | attacker | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Federico Dimarco | defender | 7 | 15 | 2.14 | 86% |
| Sandro Tonali | midfielder | 7 | 16 | 2.29 | 86% |
| Riccardo Calafiori | defender | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 80% |
| Andrea Cambiaso | defender | 4 | 3 | 0.75 | 75% |
| Davide Frattesi | midfielder | 3 | 2 | 0.67 | 67% |
| Matteo Politano | attacker | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 60% |
| Nicolò Barella | midfielder | 7 | 4 | 0.57 | 57% |
| Gianluca Mancini | defender | 6 | 5 | 0.83 | 50% |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | defender | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Davide Bartesaghi | defender | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Luca Lipani | midfielder | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Seydou Fini | attacker | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Manuel Locatelli | midfielder | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 40% |
| Alessandro Bastoni | defender | 6 | 4 | 0.67 | 33% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team shots | Opposition shots | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Greece | Away | 0-1 | 10 | 12 | 22 | Pio Esposito (3) |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Luxembourg | Away | 0-1 | 15 | 9 | 24 | Pio Esposito (4) |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Away | 1-1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | Pio Esposito (3) |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Northern Ireland | Home | 2-0 | 19 | 8 | 27 | Moise Kean (6) |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Norway | Home | 1-4 | 15 | 13 | 28 | Pio Esposito (4) |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Moldova | Away | 0-2 | 28 | 3 | 31 | Pio Esposito (5) |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Israel | Home | 3-0 | 16 | 8 | 24 | Mateo Retegui (5) |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Estonia | Away | 1-3 | 24 | 2 | 26 | Mateo Retegui (5) |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Israel | Away | 4-5 | 17 | 11 | 28 | Moise Kean (5) |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Estonia | Home | 5-0 | 40 | 4 | 44 | Mateo Retegui (9) |