No, U Berlin have taken 19 points over their last 20 Bundesliga games, 6.36 fewer than the 25.36 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
U Berlin create 1.29 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Bundesliga games, 25.72 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 0.72 fewer than that xG would expect.
U Berlin allow 1.72 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Bundesliga games, 34.32 in all, and have conceded 45 goals from those chances, 10.68 more than that xGA would expect.
Andrej Ilic has the most expected goals (xG) for U Berlin over their last 20 Bundesliga games, 5.39 xG in 14 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Leopold Querfeld is next with 2.28 xG.
U Berlin have taken 6.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -0.7 goals against their xG, and -10.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 25.72 | 25 | -0.72 | 34.32 | 45 | -10.68 | 25.36 | 19 | -6.36 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.06 | 16 | +0.94 | 17.32 | 25 | -7.68 | 14.25 | 11 | -3.25 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.62 | 5 | -1.62 | 10.17 | 17 | -6.83 | 5.89 | 4 | -1.89 |
| Home | 10 | 16.71 | 16 | -0.71 | 9.88 | 16 | -6.12 | 18.57 | 13 | -5.57 |
| Away | 10 | 9.01 | 9 | -0.01 | 24.44 | 29 | -4.56 | 6.79 | 6 | -0.79 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Bundesliga | Elversberg (H) | 1-0 | 1.59 | 0.25 | 2.38 | 3 | W |
| 18 Sep | Bundesliga | Bayern (A) | 7-0 | 0.27 | 2.92 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 11 Sep | Bundesliga | Schalke (H) | 1-3 | 2.21 | 2.42 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Bundesliga | Leverkusen (A) | 4-0 | 0.44 | 3.38 | 0.14 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Bundesliga | Frankfurt (H) | 3-3 | 2.11 | 1.20 | 1.95 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Bundesliga | Augsburg (H) | 4-0 | 2.36 | 0.63 | 2.44 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Bundesliga | Mainz (A) | 1-3 | 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Bundesliga | Koln (H) | 2-2 | 1.18 | 1.41 | 1.20 | 1 | L |
| 24 Apr | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig (A) | 3-1 | 0.21 | 3.40 | 0.08 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Bundesliga | Wolfsburg (H) | 1-2 | 1.94 | 0.21 | 2.56 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Bundesliga | Heidenheim (A) | 3-1 | 0.96 | 2.22 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Bundesliga | St. Pauli (H) | 1-1 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.33 | 1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Bundesliga | Bayern (A) | 4-0 | 0.31 | 3.85 | 0.07 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Bundesliga | Freiburg (A) | 0-1 | 0.64 | 1.39 | 0.79 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Bundesliga | Bremen (H) | 1-4 | 1.23 | 1.94 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Bundesliga | Gladbach (A) | 1-0 | 0.14 | 2.42 | 0.14 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Bundesliga | Leverkusen (H) | 1-0 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 14 Feb | Bundesliga | Hamburg (A) | 3-2 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 6 Feb | Bundesliga | Frankfurt (H) | 1-1 | 1.37 | 0.24 | 2.27 | 1 | W |
| 31 Jan | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim (A) | 3-1 | 1.45 | 1.64 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Querfeld | defender | 15 | 1264 | 2.28 | 4 | +1.72 | 0.16 |
| Livan Burcu | attacker | 17 | 639 | 1.07 | 2 | +0.93 | 0.15 |
| Rani Khedira | midfielder | 19 | 1690 | 1.10 | 2 | +0.90 | 0.06 |
| Woo-yeong Jeong | midfielder | 16 | 823 | 1.32 | 2 | +0.68 | 0.14 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | attacker | 4 | 246 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.18 |
| Josip Juranovic | defender | 9 | 401 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.15 |
| Oliver Burke | attacker | 12 | 748 | 1.86 | 2 | +0.14 | 0.22 |
| András Schäfer | midfielder | 18 | 1040 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.08 |
| Tim Skarke | attacker | 15 | 449 | 2.02 | 2 | -0.02 | 0.40 |
| Tom Rothe | defender | 14 | 933 | 1.07 | 1 | -0.07 | 0.10 |
| Andrej Ilic | attacker | 14 | 1045 | 5.39 | 5 | -0.39 | 0.46 |
| Marin Ljubicic | attacker | 3 | 216 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.22 |
| Danilho Doekhi | defender | 15 | 1350 | 1.54 | 1 | -0.54 | 0.10 |
| Derrick Köhn | defender | 14 | 876 | 1.54 | 1 | -0.54 | 0.16 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | midfielder | 18 | 1140 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.04 |
| Janik Haberer | midfielder | 16 | 846 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.07 |
| Ilyas Ansah | attacker | 14 | 629 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 8.7 | 13 | 14.3 | 8 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 5.9 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| 4 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | 4.4 | 4 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| 5 | Elversberg | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 4.8 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| 7 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 6.1 | 4 | 10.4 | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 12 | 14 | 6.3 | 8 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| 9 | FC Köln | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | 9.7 | 10 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 5 | 5.1 | 3 | 8.3 | 7 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 13 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 12.2 | 15 | 5.8 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 | FC Bayern München | 5 | 15.1 | 16 | 4.2 | 4 | 12.3 | 11 | -1.3 |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | 10.2 | 17 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| 16 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | 8.3 | 10 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | 14.2 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
| 18 | TSG Hoffenheim | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | 8.1 | 13 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |