Italy are averaging 2.4 goals per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 3.4 total goals on average. Below you'll find player goal-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Belgium, and a full match-by-match log.
Moise Kean leads with 5 goals across 4 qualifying appearances (1.25/g, 100% hit rate). The goal-rate table below ranks every Italy player by goals per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes) and six-game form.
Italy are averaging 2.4 goals per game over 10 games and concede 1 for a match-total of 3.4. They're generating 19.3 shots/g from 15 key passes/g.
The Bet365 player markets feed currently ships odds for Shots, Shots on Target, Tackles, Fouls and Yellow Cards. Anytime-scorer prices are not yet wired up; the chip will read “no priced market” until that's added.
Goals matchup blends our attackers' scoring rate (50%) with the opposition's goals conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Belgium, the page weights each Italy attacker against the opposition's last-season goals-conceded rate.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz — 10 Italy fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027.
Italy are currently finishing at 37% — that's the share of their shots on target that beat the keeper. Above-average finishing without a matching xG signal usually regresses; pair this with shots/g and key passes/g to read whether the goals trend is sustainable.
| Player | Position | Apps | Goals | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | attacker | 4 | 5 | 1.25 | 100% |
| Pio Esposito | attacker | 8 | 5 | 0.63 | 63% |
| Mateo Retegui | attacker | 8 | 5 | 0.63 | 38% |
| Gianluca Mancini | defender | 6 | 2 | 0.33 | 33% |
| Sandro Tonali | midfielder | 7 | 2 | 0.29 | 29% |
| Giacomo Raspadori | attacker | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 25% |
| Matteo Politano | attacker | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 20% |
| Alessandro Bastoni | defender | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | goalkeeper | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Federico Dimarco | defender | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Nicolò Barella | midfielder | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Riccardo Calafiori | defender | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | defender | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Manuel Locatelli | midfielder | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Andrea Cambiaso | defender | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Davide Frattesi | midfielder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Riccardo Orsolini | attacker | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Bryan Cristante | midfielder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Mattia Zaccagni | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Federico Gatti | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Davide Bartesaghi | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Fabio Chiarodia | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Luca Lipani | midfielder | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Cher Ndour | midfielder | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team goals | Opposition goals | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Greece | Away | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Pio Esposito (1) |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Luxembourg | Away | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Pio Esposito (1) |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Away | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Moise Kean (1) |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Northern Ireland | Home | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Sandro Tonali (1) |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Norway | Home | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | Pio Esposito (1) |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Moldova | Away | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Pio Esposito (1) |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Israel | Home | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Mateo Retegui (2) |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Estonia | Away | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Mateo Retegui (1) |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Israel | Away | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | Moise Kean (2) |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Estonia | Home | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | Mateo Retegui (2) |