Belgium host Italy at Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels on 15 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Belgium's last five results: L W L W L (2 wins and 3 losses). Italy's last five: W L W D W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Belgium have won 1, Italy 1, with 1 draw.
Belgium vs Italy kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels. Stade Roi Baudouin holds 50,093 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Belgium vs Italy is being played at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels on Sunday 15 November 2026, the home ground of Belgium, which holds 50,093 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Belgium have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7, with results reading L W L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-4 defeat away to France in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Italy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5, with results reading W L W D W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Turkey in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Across the last 3 meetings Belgium have won 1, Italy have won 1 and 1 was drawn, with Belgium scoring 4 goals to Italy's 3. The most recent was Italy 0-2 Belgium on 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Romelu Lukaku leads Belgium with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Belgium player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Belgium player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Pio Esposito leads Italy with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Italy player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Italy player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Belgium vs Italy is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Belgium's XI from their 1-4 defeat at France on Mon 5 Oct 2026, and Italy's XI from their 3-1 win v Turkey at home on Mon 5 Oct 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Belgium the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 27% for Italy and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Belgium 1.7 - 1.2 Italy.
The most likely score in Belgium vs Italy is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Belgium vs Italy, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Italy vs Belgium | 0-2 |
| 14 Nov 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Belgium vs Italy | 0-1 |
| 10 Oct 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Italy vs Belgium | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Belgium 1.7 - 1.2 Italy in goals. It gives Belgium a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Italy 27%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Belgium win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Belgium win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Belgium win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Italy win | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Belgium vs Italy are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Belgium's XI from their 1-4 defeat at France on Mon 5 Oct 2026, and Italy's XI from their 3-1 win v Turkey at home on Mon 5 Oct 2026.
| # | Belgium | Fouls committed | Italy | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Raskin | 15 | A. Bastoni | 12 |
| 2 | B. Mechele | 11 | P. Esposito | 9 |
| 3 | Y. Tielemans | 11 | S. Tonali | 8 |
| 4 | T. Castagne | 11 | M. Locatelli | 7 |
| 5 | M. Cuyper | 9 | M. Retegui | 6 |
| # | Belgium | Shots | Italy | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 30 | P. Esposito | 26 |
| 2 | L. Trossard | 17 | M. Kean | 15 |
| 3 | Y. Tielemans | 15 | S. Tonali | 12 |
| 4 | D. Lukébakio | 15 | D. Frattesi | 8 |
| 5 | M. Cuyper | 13 | G. Scamacca | 7 |
| # | Belgium | Shots on target | Italy | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 10 | P. Esposito | 15 |
| 2 | C. Ketelaere | 8 | M. Kean | 7 |
| 3 | M. Cuyper | 7 | M. Retegui | 4 |
| 4 | D. Lukébakio | 7 | M. Kayode | 3 |
| 5 | R. Lukaku | 5 | S. Tonali | 2 |
| # | Belgium | Goals | Italy | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lukaku | 4 | P. Esposito | 6 |
| 2 | C. Ketelaere | 3 | M. Kean | 2 |
| 3 | K. Bruyne | 3 | A. Bastoni | 2 |
| 4 | Y. Tielemans | 2 | G. Mancini | 1 |
| 5 | L. Trossard | 2 | S. Tonali | 1 |
| # | Belgium | Yellow cards | Italy | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 3 | A. Bastoni | 3 |
| 2 | R. Lukaku | 2 | G. Donnarumma | 2 |
| 3 | R. Lavia | 2 | P. Esposito | 1 |
| 4 | Y. Tielemans | 2 | N. Barella | 1 |
| 5 | D. Moreira | 2 | D. Frattesi | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 25 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 34 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 26 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 12 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 38 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17.3 | 7 of 54 |
| Passes | 427.5 | 37 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 36 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 13 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 30 of 54 |
| Shots | 16 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 11 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 17 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 18 of 54 |
| Passes | 482 | 26 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 38 of 54 |